Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - November 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/3/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/3/9)-(4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DMR-2   WIN (1/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/9)-(1/3/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/9)-(1/3/9/2)-(1/3/9/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/9)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9)-(4/3)-(8/7/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DMR-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(8/7/6/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(8/7/6/5)-(1/6/4/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DMR-4   WIN (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/5)-(1/6/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/5)-(1/6/4/7)-(4/8/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DMR-5   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/7)-(4/8/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/7)-(4/8/5/1)-(2/3/6/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DMR-6   WIN (4/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/1)-(2/3/6/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/1)-(2/3/6/4/7)-(5/2/3/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
DMR-7   WIN (2/3/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/4/7)-(2/3/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/4/7)-(2/3/6/4/7)-(2/3/6/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/6/4/7)-(5/2/3/9/8) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
DMR-8   WIN (5/2/3/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/9/8)-(5/2/3/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/9/8)-(5/2/3/9/8)-(5/2/3/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   11/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARLEY HALL Oct05 Aug11       (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 0.80 55% 0.80    
FREEDOM OF SPEECH Sep07 Jul27 Jun29     (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 120 3.00    
PROBLEM SOLVER Oct25 Sep22       (dealba cesar)ORTEGA CESAR 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
TIGER STRENGTH Sep20 Aug18 Jul21     (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
BOB'S KID Oct25         (periban jor)HERRERA A 120 6.00    
SIR NANO Oct25 May03       (gomez ruben)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 8.00 7% 13.10    
 
DMR-2   11/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRICKIFULT         (hanson ryan)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of L'ECRITURE by BATED BREATH)
THETRIBEHASSPOKEN         (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of GLITZ by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
ROSA PARKS (GB) Oct26         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of S Y SKY by GRAZEN)
HULA PRANCER Oct26 Sep02       (kruljac ian)BAZE C 120 12.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of PACIFICA by RED JAZZ)
NEPAL Oct13         (puype mike)ORANTES R 115 30.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WE THE HOBBY Oct26 Sep21       (miller pete)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 3.50    
  (by OM out of AMERICAN FARRAH by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
GUILTYOFHAVINGFUN Oct26         (mathis andy)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 5.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of X S GOLD by GOLDEN BALLS)
GO CAMI OH         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00 14% 6.10    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of LITTLE TREASURE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
SCR  PAVEL'S ETOILE Oct26 Sep28 Aug11 Jul20 Jun13 ( )TBA null      
  (by PAVEL out of LA PREMIERE ETOILE by SQUARE EDDIE)
 
DMR-3   11/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCHDOWN BROWN Oct27 Oct06 Sep07 Aug18 Jul21 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.50    
MONGOLIAN ALTAI Oct11 Sep08 Aug23 Jul27 Jun16 (ganbat ene)ORANTES R 116 30.00    
ROYAL 'N RANDO Jun01 Apr27 Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 (puype mike)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 6.00 6% 15.30    
SAQEEL Oct06 Jun29 May26 Apr20 Mar21 (cerin vladimi)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  EL REY DORADO Sep14 Aug31 Aug03 Feb10 Jan13 (ruis sr)FREY KYLE 121 4.00    
SCR  SPEED GRAZY Oct31 Sep27 Aug23 Jul26 Jun02 (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 3.00    
SCR  READY TO POUNCE Oct26 Sep28 Sep05 Aug24 Jun29 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00    
 
DMR-4   11/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S Y DREAM Jun01         (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 20.00    
BELMONT BILL Oct14 Aug30 Aug10 May27 Apr27 (saavedra k)BAZE C 122 3.50    
TEDDY'S TRIUMPH Nov05 Oct08 Aug24     (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
CODY BOY Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 Aug08 Jun30 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
TIZZ A GOOD THING Sep29 Aug15 May25 Apr06 May28 (gaines car)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOLT SUPREMACY Sep08 Jun16 Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 (baltas richa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
CARIBBEAN KING Oct19 Aug25 Aug10 May27 Apr27 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
WILL BE Sep08 Feb15 Dec10 Nov11 Oct01 (damato philip)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  BEER MONEY Sep14 Aug24 Aug15 Jul27 Jul07 ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-5   11/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOVE ALL ELSE Oct18 Aug10 Jun28 May25 Apr20 (gaines carla)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
MATINA Apr05 Feb25       (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 5.00    
SHE'S NO ANGEL Aug02 May27 Mar23     (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
PARADE DOWN BROAD Mar29 Nov23       (hess b)SMITH E 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
GUITAR GIRL Oct14 Sep22 Sep30 Aug27 May14 (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 4.00    
RUNNING SUPER Oct14 Sep05 Aug09 Jun15   (cerin vladi)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 2.50 21% 3.90    
FLIGHT TO QUALITY (FR) Oct25 Dec26 Nov11     (knapp steve)BAZE C 122 8.00 7% 13.50    
 
DMR-6   11/22/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCROLL UP         (valenzuela ma)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 12.00 5% 18.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of ELUSIVE SABU by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
Z'S WARDROBE         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 10.00    
  (by PAVEL out of DRESSED TO A T by SQUARE EDDIE)
SCR  LIL' BOOM BOOM Sep02 Aug11 Jul06 Jun22 Jun15 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 2.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MISS BOOM BOOM by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
MISO PHANSY         (powell leon)HERRERA A 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SANDY CHEEKS by SOUVENIR COPY)
MAGA KAI         (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 5.00 5% 17.50    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of VAN DIEN AVENUE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
FOREST DAZZLE         (galvin w)BAZE C 120 6.00    
  (by FOREST COMMAND out of CAN'T BE DAZZLED by BLAME)
ONLY AFTER MIDNITE Oct19 Sep28       (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of KHAIRIYA by TWIRLING CANDY)
FREYA Oct26         (blacker danie)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.50 11% 8.20    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MAGIC SCHOOL by IN EXCESS (IRE))
MARIA TALLCHIEF         (damato philip)FREY KYLE 120 10.00    
  (by OM out of THALIA by TIZBUD)
 
DMR-7   11/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MARYANN Oct25 Nov10 Oct08 Sep08 Jan28 (gutierrez jorge)BAZE C 122 20.00    
WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE Sep07 Aug08 Jun22 May25 Apr28 (ellis ronald )FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.80 49% 1.00    
NENE DIAMOND Oct11 Sep05 Feb03     (puype mike)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
BARBERA Oct25 Sep27 Aug30 Dec15 Oct20 (ordonez agg)HERRERA A 122 5.00 6% 16.70    
NAIDA Oct25 Sep09       (baltas rich)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 8.00    
ANDIAMO RAGAZZA Oct12 Sep08 Aug15 Jul26 Jun22 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
MIZ CLUBCALI Oct11 Sep14 Aug29 Jul26 Jun15 (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUST IS Oct25 Aug30 Aug01 Jun09 Apr21 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 10.00    
BOLD CHOICE Oct11 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Oct08 (knapp steve)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 15.00    
10  NO CAP Nov08 Oct11 Sep07 Aug08 Jul06 (koriner bri)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 12.00    
 
DMR-8   11/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EREBUS Oct31 Oct06 Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 (lopez georg)HERRERA A 125 20.00    
SBAGLIATO Oct26 Oct11 Jun15 May05 Feb16 (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 2.50 21% 3.90    
THIRTY FOUR COUPE Oct27 Jan14 Nov19 Nov02 Sep29 (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
LEGITIFY (IRE) Oct05 Jun15 May24 Apr26 Apr04 (miller peter)BAZE C 122 8.00    
MEGA MOON Aug29 Aug09 May26 Apr16 Mar15 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 125 4.00 54% 0.90    
FLINT STROLL Oct26 Oct11 Aug29 Aug01 May31 (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 125 12.00    
DR. SOULFIRE Nov10 Jun09 May18 May05 Apr05 (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 5.00    
TOM AND JAZZY Oct27 Oct19 Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
LONE SCOUT Nov08 Oct26 Sep06 Sep10 Aug13 (hess b)MALDONADO E 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Oct26 Aug17 Aug09 May31 May10 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 125 15.00    
SCR  EASTBOUND Nov10 Oct20 Jun14 May04 Mar23 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.