Handicappers' Racing Form

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Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SWF-5   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SWF-6   Win (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SWF-7   Win (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SWF-8   Win (8/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SWF-9   Win (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SWF-5   09/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIZZLED Aug16         (mitchell r)VIRGEN JESUS 124 15.00    
ROLLING MY EYES Aug25 Jul21 Jul07 Jun29   (hall dru)CANALES J 121 3.50 51% 1.00    
ZIP IT KAREN Aug25 Aug11 Jul20     (greene casey)JOURNET JARRED 121 2.50    
SUN TAY Aug25 Aug11 Jul07     (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
COME NOW Aug11 Jul07       (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 124 6.00    
SLEW CITY TIZ Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07   (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
LADY CYCLONE Aug25 Aug11 Jul07     (hadley tori)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 3.00    
 
SWF-6   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WASSUP BRO Aug31 Aug17 Oct01 Sep09 Sep01 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 128 4.00 23% 3.30    
DISCO DANZING Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 (simps)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 5.00    
CONTEJAS Sep06 Jul20 Jun28 May11 Sep09 (tsosie terrill)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLIE MO Sep13 Aug30 Aug18 Aug04 Jun29 (dominguez cal)CANALES J 128 3.00    
SCR  WILDCATTERS DREAM Sep15 Sep06 Aug18 Jul20 Jun30 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 15.00    
MUSCLE HEAD Sep13 Sep01 Aug18 Aug10 May26 (tsosie terrill)CARDENAS JACOB 128 8.00    
STAND TO Sep15 Sep01 Aug30 Aug24 Aug17 (van gl)CARILLO DANIEL 128 12.00 15% 5.50    
WAYLAY Aug25 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun22 (hadley tori)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
SWF-7   09/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK THIS BAR Sep15         (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 2.50 13% 6.60    
SKY CLOUD Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 May18 (tsosie terril)CANALES J 126 1.80 49% 1.00    
THE BUSINESS MAN Sep15 Aug30 Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 (tsosie terrill)LARSEN S 128 4.50 7% 12.80    
OBSIDIAN GOLD Aug31 Aug16 Aug11 Jul13 Jun29 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
DIABLOS MOON Aug30 Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (nielsen l)GARNETT G 128 15.00    
MOON HOLLOW Sep08 Aug30 Sep30 Sep10 Sep02 (nielsen rodney)CARDENAS JACOB 128 4.00    
STAYIN' OUT LATE Sep01 Aug17 Aug10 Jul20 Nov20 (mitchell r)VIRGEN JESUS 128 8.00    
 
SWF-8   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOW DOSE Sep08 Aug30 Aug17 Jul14 Jun30 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 125 8.00    
ROCHESTER'S FINEST Sep08 Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 Jul06 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 10.00 15% 5.60    
ALTERNATE TIME Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 Jul06 (green)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 10.00    
GO THRU THE HOLE Sep08 Aug25 Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 (story shaun)JOURNET JARRED 128 2.00    
FLASHY PASS Sep06 Aug18 Aug04 Dec31 Dec10 (giles raele)RIVAS CARLOS 125 6.00    
STREET N SOUR Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (simpson lynn)LARSEN S 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
GREY ROGUE Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Jul20 Jul13 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 128 5.00 17% 5.00    
FIRE WHEN READY Sep06 Aug25 Jul21 Jun29 Oct07 (bunn shawn)CANALES J 128 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
SWF-9   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER TIBER (IRE) Aug31 Jun30 Jun23 Jun14 Nov05 (moody skip)RIVAS CARLOS 128 3.00    
LEAP DAY Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 (tsosie terrill)CARDENAS JACOB 128 4.00 59% 0.70    
ROUGE SUNSET Sep06 Aug25 Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 (barriga l)CARILLO DANIEL 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNTO THEE Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 Jul01 Jun11 (simpson gary)LUSK TYSON 128 3.50 12% 7.50    
BOURBON AND WATER Sep06 Aug31 Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 (story shaun)JOURNET JARRED 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
GREAT BOOK Aug24 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06   (guadarrama omar)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 15.00    
SECOND NATURE Sep01 Aug17 Jul13 Jun30 May14 (rivas guzman )CANALES J 128 4.50    
COLLINS AVE Sep07 Sep02 Aug16 Jul20 Jul06 (evans kash)VIRGEN JESUS 128 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.