Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - February 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(6/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(6/7/2/3)-(4/5/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/3)-(4/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/3)-(4/5/1/2)-(2/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-3   WIN (4/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2)-(4/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/2)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/2)-(2/5/3)-(2/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/7/5)-(2/1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(2/1/3/6)-(3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-6   WIN (2/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6)-(2/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/6)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/6)-(3/2/4)-(1/8/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/8/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/8/10/9)-(4/5/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-8   WIN (1/8/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/10/9)-(1/8/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/10/9)-(1/8/10/9)-(1/8/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/10/9)-(4/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/10/9)-(4/5/8/3)-(4/2/8/12/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-9   WIN (4/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3)-(4/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/3)-(4/2/8/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SA-10   WIN (4/2/8/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/12/6)-(4/2/8/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/12/6)-(4/2/8/12/6)-(4/2/8/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($33K) 45 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBEL GARY Jan25 Mar10 Feb17 Jan12 Oct20 (gomez ruben)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 30.00    
RESEMBLANCE Dec28 Dec13 Nov10 Oct13 Sep21 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUPREME COAST Dec28 Dec01 Nov10 Oct04 Aug15 (puype mike)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 20.00    
SCR  RUNNING SPARTAN Jan20 Nov24 Oct27 Sep28 Aug23 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 124 3.00    
BOUND TO SUCCEED Oct13 Aug11 Jun14 Mar29 Feb18 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
GOODFELLA (IRE) Jan16 Sep28 Aug11 Jun01 Apr26 (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
OVER THE OCEAN Jan16 Nov23 Oct24 Aug13   (thomas jona)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
SA-2   02/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF'S THIRSTY Nov09 Oct20 Sep08 Sep02 Aug16 (mcdon)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 12.00    
COOPERKLIMT Dec18 Dec06 Nov17 Oct04 Sep21 (trujillo m)FREY KYLE 122 10.00 8% 11.50    
LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Feb02 Dec07 Nov29 Nov08 Oct12 (ramos je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOUNT PELLIAR Jan26 Jan03 Nov08 Oct12 Sep08 (greiner gary)FLORES P 122 20.00    
LOOKOUT POINT Dec01 Nov08 Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 (greiner g)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 15.00    
NAMELESS Jan05 Dec06 Nov09 Jun29 Jun09 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.80 39% 1.60    
WARRENS WORLD Feb02 Jan03 Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 (treece charle)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 1.60 30% 2.40    
 
SA-3   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRANGE ADDICTION Feb02 Jan04 Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 20.00 14% 6.00    
SAPADILLA Jan31 Jan17 Dec15 Nov24 Oct12 (papaprodromo)CIROCCA DAVIDE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEAU SOLEIL Dec15 Nov24 Aug25 Jul28 May11 (hess b)BAZE C 124 6.00    
ISABEL LUDLOW Jan17 Dec15 Nov10 Oct13 Sep27 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 5.00 41% 1.40    
STELLAR CAP Jan17 Dec28 Dec14 Sep20 Sep07 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50 14% 5.90    
UFFDA Jan20 Dec15 Nov17 Oct25 Sep29 (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 124 2.50    
TOULOUSE DETRAC Jan24 Dec14 Nov17 Oct14 Jun30 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 124 1.80    
 
SA-4   02/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DIAMANTE NEGRO Dec06 Oct26 Sep29 Sep15 Aug10 (calvario s)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 20.00    
EARNED NOT GIVEN Jan20 Jan03 Aug18     (glatt mark)ESPINOZA V 122 0.80 41% 1.40    
IT'S A FACTOR Jan20 Dec29 Oct18 Oct06 Aug22 (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GREY POWER Jan19 Sep29 Sep14     (raudales jo)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 15.00    
DYNODAVE Nov10 Oct18 Oct04 Sep05 Jul25 (treece s)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
CHECK'S ON THE WAY Jan18 Nov29 Oct25     (callaghan s)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.50    
 
SA-5   02/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WESTERN FREEDOM Jan18         (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 1.60    
DISTANT FLEET         (peri)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  PIO NONO         (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
JAMES J. BRADDOCK Jan18 Dec14       (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 122 10.00    
JOHNNY WHISPERS         (bryant stev)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 30.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  FALCON WINGS Feb01 Jan19 Dec08 Nov10 Oct18 (vega angel)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
SIR TOM Sep29 Jul26       (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
GREY AREA Feb01 Jan01 Dec14     (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 8.00    
EL ONDEADO Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 May31 May12 (periban jor)TOMITA AKATSUKI 122 10.00    
 
SA-6   02/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEGANT SWAY Jan18 Dec27 Nov30 Oct20 Sep29 (trujillo m)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 24% 3.30    
ANNIE'S JOY Jan04 Nov17 Oct26 Sep08 Jan12 (glatt mark)SMITH E 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
DENDERA Jan31 Jan17 Dec26 Aug29 Aug01 (dollase cra)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 15.00 7% 12.90    
GLACIER RIM Jan31 Jan03 Dec06 Nov03 Oct11 (ruis sr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00    
TIZNOW MAMA Jan19 Oct25 Aug29 Aug11 Oct22 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 10.00    
ZEYARAAT Aug23 Jul26 Jun08 May12 Apr26 (cerin vladimir)MALDONADO E 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG MAMA SUE Jan25 Dec27 Nov09 Oct20 Sep20 (miyadi steve)DESORMEAUX J 124 1.80    
CHASINGSERENDIPITY Jan20 Dec27 Dec03 Nov09 Oct25 (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
 
SA-7   02/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Palos Verdes Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG CITY LIGHTS Jan18 Nov09 Aug24 Jun01 Feb10 (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 124 0.40    
  (by MR. BIG out of CHAMPAGNE EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
ANARCHIST Jul27 Jun29 Aug26 Jul29 Jun10 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 10.00 32% 2.20    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of VICARIOUS WON by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
ROLL ON BIG JOE Jan03 Dec01 Oct27 Sep29 Sep06 (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00 38% 1.60    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of NINA'S GIFT by VICTORY GALLOP)
BARTHOLDY Dec28 Dec06 Oct31 Oct13 Sep08 (knapp steve)BAZE C 120 6.00 6% 15.10    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MBAGNICK (CHI) Jan26 Jan04 Dec01 Oct27 Sep29 (polanco marc)DESORMEAUX J 124 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BELCUNDA by POWERSCOURT (GB))
FOR ALL MANKIND Jan03 Dec01 Oct26 Sep29 Aug10 (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DAISY DEVINE by KAFWAIN)
 
SA-8   02/15/2025 4290ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENTRESSA         (shirreffs jo)DESORMEAUX J 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LUZMIMI PRINCESS by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  COMEBACK GIRL         (powell leon)HERRERA A 122 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SECRET THOUGHTS by HAWKSTER)
MCKECHNIE Dec27 Jul27       (mandella rich)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MOTHER MOTHER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
PAARL Dec28 Nov16       (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 15.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of MORNING MOON by DECLARATION OF WAR)
MARULA Jan03 Nov24       (mandella e)BAZE C 122 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAP IT ALL by TAPIZAR)
KITTY MARREN Jan20 Nov30 Oct20 Aug22   (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SINGSONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  CLOUDY WOMEN Jan19 Oct20 Sep27 Aug18 Jul27 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of OLD VALYRIA by OLD FORESTER)
JUNGLE PEACE (IRE)         (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
  (by BUNGLE INTHEJUNGLE out of PEACE TREATY by WAR COMMAND)
FAVOR TO YOU         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 15.00 9% 10.60    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SO BEAUTIFUL by ARCH)
10  LILLIPUT         (yakteen ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PURE WOW by THE FACTOR)
 
SA-9   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER CLOVER Jan05 Dec15 Nov10 Oct19 Sep13 (trujillo v)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 20.00    
FINAL STORM Aug02 Jun23 May25 Apr28 Mar10 (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 12.00    
MIO BAMBINO Jan16 Dec08 Nov10 Oct19 Sep08 (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LONESOME STEW Jan18 Nov23 Oct31 Dec15 Nov10 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 122 0.60 33% 2.00    
AFTERNOON NAP Jan04 Nov16 Oct27 Oct04 Aug25 (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50 32% 2.20    
GYPSY TEARS Oct06 Aug10 Jul20 Jun16 May27 (brinkerhoff va)LEZCANO ABEL 124 20.00    
DUTY FIRST Jan18 Dec29 Jan26 Dec17 Nov10 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
TOM SEAVER Apr06 Mar17 Oct22     (damato philip)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
 
SA-10   02/15/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLISAU May26         (hernandez jos)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 15.00    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of JEN'S RULES by STREET SENSE)
HOTHEAD Jan18 Nov03 Sep29 Aug10   (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of SOME TEMPER by WAR FRONT)
SCR  OWL         (drysdale ne)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 10.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of DESERT STEEL by DESERT CODE)
HORIZON WILDCAT Jan18         (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of MOMMACAT by SQUARE EDDIE)
RIDING BY Jan19 Nov29 Nov03     (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 20.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of GLIDING BY by ARTIE SCHILLER)
BRO BRO         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of FREGE by JOHAR)
LITTLE DITTY         (alvarado rube)FRESU ANTONIO 122 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LITTLE SONG by CURLIN)
PECKS LANE         (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of IONA STAR by STAR GUITAR)
P TOWN PRANCER Nov16 Oct25       (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SOME EXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
10  GEMINI BUZZ         (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 15.00    
  (by STANFORD out of OPEN MIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  CURLIN COMMAND         (galvin w)BAZE C 122 20.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of ROYAL ANN COMMAND by FOREST COMMAND)
12  SILVER I AM         (damato phil)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SILVER SWALLOW by ALPHABET SOUP)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.