Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7)-(6/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/7)-(1/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/7)-(1/3/2)-(2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/5/1)-(3/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/5/6)-(2/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(2/3/4)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/6/5)-(6/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(6/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(6/3/4)-(6/2/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(6/2/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
WRD-8   WIN (6/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4)-(6/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN BOND WE TRUST Feb23 Jan26 Jan19 Dec04 Nov14 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 125 6.00 19% 4.40    
2  KINFOLK Feb15 Jan17 Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 2.50    
3  SLICK COUNTRY BOY Nov16 Nov02 Oct11 Aug29 Jun06 (oberlander jess)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  IRA CHAMP Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Apr29 Apr08 (buehrer w)KIMES C 125 20.00    
5  DICEY WAGER Feb07 Dec21 Nov16 Oct26 Oct02 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.50    
6  CINCO MAJESTIC Feb16 Dec20 Nov06 Oct16 Oct01 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
7  OOEY GOOEY CHEWY Feb23 Feb16 Jan29 Jan19 Dec04 (villafran)TRIANA JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-2   03/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM TRAP Feb15 Jan24 Jan04 Dec20 Nov26 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
2  COZZOLANI Feb15 Jan09 Dec07 Nov26 Nov16 (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DA CANDY CANE Dec11 Nov25 Nov02 Oct03 Aug30 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 1.20 27% 2.70    
4  WITSEC Dec11 Nov25 Nov07 Oct31 Oct16 (wilson tonja)SANCHEZ OBED 122 12.00    
5  ALL AFLUTTER Dec11 Nov25 Nov02 Sep18 Sep05 (villafran)TRIANA JR 122 3.00    
 
WRD-3   03/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC IRONS Feb12 Jan30       (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLUE MOON RIVER Dec13 Nov02 Oct10 Sep21 Aug29 (corderman sc)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  FLAT OUT FANCY Nov22 Oct25 Jun06 May14 Apr15 (oberlander jess)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
4  SHEZAFASHION QUEEN Aug17 Jun29 May14     (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 120 4.00    
5  KARSON KAY Mar04 Feb14 Jan26 Jan05 Dec22 (dunlap)FLETCHER D 125 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  MEDICINE SHOW Feb14 Jan23 Dec27 Nov14 Sep04 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 125 3.50    
 
WRD-4   03/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPAS PRINCESS Dec07         (padilla juan)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 3.00    
2  CALEB'S PRINCESS Jan26 Dec07 Oct14 Sep07   (william)GONCALVES R 125 2.50    
3  ADDIEBELL         (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  GOSPEL STUNNING Mar04 Feb22 Jan26 Dec07 Nov22 (williams ste)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.50    
5  SOPHIE'S GIRL Nov14 Oct19       (corderman)TRIANA JR 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  MAGICALTHINGZTODO Dec07 Nov26 Nov01 Jun07 May25 (dunlap m)WADE LYNDIE 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-5   03/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT LIPS HOULIHAN Jan12 Nov29 Nov14 Sep19 Sep04 (bravo f)GONCALVES R 125 8.00    
2  LETTA'S LEGACY Dec13 Nov15 Oct18 Sep27 Sep13 (trout r)TRIANA JR 125 1.00 54% 0.90    
3  KISS AND TELL May04 Apr15 Mar18 Oct20 Sep23 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 125 4.00 17% 5.00    
4  LET HER BUCK Jan19 Dec11 Nov15 Oct23 Sep27 (villafran)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00 7% 13.80    
5  INARI Jan31 Jan05 Dec04 Nov01 Oct17 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 125 3.00    
 
WRD-6   03/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT KENDRA Feb14 Jan18 Dec05 Nov13 Nov01 (mcdanie)GONCALVES R 125 2.00 30% 2.40    
2  MIA IS SHORT Feb14 Jan18 Dec05 Nov22 Oct17 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 3.00    
3  KOOKY Feb14 Dec12 Nov23 Oct19 Sep29 (silva miguel)WADE LYNDIE 120 3.00    
4  DENISES DOLLY Sep06 Aug23 Jun27 Jun13 Oct05 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00    
5  SLUG BUG Dec12 Nov29 Nov18 Oct26   (hewitt micha)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLEEUROGIRL Nov15 Oct30 Oct09 Sep26 Aug16 (padilla juan)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
WRD-7   03/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP OF THE WORLD Feb03 Dec29       (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SPANISH FLOWER by ARTIE SCHILLER)
2  FIRST MERCHANT Jul13         (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NORTHERN GRAYSTAR by GRAYDAR)
3  YOUGOTTHISJR Dec04 Nov13 Oct19     (caldwell )TRIANA JR 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by FLAT OUT out of GOODHEARTEDGIRL by ELLERTON)
4  ALWAYS IN THE GAME Nov22 Oct02       (quinonez eloy)QUINONEZ B 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of BRIDGE GAME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  SEEKING THE GAME Jan18 Dec14 Nov22     (hewitt michael)SANCHEZ OBED 125 10.00    
  (by DECIBEL out of JUST LIKE JULIET by SHAKESPEARE)
6  FIRST TAKELA Feb15 Jan25 Dec12     (mcdanie)GONCALVES R 125 0.40 48% 1.10    
  (by MARCH TWELTH out of TA KELA WARNING by KELA)
 
WRD-8   03/10/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGERSAURUS REX Dec11 Nov23 Oct30 Oct12 Sep27 (pruitt )GONCALVES R 125 5.00    
2  TOUGH TROOPER Feb23 Jan31 Dec04     (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  CHEROKEE WILL Jan24 Dec06 Nov09 Oct12 Sep11 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 125 3.00    
4  THE LAST MOXY Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Nov30 Nov08 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DOUBLE R CAT Dec13         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 12.00    
6  TEXOMA Feb21 Feb05 Dec04 Oct30   (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  CHAHTA CITIZEN Feb07 Jan12 Nov08 Oct11 Sep14 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 15.00    
8  IMA BOXER BOY Dec13 Oct11       (caster boyd)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 12.00 6% 14.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.