Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - October 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(5/4)-(9/7/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(9/7/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(9/7/8/6)-(6/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-3   WIN (9/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/6)-(9/7/8/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/8/6)-(9/7/8/6/5)-(9/7/8/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/8/6)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/8/6)-(6/4/5)-(4/9/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/9/3/2)-(6/3/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/3/2)-(4/9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/3/2)-(4/9/3/2)-(4/9/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/3/2)-(6/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/3/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(3/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/2)-(3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(3/6/2)-(2/9/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-7   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(2/9/8/5)-(10/6/2/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-8   WIN (2/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/5)-(2/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/5)-(2/9/8/5)-(2/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/8/5)-(10/6/2/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SA-9   WIN (10/6/2/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/2/5/7)-(10/6/2/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/2/5/7)-(10/6/2/5/7)-(10/6/2/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   10/25/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER ATTRACTED Jul22 Jun17 May06 Apr07 Nov19 (powell leon)HERRERA A 121 2.50    
RECINTO ROMPERE Sep05 Jul25 Jun14 May11 Apr06 (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
ROSE DAWSON Sep14 May25 Feb18 Jan13 Nov12 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
POWER SURGE May05 Mar01 Feb02 Nov25 Jul28 (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 15.00 7% 12.90    
UNWRITTEN CODE Apr19 Mar10 Jan13 Nov24 Oct29 (periban jorge)BAZE C 122 4.00    
TAM'S LITTLE ANGEL Sep01 May25 May04 Mar31 Feb25 (garcia franci)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  ITZEL Sep02 Jul27 Jun02 Aug03 Jun18 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-2   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Anoakia Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD STARLET Sep07 Jul27       (yakteen tim)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PROUD HEROINE by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  MAWU Oct06         (baffert bob)SMITH E 120 3.00    
  (by BLAME out of SOUL SINGER by FLATTER)
PRACTICAL DREAM Sep08         (yakteen tim)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of IMFOREAL by IN EXCESS (IRE))
CASALU Oct06 Sep07 Aug10 Jul21   (baffert bob)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARACARO out of KEY D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SILENT LAW Sep21         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.00 60% 0.70    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SOUTHERN SILENCE by DIXIE UNION)
 
SA-3   10/25/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE SMOKIN DUDE         (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 10.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of VERY FEW DETAILS by GREAT NOTION)
GIANT LUTHER Sep20 Aug30 Jul25 Jul04   (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MASTERFUL LASS by MIZZEN MAST)
DAY AT THE TRACK         (ellis ronald )VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of KVETCH by DISCREET CAT)
MR. MACHUPICCHU Oct11 Sep14 Aug15 Jul25 Jun23 (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 115 8.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MISSMACHUPICCHU by GOLDENCENTS)
MARC THE MONEY MAN Sep07         (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00    
  (by POINT PIPER out of DIXIE DAME by DIXIELAND BAND)
CHARMZ AWAY Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 Jun16 May26 (mendez luis)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
  (by UPTOWN RYTHEM out of SOUTHERN PREACHER by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
SHANAPLAN Sep20 Sep07       (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by MRAZEK out of GYPSY FRIDAY by IN EXCESS (IRE))
THE SHILLELAGH Sep07         (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BRANDYAFTERDINNER by AFLEET ALEX)
MILES FINCH         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by VRONSKY out of SEASONTOPERFECTION by POTEEN)
 
SA-4   10/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOP TILL YOU DROP Sep22 Jan28 Jan01     (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
SCR  STELLAR CAP Sep20 Sep07 Aug01 Jun29   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 8.00    
SCR  MIRACLE BALL Sep14 Aug10       (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 6.00    
CHASE'N KOTA Aug24         (papaprodromou)FRESU ANTONIO 121 12.00 29% 2.50    
SIDE BY SIDE Aug23 Jan28 Dec01 Nov02 Oct07 (headley kare)LAFAYE CAMILLE 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
A TOAST TO LANIE Aug23 Aug02       (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 1.40 40% 1.50    
UFFDA Sep29 Aug01 Jul05 May27 Oct09 (kruljac e)HERRERA A 121 3.00    
 
SA-5   10/25/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENOR REECE         (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 10.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of BOOMCHICABOOM by LUCKY PULPIT)
CHECK'S ON THE WAY         (callaghan s)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 12.00 7% 13.50    
  (by MRAZEK out of TAFFETA by SOUTHERN RHYTHM)
ITS A CINCH Oct04 Sep01 Aug11     (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 2.50 8% 11.10    
  (by OM out of TAHITIAN LAGOON by UNUSUAL HEAT)
BAZOOKA CHARLIE         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by GRAZEN out of DRAW IT NOW by TIZNOW)
P TOWN PRANCER         (bonde jeff)BAZE C 120 10.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SOME EXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
LORD DUNMORE Aug23         (sadler w)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of GOOD ON PAPER by WAR FRONT)
SCR  OM BY DARK         (blacker dan)HERRERA A 120 15.00    
  (by OM out of CAMILLE C by ROMAN DANCER)
THREE GEORGES Sep29 Aug31 Jul26     (kruljac ian)FREY KYLE 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LEVELER by EVEN THE SCORE)
NO POKING AROUND         (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 120 3.50 9% 9.90    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of BELLSBLADE by MR. BROAD BLADE)
 
SA-6   10/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN FOR CURLY         (oviedo phil)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
SIR NANO May03         (gomez ruben)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOB'S KID         (periban jor)HERRERA A 120 12.00 14% 6.00    
CARDINAL SPIRIT Aug22 Jul27 Jun14     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.00    
PROBLEM SOLVER Sep22         (dealba cesar)ORTEGA CESAR 120 10.00    
JUST DEAL         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 41% 1.40    
GLORIOUS OSCAR Aug15         (palma hect)ORANTES R 115 5.00    
 
SA-7   10/25/2024 6600ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOTTLE ROCKET (FR) Sep29 Aug24 Jul27     (powell leonar)AYUSO ARMANDO 119 5.00    
DEN OF INIQUITY (GB) Oct05 Sep05 Aug08 May26 Apr27 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
CAMERON SLOUGH Aug30 Aug02 Jun15 May24 Apr17 (drysdale neil)FRESU ANTONIO 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
IMA JOKER Sep29 Sep02 Aug08 Jun16 Apr27 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
SCR  CONTROL FUNCTION Aug16 Jun02 May10 Mar29 Feb18 (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 123 5.00    
CHASINGSERENDIPITY Sep27 Aug23 Jul26 Mar01 Jan05 (cerin vladimi)VALDIVIA JR 123 12.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  HIGHLANDS Sep27 Sep02 Aug15 Jul20 Jun09 (lopez georg)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 20.00    
KELLY'S OUT (IRE) Sep06 Jul21 Jun16 Apr27 Apr05 (bainum kelly)BAZE C 123 2.00    
 
SA-8   10/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIONE Aug30 Jul26 May12 Apr07 Mar17 (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 119 5.00    
NAIDA Sep09         (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
BARBERA Sep27 Aug30 Dec15 Oct20 Sep09 (ordonez aggie)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
JUST IS Aug30 Aug01 Jun09 Apr21 Dec16 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 20.00    
LADY MARYANN Nov10 Oct08 Sep08 Jan28 Dec26 (gutierrez jorge)BAZE C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROSIE FORECAST Aug04 Jul01 May26 Apr23 Mar19 (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 15.00    
SCR  NEEZER DALTON Sep07 Jul28 Jun29 Jun14 May25 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 4.50    
MIRINDA Sep08 Jul25 Apr06 Nov03 Sep10 (mandella gary)SMITH E 119 6.00 12% 7.00    
SAFA Sep07 Aug18 Jul26 Jun14 May25 (stute gary)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
SA-9   10/25/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 35 M/F PT- 8:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANGEROUS AFFAIR Aug02 Jun09       (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.50    
RICH OF JOY Aug30 Aug10 Jun15     (garcia victor )CEDILLO ABEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANDYINTHEMORNING Sep22 Aug16       (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 124 10.00    
AUDITORY Oct11 Sep05 Aug09 Jun15   (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PONDICHERRY         (blacker dani)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 121 3.50 7% 12.90    
MORGAN'S BLUFF Sep13 Aug23 Mar30 Feb10 Jan05 (hess b)MALDONADO E 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
FLIGHT TO QUALITY (FR) Dec26 Nov11       (damato philip)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00    
JAI HO Aug09 Jun09 May17 Apr20 Apr30 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 123 8.00    
10  CERTITUDE (FR) Aug02 Jun15 May10 Apr06 Mar04 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 2.50 70% 0.40    
SCR  MISS MANDALAY (GB) Sep07 Jul27 Sep08     ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.