Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Wednesday - October 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (6/11/10/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/10/8/1)-(6/11/10/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/10/8/1)-(6/11/10/8/1)-(6/11/10/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/11/10/8/1)-(3/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ALB-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(4/8/9/5/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ALB-3   WIN (4/8/9/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/5/11)-(4/8/9/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/5/11)-(4/8/9/5/11)-(4/8/9/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ALB-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAPELLO RIDDLER Sep22         (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of MARIA'S OWN by MARIA'S MON)
GAMBLAWAY Sep22         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 6.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of GAMBLERS ODYSSEY by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  MARKSALOT Sep22         (fincher w)HEBERT J 117 3.00    
  (by MARKING out of AMERICAN LADY by STARSPANGLEDBANNER)
SCR  SAPELLO SICARIO Sep22         (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 15.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of WHERE'S SCARLET by IN EXCESS (IRE))
GOLDEN GATO Sep14 Sep06       (henry l)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 10.00    
  (by METABOSS out of KATIE IT'S FINE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SHORT ROUND BOUND Sep06         (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 4.50 35% 1.80    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of JUST KEEP MOVIN by TRAPPE SHOT)
SHINY SHORES Sep06         (lambert casey)ZAVALA JULIAN 120 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of NITA BRAVO by EVERYDAY HEROES)
PRO SPECIAL Sep22         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROCEED out of COCKTAIL GIRL by HENNESSY)
RUNNING BEAR Sep06 Aug24       (pierce w)VALDEZ S 120 20.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of BONNIE BEAR by GONE WEST)
10  B BOLD CHARLIE         (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 120 10.00 17% 4.70    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of B BOLD CINDY by DESERT GOD)
11  W F AMERICAN CAT         (green greg)ROSENDO J 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of CURVY KITTEN by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
 
ALB-2   10/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEND AGAIN Oct13 Sep25 Jun15 May11 Apr27 (q)DE CRUZ 123 2.00    
SMOKE STACK Aug10 Jun14 Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 (martinez a)CARRENO J 123 3.50    
COPPER STATE Sep25 Sep05 Jun22 May12 Apr27 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
THE RONALD May11 Apr04 Mar20 Feb15 Dec04 (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 8.00 13% 6.40    
GOLD EXPRESS Oct13 Sep25 Sep07 Aug16 Aug02 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 123 4.00    
ZACH WHO Oct06 Sep19 Sep07 Jun15 May11 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
ALB-3   10/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KIAMANASJOYOUSDAY Oct06         (eliott )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 122 30.00    
QUICK TRACK Oct06 May18 May04 Apr20 Apr07 (nava)GOMEZ PORTILLO 122 15.00    
CASH UP Oct13 May04 Apr07     (archuleta adam)CARRENO J 122 25.00    
FLAQUITA Sep28 Sep12 Feb09 Jan05   (chadborn k)TORRES J 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
OAKLEY COURT Oct13 Sep28 Aug17     (amparan alb)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MARKED ACE Sep01 Mar22 Dec19 Nov20   (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 3.00    
SWAYING LASSIE Oct11 Sep12 Aug17 May04 Apr07 (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 122 4.50    
VEGUITA         (chavez arturo)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 20.00 26% 2.90    
JULIA'S PROMISE Sep28 Sep01 Aug02     (armstrong sherry)MEDELLIN A 122 12.00 21% 3.80    
10  FEARLESS YODA Oct06 Nov13 Sep04     (vurgun zafer)TEETER NAKIA 122 30.00    
11  F S THUNDER RUN         (lello ton)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 25.00 5% 19.00    
12  MY YELLOWSTONE Oct11 Sep28       (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 122 6.00    
 
ALB-4   10/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELL GAME Sep22 Aug24 Jul27 Jul19 Jun09 (constant rona)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY VEGAS Sep18 Apr04 Mar20 Feb18 Jan15 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00    
WILEO PROCEED Oct05 Sep18 Sep08 Apr21 Mar28 (douglas natalie)CARRENO J 121 8.00    
OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Oct04 Sep11 Aug25 Apr18 Mar25 (villamar ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
FIRST TIME PLAYER Oct13 Sep26 Sep06 Feb22 Feb01 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
BROADWAY DISH Sep13 Aug16 May18 May04 Apr13 (gonzalez a)ROSENDO J 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
SCR  SAVONA (IRE) Sep26 Aug29 Aug18 Jul13 Jun27 (barr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.