Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - January 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (2/9/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/3/4)-(2/9/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/3/4)-(2/9/1/3/4)-(2/9/1/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/1/3/4)-(3/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/3/4)-(3/5/2)-(4/2/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/2/6/5)-(10/1/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-3   WIN (4/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5)-(4/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/5)-(10/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/5)-(10/1/5/4)-(1/6/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-4   WIN (10/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/5/4)-(10/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/5/4)-(10/1/5/4)-(10/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/5/4)-(1/6/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5/4)-(1/6/8/4)-(3/8/6/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4)-(1/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/4)-(3/8/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/4)-(3/8/6/1/2)-(8/1/7/2/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-6   WIN (3/8/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/1/2)-(3/8/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/1/2)-(3/8/6/1/2)-(3/8/6/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/6/1/2)-(8/1/7/2/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/1/2)-(8/1/7/2/4)-(7/4/5) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SA-7   WIN (8/1/7/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2/4)-(8/1/7/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2/4)-(8/1/7/2/4)-(8/1/7/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2/4)-(7/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/2/4)-(7/4/5)-(5/4/8/3/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
SA-8   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(5/4/8/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SA-9   WIN (5/4/8/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/3/9)-(5/4/8/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/3/9)-(5/4/8/3/9)-(5/4/8/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERSTING COURT         (mccarthy sean)BAZE C 122 20.00 9% 9.60    
CULTURAL         (mccarthy mi)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 3.00 29% 2.40    
EXALTED RULER         (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
GRAN SENOR DEL ORO         (p)ROJAS EDUARD 122 15.00 9% 9.60    
CHASIN A DOLLAR Dec07 Aug30 Apr11     (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
RUN ABBOUDY RUN Dec07 Nov15 Oct11 Sep14   (gonzalez fel)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 122 12.00    
CANYAHEARMEKNOCKIN Dec07 Oct13 Aug24 Jul27 Jun29 (blacker danie)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
TOPPERS AT SEASIDE Dec07 Nov17 Oct20 Sep08 Aug18 (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00    
EMPIRE WARRIOR Nov16 Oct11       (baltas ric)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
SA-2   01/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST AS FANCY Nov08 Oct06       (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.60    
  (by VOLATILE out of CLARENDON FANCY by MALIBU MOON)
GIGGLE GIGGLE Nov03 Oct04 Aug29     (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GRACE IS GONE by MALIBU MOON)
MARULA Nov24         (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAP IT ALL by TAPIZAR)
MADAME SECRETARY Nov16         (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NINA FEVER by BORREGO)
LOLO LE PLUME Dec07 Nov03 Oct04 Sep06   (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of LE PLUME by SMART STRIKE)
 
SA-3   01/03/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCONUT GIRL Jan15 Jan01 Dec10 Nov05 Oct22 (ivo)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 30.00    
  (by BOAT TRIP out of WOODMAN'S LASS by WOODMAN)
PONDICHERRY Nov23 Oct25       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by BAYERN out of NICE MEIDEL by BERNSTEIN)
THIRST FOR PASSION Dec01 Nov08 Aug30     (papaprodromou )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of PRIMED FOR PASSION by FLATTER)
DANZINGWITH MAXINE Jun29 May03 Apr06     (sise jr)SMITH E 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of MELANISTIC by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
COIFFEUR Nov29 Nov02 Oct04 Sep13 Aug16 (eaton terri)COUTON JULIEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
PRACTICAL DAZZLE Nov08 Oct12 Aug30 Aug04   (galvin bre)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 13% 6.90    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CAN'T BE DAZZLED by BLAME)
HAVE PATIENCE Apr07 Mar09       (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 8.00    
  (by PAVEL out of DRESSED TO A T by SQUARE EDDIE)
 
SA-4   01/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORSE DOCTOR Dec18 Nov24 Jun23 Jun08 May19 (perez sergio )AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
WARRENS WORLD Dec06 Nov24 Nov08 Oct13 Sep29 (wright bla)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
SCR  COWBOY KISSES Dec08 Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 Aug04 (tamayo isidro)FREY KYLE 122 10.00    
IT AINT OVER Dec06 Nov15 Oct20 Sep29 Sep14 (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAN OVERBOARD Dec18 Dec01 Nov02 Oct04 Sep06 (greiner gar)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  BERTACCHI Dec15 Nov24 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 (trujillo victo)ALVARADO T 122 12.00    
HALO RANDO Dec06 Nov15 Oct14 Sep13 Aug02 (pederson dean)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
SCR  PLAYING HARDBALL Dec13 Nov15 Aug16 Jun23 Oct15 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 20.00    
DUPLICATION Dec15 Sep02 Aug09 Jul28 Mar29 (maravilla jor)COUTON JULIEN 122 20.00    
10  IMPERIAL HORNET Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 Aug04 Jul21 (calvario sam)OROZCO E 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
 
SA-5   01/03/2025 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 3 F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NELL'S LEGACY Dec01 Aug08       (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 33% 2.00    
PRESS YOUR LUCK Dec14 Jun30 May31     (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
PETITE TREAT Dec01 Oct26 Sep28     (puype mike)ORANTES R 117 5.00    
WE THE FREE Dec01 Nov01 Oct04 Sep02   (papaprodromou )LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
THIRSTY MAMA Dec01 Nov01 Oct04 Sep02 Aug04 (miyadi stev)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 8.00    
HERAS HOPE Dec07 Oct26       (jaureg)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
CIOPPINA PASADINA Dec08 Oct19 Sep13     (treece charle)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 30.00    
GOING DEEP Nov26 Oct31 Sep28 Jun15   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  BROADWAY VENUS Aug04 May03       (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 10.00    
 
SA-6   01/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOLDE Dec07 Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 Sep15 (sherman steve )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 7% 13.90    
HAPPY DOES Nov29 Nov10 Nov01 Oct05 Sep07 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TESORO Nov03 Sep28 Aug31 Aug04 Jul07 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
BIG FLAME Dec07 Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 Oct05 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 8.00    
SCR  UPSTART YANKEE Dec07 Nov10 Oct25 Oct04 Sep02 (mclean bill)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 10.00    
BROTHER O' BRIEN Dec18 Nov15 Sep14 Aug18 Jul28 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
ITS THIEVERY Nov24 Nov08 Oct25 Sep14 Aug18 (torre)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 12.00    
RICH GOLD Dec07 Nov15 Nov01 Oct05 Sep14 (aguila al)HERRERA HUGO 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
MOUNT PELLIAR Nov08 Oct12 Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 (greiner gary)FLORES P 122 20.00    
10  KOBE W Dec08 Nov29 Oct19 Sep06 May11 (o'neill dou)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 12.00    
11  MOTHER'S PRAYER Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 Aug04 Jun22 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
 
SA-7   01/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($61K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY PRANCELOT Nov03 Oct11 Sep05 Jul25 Jun02 (damato philip)FREY KYLE 122 3.50 10% 9.20    
NAIDA Nov22 Oct25 Sep09     (baltas richa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DRAW ME Dec13 Nov08 Oct05 Aug11 Jul20 (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 122 20.00    
PROOF OF JAZZ Dec07 Nov17 Oct05 Sep07 Aug11 (trujillo)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHEZMISBEHAVING Nov03 Oct06 May25 Apr28 Jan12 (gutierrez jorge)BAZE C 122 4.00    
ASHLEYS SANDCASTLE Nov03 Oct06 Jul28 Jun14 May18 (damato philip)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
LADY MONCLAIRE Nov03 Oct06 Sep06 Aug04 Jan26 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 10% 9.40    
MIZ CLUBCALI Nov22 Oct11 Sep14 Aug29 Jul26 (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
GLACIER RIM Dec06 Nov03 Oct11 Sep06 Aug16 (ruis mick )GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 30.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE HY Dec06 Nov09 Oct12 Aug18 Jul21 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00    
 
SA-8   01/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($63K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOOSE MITCHELL Dec01 Nov09 Oct27 Aug24 May25 (papaprodromou )LEZCANO ABEL 124 8.00    
AGENCY Oct14 Sep06 Aug03 Jun07 Aug06 (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00    
MISSION BEACH Dec15 Nov08 Oct14 Aug24 Jul27 (knapp steve)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00    
FOR ALL MANKIND Dec01 Oct26 Sep29 Aug10 Apr09 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
POSITIVITY Dec15 Nov17 Oct01 Aug26 Jul22 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00 6% 16.90    
SLIDER Dec01 Oct10 Jan06 Nov03 Oct07 (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
ROLL ON BIG JOE Dec01 Oct27 Sep29 Sep06 May24 (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
SA-9   01/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAX N' LOU Dec01 Oct13       (puype mike)ORANTES R 116 3.50    
BURNING RUBBER Oct20         (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 121 4.50    
UNRIVALED HERO Dec07 Oct05 Sep07     (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
EARNED NOT GIVEN Aug18         (glatt mark)ESPINOZA V 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
MUTT DILLIN Nov03 Oct17       (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 121 5.00 39% 1.60    
LAST VINTAGE Dec08 Jul04       (moger jr)ALVARADO T 120 20.00    
LOOKIN FOR CURLY Dec07 Oct25       (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 10.00    
HEPHEPCUTDOWNNETS Nov17 Aug23       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MISSILE CRUISER Oct20 Sep28       (brinkerhoff va)LEZCANO ABEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.