Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Del Mar
Friday - November 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DMR-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/5/2)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DMR-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/5/1)-(1/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DMR-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(1/7/6)-(6/9/8/3/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DMR-4   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(6/9/8/3/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(6/9/8/3/4)-(9/1/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DMR-5   WIN (6/9/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/3/4)-(6/9/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/3/4)-(6/9/8/3/4)-(6/9/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/8/3/4)-(9/1/3/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8/3/4)-(9/1/3/6)-(1/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DMR-6   WIN (9/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/6)-(9/1/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/6)-(9/1/4/3/6)-(9/1/4/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/3/6)-(1/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3/6)-(1/6/3)-(1/2/5/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DMR-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/2/5/6/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
DMR-8   WIN (1/2/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6/4)-(1/2/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6/4)-(1/2/5/6/4)-(1/2/5/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DMR-1   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARTS FANTASY Oct19 Sep21 Sep02 Aug10   (moger j)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 4.00    
2  BUDS N SUDS Oct14 Sep13 Aug16 Jul20 Jul06 (knapp steve)BAZE C 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
3  VENICE VIBE Oct19 Sep20       (baltas ric)ORANTES R 115 0.80 52% 0.90    
4  TEH TEH Sep28         (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DYIN A THIRST Sep21 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 May26 (brinkerhoff)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 5.00    
6  LUCKY NEA Oct14 Sep20 Aug22 Jul27 Jun30 (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 30.00    
 
DMR-2   11/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR A LAUGH (IRE) Feb17 Dec31 Nov18 Sep04 Aug13 (callaghan si)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 4.00    
2  KIMMER Oct26 Oct11 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZALAMO (FR) Oct11 Jul26 May19 Mar24 Aug06 (powell leon)HERRERA A 123 3.50    
4  BEE CATCHER Oct20 Sep01 Aug25 Aug09 Jun16 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 123 3.00    
5  HULA CANDY Sep13 Aug18 Apr28 Mar24 Feb03 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 4.50 17% 5.00    
6  PHOSPHORESCENCE (FR) Oct11 Sep08 Jul27 Dec10 Nov18 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
DMR-3   11/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUND IN CIRCLES Oct11 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jun02 (ivory c)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  CANDYINTHEMORNING Oct25 Sep22 Aug16     (yakteen tim)CARMONA SERAFIN 120 2.50    
4  AUDITORY Oct25 Oct11 Sep05 Aug09 Jun15 (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
5  AFFAIR Oct19 Aug30 Dec26 Nov12   (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00 22% 3.40    
6  SHE BE BOSS Oct18 Oct05 Sep05     (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 1.80    
SCR  SHOOT FOR THE SKY Oct11 Sep06 Jun29 May03   ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-4   11/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE CAMIE Oct14 Aug17 Aug01 Jun13 Jun01 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  UNWRITTEN CODE Oct25 Apr19 Mar10 Jan13 Nov24 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
SCR  REBALATION Oct12 Sep28 Sep02 Jun07 May18 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 3.50    
4  SATOSHI Apr07 Feb16 Feb03 Jan05 Dec10 (lopez l)ORTEGA CESAR 122 15.00    
5  INNER BEAUTY (IRE) Oct14 Aug23 Jul26 May18 Apr21 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 120 4.00    
6  RED DIAMOND Sep27 Jan12 Dec01 Oct20 Apr29 (mcanally rona)VALDIVIA JR 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
7  A REAL JEWEL Oct14 Sep02 Aug17 Jun07 May18 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 120 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
DMR-5   11/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERMAN SHAQ Sep08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 Oct01 (farias adan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 20.00    
2  GRAZEN SUN Oct13 Sep28 Aug09 Jul06 Jun09 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 6.00    
3  PLAYING HARDBALL Aug16 Jun23 Oct15 Oct01 Sep03 (sise jr)BAZE C 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  RASSLER Oct11 Apr28 Mar24 Feb11 Jan12 (uranga jes)ORANTES R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  STORMY SAMURAI Jun22 Jun08 Nov18 Nov05 Aug18 (morfin serg)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 3.50    
6  SUNRISE JOURNEY Sep20 Aug16 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
7  SOUL OF MIDNIGHT Oct12 Aug18 Jun09 Jun01 May19 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
8  BAG'S GOLD Sep29 Aug11 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 5.00 6% 16.10    
9  EL DIABLO ROJO Sep06 Aug16 Aug04 Jul07 Jun08 (williams se)HERRERA A 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
 
DMR-6   11/15/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAHMS MENDELSSOHN         (galvin w)BAZE C 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BRAHMS COMMAND by FOREST COMMAND)
2  RUN ABBOUDY RUN Oct11 Sep14       (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 120 12.00    
  (by STANFORD out of SUGAR SPICE by TAVASCO)
3  BIG NOTION         (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of SWEET CONNIE GIRL by LEMON DROP KID)
4  FIX IT QUICK         (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00 ★    
  (by FLATTER out of RAPID REPAIR by ARCH)
5  TEN FIGURES Oct04 Sep07       (brinkerhoff)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of RUN ZIPPY RUN by CITY ZIP)
6  TRIPLE DIAMONDS         (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of FLORENTINE DIAMOND by SMILING TIGER)
7  HORNSBY         (baltas ric)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SWEET BOSS by STREET BOSS)
8  SOGNO DI VINO         (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MAKEME DREAM by QUALITY ROAD)
9  CULLEN J Oct04 Aug23       (baltas richar)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of DISKO DASKO by COUNTRY REEL)
SCR  GIANT LUTHER Oct25 Sep20 Aug30 Jul25 Jul04 (miller pete)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 10.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MASTERFUL LASS by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  DAY AT THE TRACK Oct25         (ellis ronald )VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of KVETCH by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  MR. MACHUPICCHU Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Aug15 Jul25 (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 115 5.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MISSMACHUPICCHU by GOLDENCENTS)
SCR  SHANAPLAN Oct25 Sep20 Sep07     (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 10.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of GYPSY FRIDAY by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
DMR-7   11/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMARA Nov03 Sep09 Aug19     (mandella richard )SMITH E 118 0.80 36% 1.80    
2  VITALERA (CHI) Nov03 Oct04 Aug25 Jun14 May05 (polanco mar)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 15.00    
3  YUKI (CHI) Sep02 Jul06 Apr27 Feb17 Nov03 (polanco marcelo)BAZE C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLIQUISH Feb03 Dec31 Nov23 Oct09 Aug31 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
5  ANYWHO Oct13 Aug25 Jul06 Jun02 May17 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.50    
6  SANDY BOTTOM Oct21 Sep10       (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
DMR-8   11/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CHARTER (GB) Oct14 Sep07 Aug11 Apr06   (powell leona)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
2  GRACELUND GRAY Apr06 Feb25 Jan14 Dec03 Oct15 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
3  SNEAKER Oct27 Sep29 Sep02 Aug18 May25 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 120 8.00    
4  TAHINI Oct27 Sep02 Aug11 May18 Apr06 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  YERWANTHERE (IRE) Oct14 Aug11 Jun09 Apr26 Feb24 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
6  WELL INTO Oct27 Jul31 Jul08 May06 May19 (thomas jonath)VALDIVIA JR 121 15.00 14% 6.20    
7  PARIS SECRET (IRE) Aug11 Apr26 Aug19 Jul22 Jun10 (damato philip)FREY KYLE 121 20.00    
8  ANG N ASH Oct26 Sep28 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 (palma )BERRIOS ISAAC 118 8.00    
9  REAL FIRE Oct12 Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jun01 (miller peter)BAZE C 121 12.00    
11  LEISUREWEAR (IRE) Aug03 Jun09 Apr26 Apr04 Feb24 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
12  FREE AND HUMBLE Apr15 Mar14 Feb10 Nov11 Oct01 (miller pete)CARMONA SERAFIN 116 20.00    
SCR  SPEED LANE Oct04 Aug11 Apr26 Mar29 Sep30 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.