Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Thursday - January 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (5/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/6)-(7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/6)-(7/6/5)-(2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-2   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(2/4/1)-(2/5/8/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(2/5/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(2/5/8/9)-(8/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/5/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/9)-(2/5/8/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/9)-(2/5/8/9/7)-(2/5/8/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/8/9)-(8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/9)-(8/5/3)-(8/6/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/3/7)-(8/5/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/3)-(8/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3)-(8/6/5/3)-(2/5/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (8/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/3)-(8/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/3)-(8/6/5/3)-(8/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/5/3)-(2/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/3)-(2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1)-(3/5/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-8   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-9   WIN (3/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z'S WARDROBE Dec08 Nov22       (fre)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00    
  (by PAVEL out of DRESSED TO A T by SQUARE EDDIE)
SASAFRAN Dec29         (mandella g)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TYNAGH SPIRIT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
HEARTS FANTASY Dec06 Nov15 Oct19 Sep21 Sep02 (moger j)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 20.00    
  (by HEARTWOOD out of SHANGHAI FANTASY by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
LADY MENDELSSOHN Dec29         (gaines)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00 9% 9.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of RINGMISTRESS by BANDINI)
ORANGE THUNDER Jan04 Nov16 Oct26 Aug30 Aug08 (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of ORANGE COVE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
CO HEART Nov16 Oct31 Oct11 Sep21   (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of CORRINE by CHIEF SEATTLE)
MRAZEK'S OLD DREAM Nov16 Oct19 Sep15 Aug08   (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 15.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
RENATUS Nov16 Nov01 Oct19 Aug30 Aug11 (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of IT'S VENGEANCE by CURLIN)
 
SA-2   01/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTY DANCER Nov29 Nov09 Oct20     (mclean bill)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 15.00    
FULL MOON GRAZEN Dec13 Nov08 Oct25 Sep21   (sherman m)FREY KYLE 120 4.00    
SCR  ROSIE TINKERBELL Nov09 Sep07       (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 2.50    
SCR  WALK'N THE BEACH Dec15 Nov16 Oct26 Sep14 Jul27 (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 6.00    
SENSATIONAL Z Z Dec06 Nov17 Jul07 May10   (bad)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CARE FOR AUTISM Dec06 Nov03 Sep14 Aug09   (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 3.50 12% 7.40    
AUTISM INSPIRATION Nov17 Oct26 Sep21 Aug09   (tamayo isid)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
SA-3   01/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($26.5K) 45 ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSAGE CREEK Dec28 Nov23 Oct19 Aug23 Jul26 (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MAJESTIC PALISADES Dec07 Oct26 Sep22 Sep02   (pederson de)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
BROADWAY UNIONS Dec13 Oct31 Oct13 Sep13 Aug15 (kitchingman)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 4.50    
GUAGUARERO Dec18 Dec08 Nov03     (sherman steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 10.00 29% 2.40    
EXCEL CALCULATOR Dec13 Nov10 Jan07 Nov17 Oct08 (ellis rona)ORANTES R 119 3.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN GOLD Dec13 Oct31 Sep27 Sep01 Jul25 (ganbat enebish)FREY KYLE 124 20.00    
MALIBU ROCKS Nov23 Oct12 Aug31 Jan28 Dec26 (puype mike)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.00    
 
SA-4   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEVE'S BIG TICKET Dec15 May18 May04 Apr20 Mar29 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 10.00    
MAJESTIC COTTON Dec18 Nov09 Oct19 Sep13 Jul14 (thomas jame)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
GALLOPING MAJOR Dec15 Nov30 Oct12 Sep22 Aug24 (thomas jamey)OROZCO E 124 12.00    
HOT GOBLIN Dec06 Nov15 Oct11 Aug16 Jul21 (ramirez miguel)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00    
RUN BABA RUN Dec08 Nov29 Nov02 Oct19   (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
BEAU BRUME Dec01 Oct26 Sep28 Aug25 Aug04 (baker wa)ORANTES R 119 30.00    
CANDY'S WILDCAT Dec07 Nov02 Oct04 Sep15 Aug16 (hess b)BAZE C 124 3.50    
ONE BIG SMILE Nov30 Nov02 Aug02 Feb25 Dec26 (mclean bill)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
SIX HOT GRANDS Nov24 Nov15 Oct26 Sep08 Sep02 (stortz marcia)GARCIA ERICK 124 15.00 11% 8.20    
 
SA-5   01/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HULA PRANCER Dec29 Nov22 Oct26 Sep02   (kruljac ian)BAZE C 122 20.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of PACIFICA by RED JAZZ)
GO CAMI OH Jan04 Nov22       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of LITTLE TREASURE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
HELLO KID O KID O Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05   (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of NORAH'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
MAGA KAI Dec29 Nov22       (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 12.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of VAN DIEN AVENUE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
HOW ABOUT PAVEL Dec08 Oct19 Aug30 Aug01 Jun15 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
  (by PAVEL out of HOW ABOUT ZERO by SQUARE EDDIE)
BIG WHOOSH Dec29         (powell leonard)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of SEEKITANA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GUILTYOFHAVINGFUN Nov22 Oct26       (mathis andy)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 2.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of X S GOLD by GOLDEN BALLS)
MARIA TALLCHIEF Jan04 Nov22       (damato philip)FREY KYLE 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by OM out of THALIA by TIZBUD)
 
SA-6   01/23/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KULBIT Dec14         (nun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00    
TAPATIA LEAH Jan04         (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 4.00    
DADDYGAVEITTOME Dec28 Dec06 Oct31 Oct13 Sep13 (alvarez )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY SERMON Nov17 Sep13       (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 122 4.50    
QUEEN OF JAZZ Dec28         (palma hecto)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIXIE ALLURE         (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00 28% 2.50    
SO FLASHY Dec28         (garcia anto)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 20.00    
SPOTTED HAZE         (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.80 48% 1.10    
 
SA-7   01/23/2025 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($63K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUANGXI (IRE) Nov03 Jul13 Jun16 May18 Apr13 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
QUEEN MAXIMA Dec29 Nov24 Sep28 Sep02 Aug10 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 29% 2.40    
ROYAL CHARTER (GB) Nov15 Oct14 Sep07 Aug11 Apr06 (powell leon)HERRERA A 124 4.50    
REAL FIRE Jan05 Nov15 Oct12 Sep02 Aug11 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00    
NORMANDY QUEEN Sep01 Aug02 Jun15     (glatt mark)ESPINOZA V 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
KITTY KITANA (GB) Dec13 Oct04 Aug11 Jun14 Apr26 (sadler w)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
EGYPTIAN MAU (SAF)         (drysdale nei)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 8.00    
 
SA-8   01/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($61K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CAP Nov22 Nov08 Oct11 Sep07 Aug08 (koriner bri)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
NENE DIAMOND Dec26 Nov22 Oct11 Sep05 Feb03 (puype mike)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.20 34% 1.90    
QUICK KATE Jan01 Jul25 May25 Apr27 Apr06 (lewis a)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00    
SCR  CHASING KAT Dec01 Aug29 Feb15 Jan06   (powell leon)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
BIG POP Dec26 Feb15       (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 1.40 29% 2.50    
 
SA-9   01/23/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR MAXIMUS Dec06 Nov10 Oct13 Aug25 Aug11 (periban jorge)BAZE C 124 10.00    
SCHWARZMEIER Oct05 Sep07 Jul20 Jun22 Nov25 (sadler w)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00    
HANDSOME TICKET Apr05 Feb25 Dec17 Nov24   (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
BRUCKNER Dec29 Nov10 Sep08     (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00    
OSCAR JOY Dec26 Nov30 Oct31 Oct06 Sep08 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
BOLT SUPREMACY Nov22 Sep08 Jun16 Sep10 Aug13 (baltas richa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
TRAVELIN' SHOW Nov16 Oct27 Sep01 May31 Apr20 (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00    
NAFTIS Nov24 Oct14 Sep13 Aug02 Jun28 (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.