Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(4/1/5)-(2/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(2/6/1)-(2/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(2/5/6)-(6/4/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(6/4/9/2)-(2/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (6/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/9/2)-(6/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/9/2)-(6/4/9/2)-(6/4/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/9/2)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/9/2)-(2/1/5)-(4/6/1/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-10   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(4/6/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-11   WIN (4/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/9)-(4/6/1/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/9)-(4/6/1/3/9)-(4/6/1/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.332K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOKE UP IN LOVE May20 Nov01 Oct13 Sep18 Sep04 (arnett g)TOHILL S 122 3.00 ★    
2  TOSKA'S RULER Aug17 Jul12 Jun24 May26 May10 (martin timoth)BACON W 119 2.00 68% 0.50    
3  LUCKY LOUIE Aug30 Aug11 Jul26 Jul05 Jun15 (johnston lan)JORDAN R 122 6.00    
4  TIN BADGE Aug30 Aug03 Jun15 Apr01 Nov08 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50    
5  STAR OF MINE Aug24 Jul29 Jun22 Jun03 May20 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 4.00    
6  TAP THE BRAKES Aug30 Aug17 Jul29 Jun17 May26 (arceo salvador)CORBETT W 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-6   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC CASH Aug16 Jul29 Jul07 Jun08 May24 (fett brandi)BACON W 116 2.00 27% 2.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of ANNIEBEAR by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  RED SANGRIA Jul27 Jul07 Jun17 May24   (wellington to)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 4.00    
  (by KLIMT out of DARE TO WEAR RED by PURE PRIZE)
3  OVERQUALIFIED Aug16 Jul29       (tracy tanner)JORDAN R 121 3.50    
  (by DOMINUS out of DISQUALIFIED by SKY CLASSIC)
4  JADA Jul07 Jun17 May27     (anderson l)BIRZER E 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MO BABY by UNCLE MO)
5  STELLA BELLA Aug16 Jul29 May24     (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of KRISTELLA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  CANADIAN JANE Aug12 Jul13 Jun23 Jun10 May20 (martin n)TOHILL S 121 15.00    
  (by STROLL out of MISS LADY JUNE by COOL COAL MAN)
 
PRM-7   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDING THE TRAIN Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 Jun01 Apr05 (pearson p)MEDINA ANGEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUCKY'S SECRET Aug26 Aug18 Aug02 Jul19 Jul08 (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  JUPITER MISSION Sep07 Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 Jun01 (arnett g)BIRZER E 115 2.00    
4  HEIR (FR) Aug25 Jul10 Jun20 Jun02 May18 (fuentes rube)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.50    
5  OBVIOUSLY TOO Sep08 Aug18 Aug03 Jul08 Jun15 (schleis casey)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00    
6  MISTER SHARPIE Aug05 Jul27 Jun29 Jun07 Apr12 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
PRM-8   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOPHIE'S STAR Aug30 Jul20 Jun24 Jun02 May24 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.00    
2  WUMPMUG Sep02 Aug18 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 (condon)FLETCHER D 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SWEET AND EZ Jul29 Jun29 May31 May01 Apr08 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00    
SCR  KANTIRUN Aug30 Aug16 Jul14 Jun29 Jun14 (gleason tyron)BACON W 115 8.00    
5  CAN'T MAKE ME Aug31 Aug18 Jul29 Jun29 Jun14 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  BREAKFASTRUN Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Dec31   (jordan todd )JORDAN R 120 10.00 11% 8.10    
7  ANCHORS AND SPURS Aug31 Aug16 Jul22 Jun29 Jun14 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 117 12.00    
8  AMERICAN SUE Aug31 Aug17 Jul29 Jul08 Jun29 (martinez )DE CRUZ 121 3.50    
 
PRM-9   09/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE MY HUCKLEBERRY Aug31 Jul22 Jun16 Apr27 Apr20 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
2  AZTEC EMPRESS Jul22 Jun02 May17 Apr12 Feb02 (hornsby tammy)TOHILL S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I GOT A NAME Aug30 Aug18 Jul20 Jun24 Nov21 (gleason tyrone)BIRZER E 124 20.00    
4  MS I SPEIGHT Aug24 Aug11 Jul28 May02 Apr20 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
5  LAZY N LUCKY May20 Sep24 Sep15 Sep08 Aug11 (mcshane david)BACON W 116 6.00    
6  BIG TIPPA Aug24 Aug12 Jul20 Jun29   (lemburg mark)JORDAN R 120 3.00 49% 1.10    
7  GODDESS OF WAR Sep05 Aug04 Jun27 Jun02 Apr29 (lund valorie)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.00    
8  STAY FABULOUS Aug24 Aug10 Jul12 Jun07 Mar24 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50    
9  BREATHTAKING FOLLY Aug31 Aug03 Jul22 Jun29 Jun14 (ibarra jose)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00 7% 13.50    
 
PRM-10   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($47.122K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Aug23 Jul14 Jun24 May31 Apr16 (eikleberry kevin)BIRZER E 126 1.80 33% 2.10    
2  REDNECKERTHANYOU Sep06 Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 (martinez )DE CRUZ 126 3.50 35% 1.80    
3  JUSTA STREAK Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 Sep11 (mcshane david)BACON W 117 3.00    
4  SUCCESSION (GB) Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 Jun23 May31 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 124 4.00    
5  SECRET BLARNEY Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jun24 Jun09 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PALACE GUARD Aug17 Jul14 Jun09 May19 Dec13 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 122 5.00    
 
PRM-11   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.978K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLAR'S FIRE Aug31 Aug24 Aug17 Jul29 Jul08 (arnett g)TOHILL S 123 6.00 7% 14.00    
2  SONG OF PRAISE Aug17 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May17 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 123 20.00    
3  TENNESSEE GRACE Aug16 Aug03 Jun23 Sep17 Sep04 (hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 ★    
4  SHESGOTSPIRIT Sep06 Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 Jun10 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  CLIMB TO GLORY Aug24 Aug04 Jul22 Jul07 Jun21 (pearson p)DE CRUZ 123 8.00    
6  S C SKYLARS EMPIRE Sep08 Aug24 Aug16 Aug03 Jul22 (condon schuyl)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
7  SISTER SWEDE Sep01 Aug16 Jun17 May18 Apr07 (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 123 5.00    
8  BETH'SWICKEDSMACK Aug31 Jun15 May31 May10 Sep15 (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 123 15.00    
9  OLIVIA'S HOPE Aug24 Aug04 Jun14 May17 May04 (chleborad lyn)BACON W 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.