Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-5   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SWF-6   WIN (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-7   WIN (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-8   WIN (8/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/6)-(8/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/6)-(8/7/2/6)-(8/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/6)-(2/4/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-9   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-5   09/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRIZZLED Aug16         (mitchell chris)VIRGEN JESUS 124 15.00    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of HANNAH GOT EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
2  ROLLING MY EYES Aug25 Jul21 Jul07 Jun29   (hall dru)CANALES J 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  ZIP IT KAREN Aug25 Aug11 Jul20     (greene casey)JOURNET JARRED 121 2.50 ★    
  (by FIVE SEASONS out of ASTORMISLAUNCHED by STORM CREEK)
4  SUN TAY Aug25 Aug11 Jul07     (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of AVANTI by GONE ASTRAY)
5  COME NOW Aug11 Jul07       (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 124 6.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of DEPUTY INNOVATOR by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
6  SLEW CITY TIZ Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07   (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of TIZ WILLY by TIZNOW)
7  LADY CYCLONE Aug25 Aug11 Jul07     (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 3.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
SWF-6   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WASSUP BRO Aug31 Aug17 Oct01 Sep09 Sep01 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 128 4.00 23% 3.30    
2  DISCO DANZING Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 (sim)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 5.00    
3  CONTEJAS Sep06 Jul20 Jun28 May11 Sep09 (tsosie terril)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHARLIE MO Sep13 Aug30 Aug18 Aug04 Jun29 (dominguez c)CANALES J 128 3.00    
SCR  WILDCATTERS DREAM Sep15 Sep06 Aug18 Jul20 Jun30 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 15.00    
6  MUSCLE HEAD Sep13 Sep01 Aug18 Aug10 May26 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 128 8.00    
7  STAND TO Sep15 Sep01 Aug30 Aug24 Aug17 (van tassell )CARILLO DANIEL 128 12.00 15% 5.50    
8  WAYLAY Aug25 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun22 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
SWF-7   09/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK THIS BAR Sep15         (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 2.50 13% 6.60    
2  SKY CLOUD Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 May18 (tsosie terr)CANALES J 126 1.80 49% 1.00    
3  THE BUSINESS MAN Sep15 Aug30 Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 (tsosie terrill)LARSEN S 128 4.50 7% 12.80    
4  OBSIDIAN GOLD Aug31 Aug16 Aug11 Jul13 Jun29 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DIABLOS MOON Aug30 Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (nielsen rodney )GARNETT G 128 15.00    
6  MOON HOLLOW Sep08 Aug30 Sep30 Sep10 Sep02 (nielsen rodn)CARDENAS JACOB 128 4.00    
7  STAYIN' OUT LATE Sep01 Aug17 Aug10 Jul20 Nov20 (mitchell chris)VIRGEN JESUS 128 8.00    
 
SWF-8   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW DOSE Sep08 Aug30 Aug17 Jul14 Jun30 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 125 8.00    
2  ROCHESTER'S FINEST Sep08 Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 Jul06 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 10.00 15% 5.60    
3  ALTERNATE TIME Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 Jul06 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 10.00    
4  GO THRU THE HOLE Sep08 Aug25 Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 (story shaun)JOURNET JARRED 128 2.00    
5  FLASHY PASS Sep06 Aug18 Aug04 Dec31 Dec10 (giles rae)RIVAS CARLOS 125 6.00    
6  STREET N SOUR Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (simpson lynn)LARSEN S 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GREY ROGUE Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Jul20 Jul13 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 128 5.00 17% 5.00    
8  FIRE WHEN READY Sep06 Aug25 Jul21 Jun29 Oct07 (bunn shawn)CANALES J 128 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
SWF-9   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER TIBER (IRE) Aug31 Jun30 Jun23 Jun14 Nov05 (moody ski)RIVAS CARLOS 128 3.00    
2  LEAP DAY Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 128 4.00 59% 0.70    
3  ROUGE SUNSET Sep06 Aug25 Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 (barriga diaz)CARILLO DANIEL 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNTO THEE Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 Jul01 Jun11 (simpson gary)LUSK TYSON 128 3.50 12% 7.50    
5  BOURBON AND WATER Sep06 Aug31 Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 (story shaun)JOURNET JARRED 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GREAT BOOK Aug24 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06   (guadarrama om)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 15.00    
7  SECOND NATURE Sep01 Aug17 Jul13 Jun30 May14 (rivas guzma)CANALES J 128 4.50    
8  COLLINS AVE Sep07 Sep02 Aug16 Jul20 Jul06 (evans kash)VIRGEN JESUS 128 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.