Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pleasanton
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PLN-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/5/7)-(3/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-4   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(3/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(3/7/1)-(8/5/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-5   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/7/1)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(8/5/3/2)-(7/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-6   WIN (8/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/3/2)-(7/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/2)-(7/2/3)-(6/8/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PLN-7   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(6/8/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PLN-8   WIN (6/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4/10)-(6/8/2/4/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PLN-3   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD RUMOR Jun21 May27 May10 Apr28 Apr07 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 1.80 33% 2.00    
AIRKITA Jun09 May26 Sep30 Sep10 Aug06 (miyadi s)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
SMOOVE AS SILK Jun16 May27 Apr14 Apr05 Mar24 (greiner gary)RIVERA SANTOS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DADDYS NINA May27 May04 Apr05 Mar09 Feb17 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 5.00    
MISTICAL SURPRISE May27 Apr05 Mar03 Jan14 Mar09 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 125 10.00    
GUIDE MY STEPS Jun16 May27 May05 Apr06 Mar09 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50    
 
PLN-4   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRIVE BY Jun22 May25 May04 Apr06 Feb02 (rondan f)BAUTISTA J 115 4.00    
PARK ROAD COWBOY May27 May14 Apr08     (thomas jame)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 5.00    
GOLF DRAMA Jun15 Apr06 Mar09 Feb10 Jan28 (bonde je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 3.50    
R HEART OF GOLD Jun15 May26 May04 Apr07 Mar17 (puentes jose)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.00 31% 2.20    
HOT JOURNEY Apr21 Apr12 Mar16 Feb23 Jan20 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 125 10.00 22% 3.60    
BIG STICK Jun15 May07 Apr16 Mar24 Mar12 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
THE FUSS Jun15 Jun01 May04 Apr28 Apr07 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-5   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELCONDOR Jun14 Jun08 Mar29 Mar08 Feb25 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
TITOS WITH A TWIST Jun14 Jun02 May05 Mar22 Feb09 (torres a)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 5.00    
ARTEMUS GORDON Jun14 May11 Apr20 Apr06 Mar17 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 4.00 53% 0.90    
CATCHME AT THELAKE Jun14 Jun01 Apr26 Feb14 Dec27 (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 6.00    
SCR  MAGICISTHEMOONLITE Jun14 Jun08 Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 2.50    
COUNT ASHER Jun14 Jun01 May11 Apr26 Apr14 (calvario sa)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 8.00    
TOO MUCH INFO Jun15 May05 Feb23 Jan26 Dec15 (mclean bill)OROZCO IRVING 125 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
PLN-6   07/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIKI KRAZY Jun22 May25 Apr26 Apr06 Feb24 (rivera le)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 121 12.00    
STATEFOREST Jun16 Oct23 Sep17 Jul30 Jun03 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHANGHAI MIST Jun22 May25 May04 Apr12 Mar22 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 6.00 8% 11.20    
DORINE'S WILD CAT Feb02 Jan07 Dec01 Nov11 Nov05 (france rei)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
SHEZARUNAWAY May25 Apr07 Feb25 Jan15 Dec26 (mcca)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  WESTWARD BREEZE Apr26 Apr14 Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 121 4.00    
GEA May25 Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 Feb16 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 5.00    
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Jun09 May25 Apr12 Mar22 Mar03 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
PLN-7   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFT NONNI May11 Dec15 Sep30 Sep17 Jun25 (s)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 10.00    
ICONIC SKY Jun14 May11 Mar02 Feb10 Mar25 (mathis andy)ALVARADO T 127 3.00 30% 2.30    
SMILE BABY SMILE Apr27 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24   (mathis andy)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
ELEGANT SWAY Jun14 May11 Mar29 Mar10 May20 (meier mont)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
SUNGLASSES (GB) May25 Apr28 Apr06 Mar17 Feb23 (badilla manue)OROZCO IRVING 125 8.00    
DRAW ME Apr26 Dec10 Nov25 Nov05 Oct02 (eaton terri)HERRERA HUGO 125 4.00    
BABY KRISTEN Jun09 Apr26 Apr13 Mar10 Feb18 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
PLN-8   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCH A BREEZE Apr21         (bautista)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of SUMMER GARDEN by GRAND SLAM)
ELEGANT BOY Dec31 Nov12 Oct15 Oct08 Sep18 (perez serg)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 10.00 6% 17.10    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of TRAPPERS MAGIC by TRAPPER)
NIGHTBIRDE IT'S OK Jun21 Jun02 May11 Apr21 Mar31 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MY DYNAMO by DISCREETLY MINE)
BLAZING PEME         (deli)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of JUST LOOKN AGAIN by TIZBUD)
I AM AMADEO Jun21 May12 Apr26 Mar08 Feb11 (ramos jesus)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 8.00    
  (by BRAVE VICTORY out of CHILADA by GOOD JOURNEY)
DRINKS AT THE CLUB Jun21 Jun02 Apr20     (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 122 4.50 53% 0.90    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of BENECIA by MORE THAN READY)
BEGIN AGAIN May26 Apr26 Aug05     (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 6.00    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of STAR FIELD by DECARCHY)
SARK May12 Apr20 Mar08 Feb11 Jan15 (haley gloria)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.50 7% 14.40    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of ELEGANT TRICK by PHONE TRICK)
SCR  NOW THEN Jun21         (ramirez miguel)HERRERA HUGO 122 8.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SIZZLIN' SONORA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
10  MIO BAMBINO         (mathis andy)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 15.00    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of BELLA CASTAGNA by DECARCHY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.