Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pleasanton
Sunday - October 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PLN-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/1/2)-(5/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(5/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(7/2/3/10/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PLN-4   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2)-(7/2/3/10/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/2)-(7/2/3/10/1)-(5/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PLN-5   WIN (7/2/3/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/10/1)-(7/2/3/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/10/1)-(7/2/3/10/1)-(7/2/3/10/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (7/2/3/10/1)-(5/2/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/10/1)-(5/2/3)-(3/9/2/10/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PLN-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/9/2/10/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PLN-7   WIN (3/9/2/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/10/7)-(3/9/2/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/10/7)-(3/9/2/10/7)-(3/9/2/10/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PLN-1   10/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANAM GAL Sep15 Aug16 Jul06 Mar02 Feb11 (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 3.00    
BOBBY'S GENIE Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 Aug03 (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 125 1.80 14% 6.20    
TOPANTICIPATION (GB) Aug23 Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 Jun09 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 125 4.00    
LILA AT THE BEACH Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 Aug25 Aug10 (gilmo)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
CASILLALATER Oct04 Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 Jun30 (greiner gar)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-2   10/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH ANGEL Oct04 Sep14 Aug02 Jul05 Apr29 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
CASTAGNA Oct04 Aug10 Jul06 Jun02 May25 (o'neill )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 6.00 5% 18.90    
YOUR ROYAL FLYNESS Sep14 Jul07 Jun14 Apr28 Aug28 (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 125 5.00    
TROJAN WAY Oct04 Aug03 Jul06 Jun02 Jul08 (baker wa)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 10.00    
ZAFFERANA Sep29 Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 Sep23 (badilla manu)OROZCO E 123 3.00    
SMILE BABY SMILE Oct04 Sep08 Aug15 Jul28 Jul04 (mathis andy)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
PLN-3   10/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATEFOREST Oct11 Aug10 Jul04 Jun16 Oct23 (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00    
ZELAIA Oct11 Aug11 Aug03 May12 Apr15 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00 21% 3.90    
DESERT RUMBLE Sep29 Aug17 Jul26 Jun16 May18 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
REMEMBER SUE Sep21 Jun21 Sep18 Sep10 May21 (jauregui o)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 3.00    
SHELBY GOLD Sep08 Aug25 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 125 2.50 22% 3.40    
A CROWN FOR KITTEN Oct06 Aug23 Aug03 Jun09 May25 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 125 8.00 21% 3.70    
GEA Oct06 Aug11 Jul04 May25 Apr28 (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 5.00    
 
PLN-4   10/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARBOR DEAREST Sep08 Aug23 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 (lagrone se)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
STANDFORGRIT Sep07 Aug23 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 (hans)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PANDA PEAK Oct04 Sep15 Aug11 Jul14 May11 (sherman ste)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 4.00    
GENTLE JULIA Sep22 Sep01 Aug23 Aug03 Jun30 (stortz mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50    
JULIET'S KITCHEN Oct13 Sep08 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.80 63% 0.60    
SMOOVE AS SILK Aug10 Jul14 Jul04 Jun16 May27 (greiner gary)FLORES P 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAHARA SUE Sep15 Aug11 Jul20 Jul05 Jun16 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00    
PINEAPPLE CRUISE Oct04 Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 Jun23 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 6.00    
 
PLN-5   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN TORNADO Sep15         (taylor fai)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOUTHERN IMAGE out of LILY BE GOOD by TIZBUD)
SHOT CLOCK         (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 4.00 19% 4.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SWIFT STEPHAN Oct06 Sep15       (wright bla)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of DREAM SAVER by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  YOUR SWEET BABY         (taylor f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 12.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of IT'SALLYOURSBABY by ESKENDEREYA)
COUSIN THEO         (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 120 8.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of LISTA LUCCA by SMILING TIGER)
MAGILLIGAN Sep15         (bautista jorge)ALVARADO T 120 15.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of RAJA'S ROSE by SWISS YODELER)
GOIN' SOUTH Sep29 Sep01 Aug11     (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by OM out of CLEVER BIRD by AWESOME AGAIN)
NO ORDINARY TIGER Sep15         (mccanna tim)OROZCO E 120 12.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of UNBRIDLED SUMMER by BROKEN VOW)
RAGAZZONE         (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GOOD CREATION by CREATIVE CAUSE)
10  UNPRETENTIOUS Oct06         (lenzini mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 115 12.00 11% 8.10    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of R SUNDAY SURPRISE by LUCKY PULPIT)
 
PLN-6   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFAMOUS ANGEL Aug09 Jul07 Jun16 May26   (freeman edw)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50    
TIZ'S HARBOR Sep15         (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
UNSUSTAINABLE Sep22 Sep05 Aug15     (f)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
JUST TRUST ME Oct06 Aug15 Jul25 Jun16 Apr25 (bainum kel)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
MALA Jul07 Jun09       (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 1.80 36% 1.70    
SCR  RUMPUS A. P. Sep21 Aug09       (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 119 12.00    
 
PLN-7   10/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACHROMATIC Jul26 Jun21 Jun02 Apr07 Mar08 (bautista jorge)HERRERA HUGO 125 20.00    
STYLISH DRESS Jul20 Jun29 May18 Apr07 Mar09 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 3.00 13% 6.70    
PATSY MONTANA Oct12 Sep01 Aug16 Oct28 Feb24 (ramos jesus)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 4.00 44% 1.30    
RIVER OF AMBITION Oct04 Sep22 Sep14 Sep01 Aug11 (perez sergi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 20.00    
SCR  SHADOWED THOUGHTS Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 123 5.00    
CONQUEST SECRET Oct12 Sep22 Sep14 Aug18 Aug11 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 15.00    
KEEPYOURPRANCEON Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 Jul05 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
LADY WOLF Oct12 Sep07 Aug11 Jul05 Jun15 (stortz mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 6.00    
GALWAY SHAWL Sep07 Aug23 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.50 13% 6.60    
10  TOPPER'S CHIEFTESS Oct12 Sep22 Apr21 Mar16 Feb23 (gilmour jim)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.