Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Friday - September 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-1   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SWF-2   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-3   WIN (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-1   09/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FURLONGIN FOR LUV Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 Jun15 Oct01 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 2.50    
2  NOT ROCKET SCIENCE Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jun28 Jun22 (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 128 4.00    
3  LOVENSEEK Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 (bunn shaw)RIVAS CARLOS 128 3.50 65% 0.50    
4  WILDCATTERS DREAM Aug18 Jul20 Jun30 Jun09 Sep23 (hall dru)GARNETT G 128 2.00    
5  BRUIN MAGIC Aug18 Aug04 Jun29 Jun02 May19 (klatt meliss)CARDENAS JACOB 128 8.00 6% 15.10    
6  GREY POINT Aug31 Aug18 Jul14 Jun22 Sep23 (hadley to)IRONEYES R 123 6.00 7% 13.80    
 
SWF-2   09/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 35 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOVEREIGN DEELITES Aug30 Aug03       (nielsen rodn)CARDENAS JACOB 128 12.00    
  (by SOVEREIGN PRIDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  NAPO Mar02 Oct27 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO DISCREET out of FOREST MAGIC by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  SCHEELITE Aug03 Aug19 Aug06 Oct02   (ewell rod)IRONEYES R 120 3.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of FLOWERSINTHEALLEY by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  RUNNING GEMMA         (matt tryston)JOURNET JARRED 123 10.00    
  (by EMBEZZLEMENT out of ELUSIVE LILY by FINALITY)
5  LULAS LUCKY CHIP Jul27 Jul06 Jun16     (giles chad)OLIVO JUAN 123 5.00 9% 9.70    
  (by CHIPS ALL IN out of MAMA LULA by FIT TO FIGHT)
6  SULA PEAK ROAD Aug10 Jul27 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 (scudder j)VIRGEN JESUS 126 8.00 15% 5.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ANGEL GOODMORNING by MORNING LINE)
7  TALLDARKNTHIRSTY Jul27         (bunn shaw)RIVAS CARLOS 128 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY SCARLETT by GRACE UPON GRACE)
8  ELENA'S DIAMOND Jun23 Aug05 Jul22     (johnson a)LARSEN S 125 4.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of INDIAN STAR by INDIAN TERRITORY)
 
SWF-3   09/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON AND WATER Aug31 Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 (story shaun)VIRGEN JESUS 128 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  DR GS SWEETIE Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 Sep23 (hadley to)IRONEYES R 120 3.50    
3  FIRE WHEN READY Aug25 Jul21 Jun29 Oct07 Sep01 (bunn shaw)RIVAS CARLOS 128 5.00 23% 3.40    
4  ROUGE SUNSET Aug25 Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 Jul06 (barriga dia)VITAL CRUZ 128 10.00 17% 4.80    
5  FLASHY PASS Aug18 Aug04 Dec31 Dec10 Nov11 (giles raelee)CARILLO DANIEL 125 4.50    
6  STREET BEHAVIOR Aug03 Jun29 Jun16 Jun09 Sep24 (moody skip)CARDENAS JACOB 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CONTEJAS Jul20 Jun28 May11 Sep09 Aug25 (tsosie terril)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 4.00    
8  WILD FIREMAKER Aug25 Aug18 Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 (ibanez alber)JOURNET JARRED 128 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.