Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Pleasanton
Sunday - December 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PLN-1   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(6/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(6/1/2)-(4/3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(4/3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(3/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-3   WIN (4/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/6/2)-(3/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/2)-(3/2/5)-(6/5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(6/5/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(6/5/2/4)-(1/5/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-5   WIN (6/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/4)-(1/5/3/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/4)-(1/5/3/8)-(2/10/9/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PLN-6   WIN (1/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/8)-(1/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/8)-(1/5/3/8)-(1/5/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/3/8)-(2/10/9/1/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/8)-(2/10/9/1/5)-(2/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PLN-7   WIN (2/10/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/1/5)-(2/10/9/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/1/5)-(2/10/9/1/5)-(2/10/9/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (2/10/9/1/5)-(2/1/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/10/9/1/5)-(2/1/3)-(6/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PLN-8   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PLN-9   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/8/2)-(6/4/8/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PLN-1   12/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHALKONEUPFORMOM Nov29         (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.00 31% 2.30    
2  BALLYMORE GIRLS         (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SASSY MISCHIEF         (preciado guill)HERRERA HUGO 125 20.00    
4  MAXWELL ST BLUES Nov29 Aug16 Jul27     (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 123 2.50    
5  ELWOOD ROAD Apr07 Mar17 Feb25     (thomas r)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 2.50    
6  PRANCIN LADY Nov10         (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
PLN-2   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COME OUT FIGHTING Nov24 Nov03 Sep21 Aug17 Jul27 (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
2  RIGHT HAND RYDER Dec01 Nov02 Oct11 Sep28 Aug10 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLEVER CLOVER Nov10 Oct19 Sep13 Aug02 Jul06 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 119 2.50    
4  VALIANT SON Nov24 Oct11 Sep13 May12 Apr20 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.50    
5  NOVINOPHOBIA Nov24 Nov03 Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
6  EVERYDAYISSATURDAY Nov24 Nov10 Oct06 Feb18 Jan07 (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
PLN-3   12/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD DAUGHTER Dec07 Sep27 Sep07 Aug17 Jul14 (hansen r)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00    
2  MAX'S MAXINE Nov10 Oct26 Sep28 Sep15 Aug23 (guillen isaur)COUTON JULIEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  VULIN Nov17 Oct19 Sep07 Aug24 Jul28 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 125 8.00 21% 3.80    
4  PRINCESS HEKAWI Nov23 Oct06 Aug18 Jul14 Jun21 (mccanna tim)DURAN F 125 1.40 45% 1.20    
5  CLASSY Nov17 Oct11 Sep29 Sep01 Aug25 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.50    
6  TROJAN WAY Nov29 Oct27 Oct04 Aug03 Jul06 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  OH ANGEL Nov29 Oct27 Oct04 Sep14 Aug02 (w)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 10.00    
 
PLN-4   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL GOLOSO Nov23 May04 Apr12 Feb18   (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 20.00    
2  TOUCHDOWN KITTLE Nov09 Nov19 Oct22 Sep29 Jun10 (sherman m)DURAN F 125 2.50 12% 7.20    
3  TIGERSUN Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 Aug02 (thomas ruby)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 3.00 62% 0.60    
4  MOOLA MAN Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 Sep22 Dec02 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 5.00    
5  GALLOPING MAJOR Nov30 Oct12 Sep22 Aug24 Aug02 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEAVER WAY Nov23 Mar08       (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 15.00    
7  IM GUNNA Nov23 Nov02 Oct07 Sep08 Sep02 (gilmour jim)COUTON JULIEN 123 3.00 ★    
SCR  SIR GEORGE ARTHUR Oct30 Aug04 Jul08 Jun25   (taylo)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 8.00    
 
PLN-5   12/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR TOM Dec01 Nov24 Nov01 Sep28 Sep07 (maravilla jor)COUTON JULIEN 125 5.00    
2  LUCKY LAD Nov30 Mar29 Mar01 Nov03 Oct08 (gabri)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 8.00 14% 6.20    
3  SIR LUCAS Dec01 Oct20 Oct06 Sep13 Aug13 (koch a)HERRERA HUGO 123 30.00    
4  BERTACCHI Nov24 Oct19 Sep28 Aug17 Jul06 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALMOST SNOW Nov24 Feb02 Jan06 Dec09 Nov12 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 125 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  HARCYN Nov24 Oct19 Sep22 Apr29 Mar31 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.50 34% 1.90    
7  IDIOT'S GOLD Nov10 May05 Apr14 May21 Apr30 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
8  IN VRONSKY STYLE Sep01 Jul07 Aug13 Jun24 Apr22 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 2.00    
 
PLN-6   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOW AND ZEN         (thomas jam)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  CANGREJO Nov23 Oct11 Sep13     (sherman m)DURAN F 123 2.50    
3  MENDONSA Nov30 Nov09 Feb02 Dec29 Dec10 (koch a)HERRERA HUGO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  STEVE'S BIG TICKET May18 May04 Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 1.80    
5  RIVER'S BENCHMARK Nov30 Nov09 Nov02 Oct19 Oct04 (ruvalcaba )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 8.00 32% 2.10    
6  BOSTON BURGLAR Nov23         (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 123 12.00    
7  ALIBI TERHUNE Aug02 Jul26 Jun09     (puent)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 30.00    
8  TRIANGLE Nov16 Nov02 Oct04 Sep02 Aug25 (greiner gar)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-7   12/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER OF ZION Nov08 Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 Aug09 (ramos)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 4.50 10% 9.40    
2  OUR EXPECTATION Nov16 Oct20 Aug16 Jan13 Dec10 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 2.00 26% 2.80    
3  AZURE STAR (IRE) Nov08 Oct19 Oct04 Aug11 Jul05 (bautista j)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 10.00    
4  CITY OF CHAMPIONS Dec01 Nov08 Oct04 Sep08 Aug31 (preciado guillermo)FLORES P 125 12.00    
5  DR. FLASH DANCER Nov24 Nov01 Sep29 Sep08 Jan05 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 10.00 5% 18.00    
6  CUT ACROSS SHORTY Dec01 Oct20 Oct05 Sep13 Aug10 (koch a)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00    
7  EDDIE CROSSWIRE Dec01 Nov08 May27 May12 Apr20 (greiner gar)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00    
8  DUPLICATION Sep02 Aug09 Jul28 Mar29 Mar08 (maravilla jor)COUTON JULIEN 125 15.00    
9  ELCONDOR Dec01 Nov08 Oct20 Sep28 Jul28 (ramo)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 8.00 11% 7.80    
10  MY BUCKET LIST Nov29 Nov15 Nov01 Oct13 Sep13 (badilla manuel)DURAN F 125 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
PLN-8   12/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bay Meadows Juvenile Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCIDENTAL GENIUS Nov17 Sep29 Sep15 Aug10   (f)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of RADISH by SQUARE EDDIE)
2  DROP UM Jul07 May26       (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of BEHAVIORAL by INCLUDE)
3  MALA Nov17 Oct27 Jul07 Jun09   (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of WITCHY ONE by SMART STRIKE)
4  MAXIMUS Nov17 Oct20       (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 122 3.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ONE PLAYFUL ACT by FLAT OUT)
5  THIRSTY VISION Nov23 Sep15 Aug10 Jul07 Jun23 (ramos je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 30.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY SCARLETT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
6  NIJINSKY HALO Nov23 Nov09 Sep15 Jul21 Jun23 (mcdaniel w)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 15.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of BLUE SKY HOLIDAY by VICTORY GALLOP)
7  KALEA BAY Nov17 Sep28 Sep01 Aug17   (baffert bob)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 1.40 ★    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
PLN-9   12/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 2 F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETINA VIBRATING Jul28 Jul05       (ramos je)BAUTISTA L 113 12.00    
2  SWEET RYDER         (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ON TIME TAM Oct13 Sep15 Aug08 Jul06   (bonde je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 3.50    
4  PRINCESS FAVE         (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LITTLE VENUS Nov29 Nov09       (gabri)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 120 20.00    
6  NEPHELE Nov16 Oct25 Sep21 Aug09 Jul20 (jauregui j)ALVARADO T 120 1.00 71% 0.40    
7  HARBOR STRIKE         (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 120 15.00    
8  WALK'N THE BEACH Nov16 Oct26 Sep14 Jul27   (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 120 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.