Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/3/5)-(3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/5)-(5/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/6/1)-(3/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FNO-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(3/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(3/2/6)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(4/2/1)-(4/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(4/5/3)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FNO-8   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/4/3/5)-(2/1/4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   09/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY THIRSTY Jun23 Jun08 May27 May05 Mar23 (bonde je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 3.00 18% 4.70    
2  SWIFT NONNI Sep01 Aug09 Jul28 Jul04 May11 (stor)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 5.00    
3  A ROUSING BABE Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 Jun23 May05 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY'S SERMON Aug16 Jul27 Mar10 Jan01 Dec10 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 121 1.60 39% 1.50    
5  MORNING ADDICTION Aug22 Jul27 May05 Apr06 Mar17 (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 2.50    
 
FNO-2   09/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LAYLA RAE Aug18 Jul27 Jun14 May31 Apr07 (tekos ange)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 1.80    
2  I'M A RISQUE GIRL Jan06 Dec08 Nov10 Sep08 Aug13 (france rei)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  HOLLYWOOD RUMOR Aug11 Jul04 Jun21 May27 May10 (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 6.00 15% 5.90    
4  PANDA PEAK Aug11 Jul14 May11 Mar16 Feb11 (sherman ste)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00    
5  SAHARA SUE Aug11 Jul20 Jul05 Jun16 May18 (tamayo isidro)COUTON JULIEN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIA SUZI Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 Jul12 Jun16 (perez s)ALVARADO T 122 10.00    
 
FNO-3   09/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUSMA Aug18 Aug09 Jul28 Feb02 Jan01 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 5.00    
SCR  KRISTIN LEE Aug18 Jul28 Jun21 May12 Feb02 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 124 3.50    
3  CLARINA Aug16 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May18 (haley gloria)ALVARADO T 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
4  VELOCIOUS Aug16 Dec26 Dec02 Nov12   (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
5  BROADWAY TIGER Aug18 May12 Mar31 Mar03 Feb02 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
FNO-4   09/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG MAMA THORNTON Sep01 Jul26 Jul13 Jun08 May26 (bean)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 10.00 6% 15.50    
2  SUPERSONIC FLYER Sep02 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Mar23 (preciado g)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 4.00    
3  CANAM GAL Aug16 Jul06 Mar02 Feb11 Jan19 (mclean b)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00    
4  BOURBON GLAZE Aug11 Jul06 May12 Apr28 Mar31 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00    
5  A DIME FOR ME Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 1.80 48% 1.10    
6  THE GREAT HAYNES Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 May11 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
FNO-5   09/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMMARA Aug16 May10 Apr07 Feb03 Nov11 (haley)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 125 3.50    
2  MAX'S MAXINE Aug23 May03 Apr04 Mar02 Feb11 (sherman ste)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
3  TOM'S TREASURE Jul27 Jul05 Jun23 Jun02 May11 (mara)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  JEANNER Aug09 Jun02       (haley gloria)ALVARADO T 122 3.00    
5  DANCING NURSE Jul27         (delima cli)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 10.00    
6  PARTHENA Jul27 Jun22 Jun08     (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 7% 14.30    
 
FNO-6   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROARING TIGER Aug17 Aug10 Jul07 Jun07 May26 (jauregui o)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  NIGHT PROOF Aug10 Jul27 Jun16 May26 Aug28 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  KEEP MOVIN' ON Aug10 Jun22 May25 Apr28 Mar01 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 118 3.50    
4  NOLDE Jan14 Nov19 Oct30 Sep25 Sep02 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  WE CAN Aug04 Jul21 May11 Apr21 Mar29 (meier r)COUTON JULIEN 118 4.50    
6  DOO WOP DON Jul21 Jun16 Jun01 May04 Apr13 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 121 2.00    
 
FNO-7   09/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GOOD TROUBLE Aug11 Jul07 Jun16 Apr20 Apr07 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 122 6.00    
2  SUNGLASSES (GB) Jul04 May25 Apr28 Apr06 Mar17 (badilla ma)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.50    
3  POKER ALICE Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 Apr26 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 5.00 6% 15.40    
4  BREVE Aug11 Jun29 Jan15 Dec26 Nov26 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 127 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  MASTERY KAT Aug17 Jul28 Jul14 Jun16 May25 (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
FNO-8   09/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 8:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTYBISCUIT         (bonde jeff)DURAN F 120 5.00 8% 10.80    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of MISS JOHNNIE by COLONEL JOHN)
2  ACCIDENTAL GENIUS Aug10         (f)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 4.00 68% 0.50    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of RADISH by SQUARE EDDIE)
3  MAGILLIGAN         (bautista jorg)RIVERA SANTOS 120 8.00 ★    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of RAJA'S ROSE by SWISS YODELER)
4  NO ORDINARY TIGER         (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of UNBRIDLED SUMMER by BROKEN VOW)
5  SWIFT STEPHAN         (wright bla)MONROY FRANCISCO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of DREAM SAVER by SUPER SAVER)
6  TIZ'S HARBOR         (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 120 10.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of TIZFIT by TIZBUD)
7  SOUTHERN TORNADO         (taylor fai)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
  (by SOUTHERN IMAGE out of LILY BE GOOD by TIZBUD)
SCR  TYPHOON TOMMY Aug10 Jul07       (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 4.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of HURRICAINE CALLIE by COMIC STRIP)
9  GARRY JOHN         (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of CAUSE IMA RUNAWAY by CREATIVE CAUSE)
10  EL DIAMANTE NEGRO Aug10         (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 8.00    
  (by G. G. RYDER out of LUCKI LUCY ANNA by LUCKY PULPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.