Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - March 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (3/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/2)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/2)-(4/2)-(3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(3/4/5)-(3/1/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(3/1/4/2)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/2)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/2)-(2/4/5)-(4/3/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/3/2/6)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/6)-(2/4/3)-(5/8/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(5/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(5/8/4/7)-(8/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7)-(5/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/7)-(8/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/7)-(8/4/3/1)-(8/2/9/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-9   WIN (8/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1)-(8/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/1)-(8/2/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SA-10   WIN (8/2/9/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/6/4)-(8/2/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/6/4)-(8/2/9/6/4)-(8/2/9/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   03/16/2025 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 45 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAZON (GB) Mar04 Feb03 Jan06     (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00    
WHITE MOUNTAIN Sep09         (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
THE OLD NINE (IRE) Aug25 Jul20 Jun08 May04 Apr07 (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
SAND BAGGER Feb16 Jan20 Dec27 Nov25 Nov10 (stute gary)BAZE C 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
WHATS THE BUZZ Feb09 Dec01 Nov10 Oct13 Aug24 (alvarez edw)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 20.00    
CRAZY CAVALIER Feb16 Jan20 Nov23 Oct19 Aug31 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
MY HERO Feb23 Jan16 Nov23 Sep29   (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00    
 
SA-2   03/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOINT VENTURE Jan20 Dec15 Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.00    
DURAN Feb14 Jan20 Jan04 Nov03 Oct14 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
THIRTY FOUR COUPE Feb23 Jan17 Nov22 Oct27 Jan14 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 4.50    
ZIMBA WARRIOR Jan24 Dec30 Dec06 Oct19 Sep05 (uranga j)MALDONADO E 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
NAUVOO Feb14 Jan16 Dec07 Oct31 Oct06 (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 3.50    
 
SA-3   03/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY MONCLAIRE Feb22 Jan03 Nov03 Oct06 Sep06 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00    
SWEET HELLO Mar09 Jan19 Aug30 Aug08 Jun14 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 122 12.00    
DANZING FLYER Feb07         (sise jr)SMITH E 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
NOTHING IS FOREVER Jan17 Dec06 Nov02 Oct05 Aug29 (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
TIZZY TWISTER Dec26 Dec06 Oct05 Aug11 Jul21 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SMILE BABY SMILE Feb23 Jan01 Dec07 Nov30 Oct27 (mathis andy)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 4.50    
 
SA-4   03/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OM BREW Feb22         (glatt mark)DESORMEAUX J 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by OM out of BOOTLEG ANNIE by GO FOR GIN)
GIANT LUTHER Feb17 Jan18 Nov29 Oct25 Sep20 (miller)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MASTERFUL LASS by MIZZEN MAST)
SHAPOVAL Feb17 Jan18       (mullins jeff)BAZE C 122 1.50 39% 1.50    
  (by VRONSKY out of KHALAYA by ROCKY BAR)
SPEED OF ELON Feb22 Jan19       (dunham daniel)VALDIVIA JR 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of TAP THE TILL by TAPIT)
LITTLE DITTY Feb15         (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 30.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LITTLE SONG by CURLIN)
SOGNO DI VINO Feb17 Dec14 Nov15     (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MAKEME DREAM by QUALITY ROAD)
ZAGREUS Nov29         (powell leonar)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of PERSEPHONE by REAL SOLUTION)
SIR NANO Feb23 Jan19 Dec08 Nov22 Oct25 (gomez ruben)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 30.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of POSH HOLLY by MORPHEUS)
 
SA-5   03/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 35 ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOFNER Feb02 Nov10 Oct12 Aug18   (shirreffs jo)DESORMEAUX J 126 2.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CLAIRE'S SONG by DARBY CREEK ROAD)
EXTENSIVE Jan25 Dec08       (mccarthy michael )FREY KYLE 126 1.00 47% 1.10    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CLOTHES FALL OFF by DAAHER)
NASSAU CIRCLE Feb23 Nov23 Sep08     (mandella gary)FRESU ANTONIO 126 20.00    
  (by FLATTER out of FIFTH AND MADISON by STREET SENSE)
NATION Aug31 Jul25 Oct25     (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 1.80 20% 3.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WELCOME SPEECH by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
LET SEAMUS GO Feb23 Mar16 Feb18 Dec29 Dec03 (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LET YOURSELF GO by WAR FRONT)
 
SA-6   03/16/2025 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YACOWLEF (IRE) Feb09 Jan16 Nov23 Oct20 Aug29 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50    
COMMANDER (FR) Jan26 Oct27 Sep29 Aug29 Jul28 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
IRISH ROYALTY Feb22 Jan25 Dec08 Oct06 Sep08 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
NOBLE REFLECTION Feb22 Jan25 Dec26 Dec01 Sep28 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 122 1.50 24% 3.20    
DEVIL MOON Nov29 May17 Apr21 Mar09 Jan26 (cortez e)FREY KYLE 122 30.00    
ONE FLEW SOUTH Sep29 May07 Apr08     (headley gus)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 30.00 7% 12.70    
BOB'S BLUE MOON Jan18 Dec08 Nov09 Sep08 Aug04 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 5.00    
 
SA-7   03/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 45 M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO MAGICAL Jan24 Dec15       (marquez p)FREY KYLE 124 4.00    
BLISSTERINTHESUN Jan24 Nov23 Oct06 Aug10 Jun23 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 1.20 67% 0.50    
SPINNING Feb17 Feb23       (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
PETITE ANGE Feb09 Oct31 Aug29 Aug02 Jun08 (garcia vict)HERRERA A 124 2.50 8% 10.90    
MADE TO MOVE Oct12 Jul26 Apr19     (headley kar)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 20.00    
WISHFUL WINKER Jan26         (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.50    
 
SA-8   03/16/2025 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Irish O'Brien Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CORNELIA FORT Feb22 Feb01 Oct12 Sep08 Aug18 (kruljac ia)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of AN UNUSUAL GROUP by UNUSUAL HEAT)
TAM'S LITTLE ANGEL Feb08 Jan19 Nov29 Oct25 Sep01 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of ANGEL DIANE by LUCKY PULPIT)
LAMPORGHINI Feb08 Jan20 Jan01 Dec06 Nov09 (o'n)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of STORM LAMP by STORM BOOT)
SNEAKER Nov15 Oct27 Sep29 Sep02 Aug18 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LIME BEACH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
PUSHINESS Nov10 Oct13 Aug24 Jul26 Jul04 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 1.50 26% 2.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of IMPERIAL PIPPIN by EMPIRE MAKER)
SHOCKING GREY Jan18 Dec26 Nov09 Sep08 Aug18 (papaprodromou)FRESU ANTONIO 124 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SEOUL UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
PRANCINGTHRUPARIS Feb22 Dec29 Oct12 Jul26 Jun22 (eurton peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SHE'S A BIG WINNER by BELLAMY ROAD)
MOMENT'S PLEASURE Feb09 Jan18 Dec26 Nov24 Nov09 (lewis a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of LAMAZONE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
SA-9   03/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIREMAN DAN Feb17 Feb09 Jan01 Nov13 Oct19 (wallace jerry)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAMARANDO STAR Jun16 May25 May04 Apr06 Jan26 (bond)ANTONGEORGI JR 124 15.00    
DARK MARCUS Feb14 Jan20 Dec06 Oct04 Sep22 (vallejo genaro)MALDONADO E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SALTWATER COWBOY Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 Dec06 Nov03 (garcia anto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
LONE SCOUT Feb17 Jan20 Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.50    
ALWAYS ON CAY Feb17 Jan26 Dec08 Nov29 Oct31 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 124 4.00    
DAMAZIO Jan31 Oct26 Sep14 Aug10 May04 (mullins jef)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 5.00    
BRUCKNER Feb13 Jan23 Dec29 Nov10 Sep08 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
SA-10   03/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTY MARREN Feb15 Jan20 Nov30 Oct20 Aug22 (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SINGSONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
FAVOR TO YOU Feb15         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SO BEAUTIFUL by ARCH)
CLOUDY WOMEN Jan19 Oct20 Sep27 Aug18 Jul27 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 12.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of OLD VALYRIA by OLD FORESTER)
TIME TO SHINE         (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GLORIFIED by HONOUR AND GLORY)
DELIGHTFUL LAURA Feb21 Jan24       (shirreffs jo)DESORMEAUX J 122 30.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LASEEN by DYLAN THOMAS)
SENSATIONAL DREAM Jan19         (kitchingman)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of GIVE MY REGARDS by SMART STRIKE)
INNOVATIVE Feb16         (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 30.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of LANTIZ by TIZWAY)
BRILLIANTLY Feb21         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 34% 2.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SLIEVE MISH by BERNARDINI)
LILA Feb16 Jan20 Nov30     (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 17% 5.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of LUCY DE by DECARCHY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.