Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - February 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(3/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-3   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(3/5/2)-(4/5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/5/2/1)-(1/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/1)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/1)-(1/5/6)-(5/6/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/6/2/7)-(2/9/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-7   WIN (5/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/7)-(2/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SA-8   WIN (2/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/7)-(2/9/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/7)-(2/9/4/5/7)-(2/9/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   02/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC2 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUGHNESS Jan05 Oct27       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.80 51% 1.00    
2  GENERAL JACKSON Jan05 Jun29       (o'neill do)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 15.00    
3  UNBREAKABLE TRUST Jan05 Oct31 Oct13 Aug18   (sadler w)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
4  GRINNELL Jan05 Nov17 Sep28 Aug23   (gaines)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00    
5  WAR TO REMEMBER Dec28 Dec01 Nov03     (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
 
SA-2   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAMPETT Jan17 Dec15 Oct26 Sep05 Aug16 (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.40 47% 1.10    
2  DARK MARCUS Jan20 Dec06 Oct04 Sep22 Sep06 (vallejo gen)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DURAN Jan20 Jan04 Nov03 Oct14 Sep08 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00    
4  TRUSTY RUSTY Jan17 Dec18 Nov24 Nov01 Oct14 (calvario samu)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00 23% 3.30    
5  LEYAS CANDY Jan20 Dec06 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
 
SA-3   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE CAMIE Dec08 Nov15 Oct14 Aug17 Aug01 (sadler w)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
2  THE SHUSHALA Apr27 Mar16 Feb16 Jan14   (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  JUST IS Nov22 Oct25 Aug30 Aug01 Jun09 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 10.00    
4  TIGER QUEEN Jan17 Nov23 Oct06 Sep22 Aug10 (tamayo isidro)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
5  ROSE OF JERICHO Dec13 Nov23 Nov02 Oct05 Aug25 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 20.00    
6  ACE ACE BABY Nov16 Oct25 Oct11 Sep08 Aug08 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00    
SCR  OPEN SOUL AUTISM Dec18 Dec01 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 (alvarado ruben)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80    
 
SA-4   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREEM Jan20 Dec26 Nov03     (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of GO JAMIE GO by HANSEN)
2  WREN Nov10 Oct12 Aug18     (mandella richard )FREY KYLE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RARE EVENT by SPECTACULAR BID)
3  MADAME SECRETARY Jan03 Nov16       (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 121 0.80 31% 2.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NINA FEVER by BORREGO)
4  MISS MAKENNA May24 May02       (brinkerhoff val)BAZE C 121 15.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of PEGGY MAY by LEMON DROP KID)
5  BEEHAVIN Dec26 Oct23       (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 27% 2.60    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of MONTMARTRE MORNING by TIZNOW)
6  LOLO LE PLUME Jan03 Dec07 Nov03 Oct04 Sep06 (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of LE PLUME by SMART STRIKE)
 
SA-5   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON GLAZE Dec18 Nov23 Oct25 Sep15 Aug11 (trujillo vi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 12.00 6% 15.70    
2  HONORABLE GAL Jan19 Nov30 Oct25 Aug16 Jul06 (trujillo m)FREY KYLE 124 4.50 13% 6.70    
3  ARA Nov23 Aug09 Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 (haley glo)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 124 20.00    
4  UNION COACH Dec13 Nov16 Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  VELOCIOUS Jan04 Dec01 Nov16 Oct25 Sep15 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  EYELIGHT Dec13 Nov29 Jun30 Jun02 Apr21 (mark)ANTONGEORGI JR 124 4.00    
7  CHAMAVILLE Jan20 May31 May03 Mar31 Mar15 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 124 15.00    
8  READY TO GIG Jan01 Dec18 Dec01 Nov08 Oct25 (thomas jamey)OROZCO E 124 12.00    
 
SA-6   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANK Jan04 Dec14 Nov17 Oct14 Sep08 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 2.00 28% 2.50    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of FABULOUS BABE by TOUCH GOLD)
2  MELLENCAMP Dec14 Nov17 Oct27     (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AMERICAN MODEL by BAYERN)
3  VARNEY Jan25         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of SUMMER OF FUN by INCLUDE)
4  FLYIN PRIVATE Jul27 May30       (brinkerhoff va)LEZCANO ABEL 121 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ALL IN WITH ACES by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  BAEZA Jan04 Dec01       (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by MCKINZIE out of PUCA by BIG BROWN)
6  WESTWOOD Aug02         (shirreffs joh)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of INDIAN BAY by ARCHERS BAY)
 
SA-7   02/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($61K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRONKO NAGURSKI Aug01 Jun15 Apr26 Mar23 Feb23 (miyadi s)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 20.00    
2  PASS THE BATON Jan16 Dec18 Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 13% 7.00    
3  KERRY GOLD Jan16 Nov09 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (azcarate da)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 8.00    
4  MOTHER'S PRAYER Jan03 Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 Aug04 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50    
5  CLOUSEAU Nov24 Nov01 Sep05 Aug03 May25 (mat)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
6  SPIRITUAL ADVISOR Jan16 Nov16 Oct31 Oct18 Sep15 (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 117 4.50 22% 3.60    
7  NAUVOO Jan16 Dec07 Oct31 Oct06 Sep13 (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MINING DISTRICT Jan16 Dec07 Dec01 Nov10 Aug24 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
 
SA-8   02/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 7:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAD'S BAD BUNNY         (thomas jamey)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 20.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of MALIBU BEACH BUNNY by MALIBU MOON)
2  RIDEGOLD Jan16         (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 32% 2.20    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of GOLDEN MELODIE by GOLDENCENTS)
3  JOLIE CANDY         (papaprodrom)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 15.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of MYFOURCHIX by HENNY HUGHES)
4  DARLIN TAMI Jan16         (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 117 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by TAMARANDO out of HALO DARLIN by LUCKY PULPIT)
5  MISS MCKINZIE Jun15         (alvarado rube)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00 ★    
  (by MCKINZIE out of ECCENTRIC SPINSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  KAPALUA RIDE Jan04         (garcia anto)HERRERA A 122 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MODEST by FLATTER)
7  MY SISTER LILLY         (papaprodrom)TOMITA AKATSUKI 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WIN THE SPACE out of SUNRISE AVENUE by CITY ZIP)
8  BIG JUSTICE         (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 20.00    
  (by CYCLOTRON out of BOSS CHICK by STREET BOSS)
9  STUBBORN         (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by VOLATILE out of SIPMYCHARDONNAYNAE by BODEMEISTER)
10  A FLEET RIDE         (hanson ry)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of C C'S PRIDE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.