Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(6/3/5)-(9/2/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DMR-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(9/2/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(9/2/1/6)-(5/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DMR-3   WIN (9/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/6)-(9/2/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/1/6)-(9/2/1/7/6)-(9/2/1/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/1/6)-(5/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1/6)-(5/7/2)-(8/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DMR-4   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(8/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(8/6/3)-(6/7/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DMR-5   WIN (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/3)-(8/6/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3)-(8/6/2/5/3)-(8/6/2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/6/3)-(6/7/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3)-(6/7/8/4)-(5/8/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-6   WIN (6/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/4)-(5/8/7/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/4)-(5/8/7/4)-(3/6/9/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DMR-7   WIN (5/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4)-(5/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/4)-(3/6/9/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
DMR-8   WIN (3/6/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/8)-(3/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/8)-(3/6/9/8)-(3/6/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   08/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET VENGEANCE Aug08 Jul02 May26 Nov06 Sep24 (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 123 12.00    
CAMERON SLOUGH Aug02 Jun15 May24 Apr17 Mar04 (drysdale neil)FRESU ANTONIO 123 1.40 32% 2.10    
NANCI GRIFFITH Aug23 Aug01 Jun29 May31 Apr26 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 5.00    
DORIE MILLER Aug15 Jul25 Jun29 Jun09 May25 (periban jorg)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 1.80    
MARINAS TINA (IRE) Aug02 Jun07 May24 Apr26 Mar22 (kruljac ian)BAZE C 123 10.00 22% 3.60    
ONE ARROW Aug01 Mar04 Mar27 Feb20 Dec10 (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
DMR-2   08/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLY AT KNIGHT Aug04 Jun29       (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 121 4.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of JET FLYER by HARD SPUN)
PLAY MY SPEED Aug09 Jun13 May03     (koriner brian)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of ABBAZABA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
PRACTICAL DAZZLE Aug04         (galvin)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CAN'T BE DAZZLED by BLAME)
ANNIE FOX Aug02 Jun30 May17 Apr07 Mar09 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WICKED WAHINE by INTO MISCHIEF)
THIRST FOR PASSION         (papaprodromo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of PRIMED FOR PASSION by FLATTER)
EPIONE Jul26 May12 Apr07 Mar17   (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by MR. BIG out of FIRST SCREENING by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
DMR-3   08/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILAANDTHERAPY Aug22 Jul27 Jun26     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.50 9% 10.20    
  (by MRAZEK out of CHEXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
ORANGE THUNDER Aug08         (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of ORANGE COVE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
RENATUS Aug11         (garcia)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 12.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of IT'S VENGEANCE by CURLIN)
CHILLY PHILLY Jul20         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 120 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ESTELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
HOW ABOUT PAVEL Aug01 Jun15 May03     (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
  (by PAVEL out of HOW ABOUT ZERO by SQUARE EDDIE)
WARM RECEPTION         (miller peter)BAZE C 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of CENTRAL HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
AMELIA'S ECHO Aug11 Jul06       (moger j)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of HERE COMES CHLOE by BELLAMY ROAD)
LONG LEGGED BABS Jul26 Jul05       (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of ALL TEA ALL SHADE by MERIT MAN)
GRAZEN GATOR Aug08         (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by GRAZEN out of FAST GATOR by DIABOLICAL)
10  ABBEY THEATRE Aug08 Jun22       (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 120 12.00    
  (by OSCAR NOMINATED out of PUBLIC HOUSE by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  MRAZEK'S OLD DREAM Aug08         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 20.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
SCR  HEARTS FANTASY Aug10         ( )TBA null      
  (by HEARTWOOD out of SHANGHAI FANTASY by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
 
DMR-4   08/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERSUASIVE LIPS Jul28 Jun29 Jun02 May13 Apr21 (sherman steve)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 4.00    
SOUL OF A WARRIOR Aug01 Jul06 Jun09 Aug26 Jul28 (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET HELLO Aug08 Jun14 May24 Apr28 Mar29 (hess b)MALDONADO E 119 4.50    
ALOHA KITTEN Aug09 Jul06 Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 2.50    
STEIN'S GIRL Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 May19 Apr22 (rodriguez fra)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
DORINE'S WILD CAT Aug24 Aug08 Jul04 Feb02 Jan07 (france reid)FREY KYLE 121 3.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  FLATTERWITHJEWELS Jul28 Jun14 Mar04 Jan28 Dec29 ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-5   08/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENTINES CANDY Jul25 Jul07 Jun23     (mendoza j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 30.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ANCIENT HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
FAR OVER LOADED Jul26 Jul07 Jun09 May10   (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of HANDFULL by COMIC STRIP)
CHASIN A DOLLAR Apr11         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of NOVEL TWIST by HOLY BULL)
GIANT LUTHER Jul25 Jul04       (miller pete)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of MASTERFUL LASS by MIZZEN MAST)
UNCLE EVCO Aug09         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SIQUEIRA by CURLIN)
CALI CAT Jul21         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 10% 9.20    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of READY FOR ROMANCE by MORE THAN READY)
ESCAPE PLAN Jul25 Jun30 May31     (campuzano lor)VALDIVIA JR 120 30.00    
  (by OM out of HEATOLOGY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
CALL ME SIR Aug09         (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 120 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of RUBY BRADLEY by GRAZEN)
FAR WESTERN Jul26         (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 120 20.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of DEYONCE by AWESOME AGAIN)
10  KING OF DRAGONS         (baltas richard)FREY KYLE 120 10.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of ZENDREYA by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  JOHNSON'S MAGIC Aug09         (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  SEVAK Aug09         (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 10.00    
  (by OM out of ARTIE'S MINT by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  SPEEDY WILSON Aug10         (damato phili)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 6.00    
  (by TOUGH SUNDAY out of QUEENOFHERCASTLE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
SCR  PRINCE DOLCE Aug10 Jul21       (gaines)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 15.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of CAMPIONESSA DOLCE by HARD SPUN)
 
DMR-6   08/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMSON SONATA Feb12         (sherman m)FREY KYLE 124 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STRIKE RED by SMART STRIKE)
DASHINGLY Aug03 May27 Apr04     (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIGER SILK by ALL AMERICAN)
RICH OF JOY Aug10 Jun15       (garcia victor)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAIL ON by INTO MISCHIEF)
AFFAIR Dec26 Nov12       (mandella richard )SMITH E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SCANDAL by BLAME)
CURRENT AFFAIR Jun09         (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 121 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of OFTEN by GALILEO)
SEISMIC BEAUTY Aug03         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 0.60 35% 1.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of KNARSDALE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GATE TO PARADISE Feb02 Jan05 Oct07 Sep09 Jul30 (shirreffs j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of HEART OF PARADISE by MORE THAN READY)
NAFISA Nov12         (baffert bob)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ITHINKISAWAPUDYCAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
DMR-7   08/30/2024 3300ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DES DOIGTS Aug10 Jul06 May10 Apr19 Mar29 (deleon raf)GONZALEZ RICARDO 119 30.00    
NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) Oct09 Sep23 Sep03 Aug10 Jun04 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 10.00    
SANGER Aug08 Apr28 Apr05 Feb15 Jan07 (gaines carla)FREY KYLE 122 5.00    
KING AND COUNTRY Aug10 Jun28 Jun02     (mccanna tim)CEDILLO ABEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
WESTERN GRIT Aug16 Jul28 Jun09 May12 Apr20 (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
RHYTHEM ON STAGE May25 May04 Mar23 Feb16 Jan12 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50    
DEVIL AMONG US Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 Apr26 Jul09 (williams se)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
BELMONT BILL Aug10 May27 Apr27 Apr05 Nov02 (saavedra k)BAZE C 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
DMR-8   08/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RYDER'S CANDY Aug01 Jul06 Jun23 Jun14 May25 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 15.00    
JUST IS Aug01 Jun09 Apr21 Dec16 Nov23 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.50    
CLASS CLOWN Aug04 Jul04 May05 Jan15 Dec15 (koriner brian)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  DEFICIT MAJA Aug01 Jun09 May10 Mar22 Feb11 (marquez alfre)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 30.00    
DR. RAY D. Jun20 May30 Apr25 Jan04 Nov25 (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
PRINCESS MAGIC Jun25 May26 Jan20 Dec03 Nov12 (ellis rona)ORANTES R 117 12.00    
SOLID TUNE Aug01 Jul06 Jun09 Aug26 Jul02 (marquez alf)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ANYBODY'S CHOICE Oct20 Aug27 Jul23 Jun18 Apr28 (hernandez san)VALDIVIA JR 124 12.00 6% 17.10    
10  SHES JUST FLUFFY Jul28 Jul06 Jun09 Sep29 Jan02 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50    
11  BARBERA Dec15 Oct20 Sep09 Aug19 Jun30 (ordonez agg)HERRERA A 124 6.00    
SCR  GILA Aug16 Jul04 Apr26 Mar22 Feb25 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.