Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Canterbury Park
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CBY-1   WIN (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4)-(5/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/4)-(6/7/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/4)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-2   WIN (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/5)-(6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/5)-(6/4/1)-(8/7/5/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(8/7/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(8/7/5/2)-(7/6/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-4   WIN (8/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/2)-(7/6/2/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
CBY-5   WIN (7/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CBY-1   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT GWEN'S Jul27 Sep13       (miller m)HARR KELSI 119 3.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BELLA NOTTE by QUICK CUT)
2  MIDNIGHT JOY Jul19         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TRIZELLE by MALIBU MOON)
3  UCANTGETWHATUWANT Jul11 Jun29       (riecken bru)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 4.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of LEMONERY by TRAPPE SHOT)
4  MOLLYS MIA Aug08 Jul27 Jul11 Jul04   (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of LINER by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  PEARL BUTTON Jul27 Jun29 Jun16 May18 Sep02 (biehler michael )PENA BRYAN 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by DIALED IN out of SHADOW DANCE by ALMANZOR)
6  HOLY DAWN         (weir george)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 28% 2.60    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of HOLY GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
7  KIND KISMET Aug04         (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 119 4.50 12% 7.30    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of NAGZILLA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CBY-2   08/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALL MOON Jun29 Jun08 May25 Apr20 Apr06 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 6.00    
2  PACIFIC ZIP Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 May01 Jan19 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
3  HURRICAIN HUNTER Aug01 Jul07 Jun29 May25 May04 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 11% 7.90    
4  WARRIOR'S MOON Aug01 Jul07 Jun08 Apr24 Oct21 (tracy tann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 12.00    
5  CATO'S LADY Jul27 Jun30 May25 May04 Apr23 (rengstorf)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BADGER KITTEN Jun29 Aug20 Jul30 Jul19 Jun25 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  GYPSY WIFE Aug01 Jun29 May25 Apr24 Apr09 (eikleberry k)FUENTES A 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
8  SHABAM Jul25 Jun29 May25 Feb14 Jan27 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 4.50    
 
CBY-3   08/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE IT BURN Aug03 Jun29 Jun15 May18 Sep09 (donlin d)HARR KELSI 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MR. COUGAR Jul25 Jul11 Jun29 Jun09 Mar29 (westerm)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
3  WITHOUT EQUAL Aug11 Jul25 Jun23 May04 Apr17 (lund valorie)FUENTES A 119 8.00    
4  MYSTIFIER Jul25 Jul03 Jun01 Sep04 Aug24 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.50 9% 10.40    
5  EL TOMATE Jul25 Jun23 Jun01 May04 Mar30 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 6.00 ★    
6  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Jun18 Jun07 Aug28 Jul31   (robertson m)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
7  GOT GHOSTED Aug03 Jul11 Jun27 Jun01 May18 (rhone ber)VALENZUELA A 119 6.00    
8  GOLD MAGIC Jul07 Jun16 May26 Apr28 Jun25 (scherer gar)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 4.00    
 
CBY-4   08/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELUSIONAL DREAM Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 Jun13 Jun02 (sheehan nancy)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00    
2  STARLET COLE Jul13 Jun16 Apr24 Mar28 Feb01 (martinez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00 6% 15.50    
3  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Aug11 Jul06 Jun13 Apr12 Mar22 (rarick ly)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 15.00    
4  YODA GLITZ Aug03 Jul07 Oct18 Sep13 Aug16 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 8.00    
5  WITHHERBOOTSON Jul27 Jul14 Jun27 Jun08 May26 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 2.50 13% 6.40    
6  MISS GOLD Jul14 Jun30 Jun13 Jun02 Apr07 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 119 6.00    
7  ANA Jul27 Jul06 Jun13 Jun02 Mar29 (scherer gar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
8  NOBLE TESS Jul14 Jun29 May03 Apr21 Apr12 (williams mat)FUENTES A 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
CBY-5   08/22/2024 4950ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUES CROSS Jun27 Jun08 May18 Sep02 Aug09 (rhone bernell)LINDSAY CHAD 119 10.00    
2  KOOKYBERRY Jul27 Jun20 Jun06 Sep13 Aug10 (rengstorf to)FUENTES A 124 4.00 9% 9.90    
3  DROPPED COLD Jul28 Jul11 Jun20 Jun08 May26 (rhone bernell)HARR KELSI 124 12.00    
4  ON SPEED DIAL Jul27 Jun27 Sep09 Jul19   (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 119 8.00    
5  MIGHTY MADI Aug08 Jul11 Jun20 May26 Apr28 (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 5.00    
6  ELEGANCE N TONIC Jul27 Jul07 Jun02 Apr28 Aug20 (rosin c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  FACTOR THAT Jul27 Jul11 Jun20 May26 Apr06 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
8  STRABELLA Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 Aug30 Aug10 (donlin larr)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.