Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Rosa
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SR-1   WIN (5/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7)-(3/2/7/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/7)-(3/2/7/1)-(8/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SR-2   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/7/1)-(8/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/1)-(8/6/7)-(2/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SR-3   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(2/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7)-(2/1/3)-(2/6/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SR-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SR-5   WIN (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/7/5)-(2/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/5)-(2/4/5)-(4/5/6/9/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SR-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/5/6/9/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/5/6/9/8)-(5/6/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SR-7   WIN (4/5/6/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/9/8)-(4/5/6/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/9/8)-(4/5/6/9/8)-(4/5/6/9/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/5/6/9/8)-(5/6/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6/9/8)-(5/6/3)-(7/2/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SR-8   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(7/2/4/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SR-9   WIN (7/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/9)-(7/2/4/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/9)-(7/2/4/6/9)-(7/2/4/6/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SR-1   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAFFERANA Aug02 Jul05 Sep23 Aug26 Aug05 (badilla man)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 6.00    
KITTEN'S KID Jul07 Jun23 May25 Apr26 Apr05 (trujillo marc)RIVERA SANTOS 125 4.50    
MASTERY KAT Jul28 Jul14 Jun16 May25 May05 (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 8.00 6% 15.40    
J AND M EXPRESS Jul07 Jun09 May25 Apr07 Mar17 (puentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 3.00 6% 15.20    
DERRYGOOLIN Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 May25 Sep09 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
BOLD DAUGHTER Jul14 Jun22 May18 Apr07 Mar17 (hansen roger)ALVARADO T 123 6.00    
SMILE AND PROFILE Jul07 Jun16 May27 May05 Apr05 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SR-2   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 2 ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BAD BERT Aug10 Jul21 May26     (perez s)HERRERA HUGO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LAST CALL VRON Aug10 Jul21       (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
LEGAL FICTION         (o)JIMENEZ LUIS 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
BUCKY'S DREAM Jul28         (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 15.00    
BIG CROWD Jul28 Jun23       (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 120 10.00    
SET PRICE Jul07         (mathis a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 120 3.00    
MAGA KING         (rondan fe)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
SR-3   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J T'S WATCH Jul28 Jul13 Jun21 May27 May12 (mcdaniel w )GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 10.00    
SCR  WINE AND WHISKY Aug02 Jul20 Jun16 May31 Feb23 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 3.50    
SUNNY SPOT Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 May26 May04 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00    
SCR  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Jul06 Jan21 Mar15 Jan01 Sep24 (stevens satche)HERRERA HUGO 125 20.00    
OH GREAT (IRE) Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 Jun23 Jun07 (maravilla)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 8.00    
WELLSWORT (IRE) Aug02 Jul05 Jun07 May12 Apr28 (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 125 2.50 33% 2.00    
MOVIETIME Jul28 Jun08 Apr27 Mar23 Feb18 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
IMPLICITLY Aug02 Jul13 Jun23 May12 Apr21 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
SR-4   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLIN DICE Jul06 Jun22 May27 Apr20   (wright blaine)DURAN F 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
PARTY WITH PADDY Jul28 Jun08 May11 Apr21 Mar31 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 122 4.00 49% 1.10    
BERTACCHI Jul06 Jun22 Jun07 May11   (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALPINE SERMON Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 May27 Oct02 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 122 2.00    
UNCLE JUAN Jul14 Apr20 Mar10     (ramos jesus)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00    
REGAL REDWOOD Jul27 Jun28 Jun14 May27 May12 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50    
 
SR-5   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS NICANOR Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 May05 Mar30 (b)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
DELIAN LEAGUE Jul07 Jun01 Apr26 Mar31 Mar10 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
DEFENSOR FORTIS Aug03 Jul27 Jun07 May11 Apr19 (rodriguez f)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 3.00    
DO IT FOR DAVE Aug03 Jul06 Jun14 Aug04 Jul28 (miller quenti)RIVERA SANTOS 125 15.00    
UNBRIDLED RHYTHM Aug02 Jul26 Jun29 Jun01 May11 (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROARING TIGER Aug10 Jul07 Jun07 May26 Jul09 (jauregui o)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 3.50 28% 2.50    
DEO Jun07 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar01 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 125 5.00 16% 5.20    
 
SR-6   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT RUMBLE Jul26 Jun16 May18 Apr21 Mar29 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 3.00    
AFTER MY OWN HEART Aug02 Jun29 May27 May05 Mar31 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 123 3.50 36% 1.70    
IRISH SONG LEADER Apr15 Mar24 Feb24 Jan22 Dec30 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 123 2.50    
POINT AND SHOOT Apr28 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Jan07 (thomas ruby)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
TIZTHEHARTOFDIXIE Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 May18 Nov25 (mcdonald melani)MEEKS MICAH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLICKING Aug03 Jun21 May27 Mar24 Feb10 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 122 5.00    
 
SR-7   08/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOW THEN Jun21         (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SIZZLIN' SONORA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
HANK WILLIAMS Jul28         (miyadi s)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 3.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of WIND N WAVES by STORMY ATLANTIC)
LURKING FEAR Jul26         (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 5.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of ALL LUV ME by GIACOMO)
BOBBED N LURED Aug04 Jun30 Oct14 Sep23 Sep02 (stortz marcia)COUTON JULIEN 125 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by COACH BOB out of COUNT ME TWICE by ALYMAGIC)
EL GALLITO         (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by LA RESERVE out of TIZ DELITEFUL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
ELEGANT LIFE         (rubin how)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 12.00 17% 4.80    
  (by ELUSIVE WARNING out of SURE CHARM by BIRDONTHEWIRE)
HYDROPLANE Aug04         (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 122 12.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of SLEW'S CHARM by ROI CHARMANT)
MY AMIGO Jul14 May20 Mar31 Mar04 Sep07 (puentes jose)FLORES P 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SCHWARY'S GIRL by LONHRO (AUS))
SENOR FEDERICO         (preciado g)CRUZ DIAZ 122 20.00 14% 5.90    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of FIFTH AVE by AVONBRIDGE)
SCR  DUNGARVAN OAK Aug04 Jul14 Jun01 May12 Apr21 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of CRAZY SMART by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
SR-8   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 8:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PONDERGATING Feb18 Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 Nov18 (rondan f)BAUTISTA L 115 12.00    
SCR  ANISETTE (GB) Aug10 Aug03 Jul07 Jun29 Jun02 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00    
HAPPY CHAPPY Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 May25 Apr27 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
BROOKYS GAL Jul28 Jun21 May27 Mar31 Mar10 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
LITTLE LADY LOU Aug08 Jul05 Jun23 Nov17 Oct15 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
SHADOWED THOUGHTS Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 Apr06 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 122 6.00 18% 4.40    
KEEPYOURPRANCEON Aug03 Jul05 Jun23 Jun02 May25 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
 
SR-9   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKS AT THE CLUB Aug02 Jul04 Jun21 Jun02 Apr20 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of BENECIA by MORE THAN READY)
I AM AMADEO Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 May12 Apr26 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by BRAVE VICTORY out of CHILADA by GOOD JOURNEY)
FINCAIRN Jun28 Apr20 Mar29 Mar03 Feb11 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 125 10.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of SLEW'S CHARM by ROI CHARMANT)
LATER TAMARTATER Jul07 Jun02       (specht stev)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 4.00 14% 5.90    
  (by TAMARANDO out of YOU'RE LATE by LUCKY PULPIT)
NIGHTBIRDE IT'S OK Jul04 Jun21 Jun02 May11 Apr21 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MY DYNAMO by DISCREETLY MINE)
FAR TO LONG Aug02 Jun30 Jun01 May12 Mar16 (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 8.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of DUSTKICKIN LASS by COMIC STRIP)
BIG BET Aug02 Jun29 Jan07 Nov12   (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
  (by MR. BIG out of QUICK CHICK by ORIENTATE (GB))
ELEGANT BOY Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Dec31 Nov12 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 6.00    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of TRAPPERS MAGIC by TRAPPER)
BOOMING BERNARDO Jul07 Jun21 Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 (stortz marcia)COUTON JULIEN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of TIP TOP LADY by MARINO MARINI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.