Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/2)-(5/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (6/2)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(5/4/3)-(4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/3)-(1/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(1/2/3)-(5/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/6/1)-(4/6/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/6/5/7)-(3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/5/7)-(3/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/7)-(3/1)-(6/4/5/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/4/5/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SA-9   WIN (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/8/1)-(6/4/5/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   05/12/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLIT SONATA Mar29 Feb03 Jan06 Nov25   (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.00 12% 7.30    
EL REY REY Mar29 Feb18 Jan06 Nov12 Oct08 (mullins jeff)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
GROGU Apr06 Mar16 Feb10 Jan26 Dec31 (troy a)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
JACK KEROUAC Jan24 Dec22       (damato phili)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
FINAL BOSS Mar10 Feb17 Dec29 Nov02 Sep02 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60    
 
SA-2   05/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FRISCO         (farias adan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MODEL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SOI NGERN         (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHAO CHOM by TIZBUD)
SIR BLACK SHADOW         (gomez ruben)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 20.00    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of WHAT A RAINBOW by GREY MEMO)
IVAN THE GREAT         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of I'M MOM'S FAVORITE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
EL ONDEADO         (periban j)RAMIREZ S 118 4.00    
  (by OM out of SING AND TELL by ALYMAGIC)
TIMTY         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 118 1.20 41% 1.40    
  (by STANFORD out of TRIBAL FEATHERS by TRIBAL RULE)
 
SA-3   05/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYNUMEROUNO (AUS) Apr19 Mar17 Jan13     (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 122 5.00    
SCR  ATOMIC DROP Apr19 Apr05 Mar08 Feb10 Jul09 (craigmyle keith)BAZE C 122 12.00    
SO I'M TOLD Apr06 Jan27 Jan15 Oct22 Sep23 (valenz)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
MARKS HIP Apr11 Mar08 Feb11 Jan06 Nov18 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
FLAVIUS Apr05 Jan27 Dec31 Nov19 Oct29 (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 124 0.80 39% 1.50    
SILARDI Apr21 Mar09 Feb10 Jan15 Nov26 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00    
 
SA-4   05/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lazaro Barrera Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART HEADED Apr07 Feb17 Jan15 Nov09 Oct13 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LA MALAGUENA by DIABLO)
TAPALO Apr06 Feb10 Jan12 Dec02 Oct28 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 2.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of AGENT ROMANOFF by EMPIRE MAKER)
TESSUTO (NZ) Apr06 Feb25 Jan20 Dec26   (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CAYMAN CROC by BOB AND JOHN)
BALL DON'T LIE Apr06 Mar09       (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 120 0.80 56% 0.80    
  (by BLAME out of REAL CLEVER TRICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
SA-5   05/12/2024 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE ME THE LUTE Apr21 Mar09 Feb10 Jan15 Nov18 (mulhall kr)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
PROOF HE RIDES Apr13 Mar23 Feb11 Jan05 Dec09 (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
DISKO TRIBUTE Apr19 Mar24 Mar09 Jan15 Dec15 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Apr21 Mar09 Feb10 Jan15 Aug06 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.50    
GRAZED Apr26 Mar24 Feb24 Jan26 Dec15 (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00    
SCR  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Apr29 Jul09 Jul01 May06 Apr17 (lucas rober)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 30.00    
 
SA-6   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 35 M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTY PACK         (miyadi steven)BAZE C 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOUGH SUNDAY out of SHARE THE SUGAR by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
EPIONE Apr07 Mar17       (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 118 2.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of FIRST SCREENING by FIRST SAMURAI)
ANZA SKY Apr06         (marquez p)FREY KYLE 118 8.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of SEASIDE by AVATAR)
SCR  SKY SAILING May04 Mar17 Jul21     (lewis crai)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 5.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of ARTFULLY by RIGHT CON)
RAISING SILVER Apr19 Jul22       (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 118 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of SILVER SLIVERS by ARCH)
MOONLIGHT TRYST         (hofman)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TRYST by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
 
SA-7   05/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY'S STAR Apr26 Feb25 Oct29 Sep23 Sep15 (powell leonard)SMITH E 122 5.00    
DOLLY MAY (IRE) Apr11 Mar15 Feb15 Jan12 Nov12 (cerin vladimi)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00    
ZEYARAAT Apr26 Feb02 Nov23 Oct08 Aug17 (cerin vladimir)MALDONADO E 122 5.00    
FREEDOM LASS Apr04 Mar01 Oct29 Aug26 Jul23 (dam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
WORTHY OF MAGIC Apr04 Apr30 Apr07 Feb19 Jan29 (galvin w)BAZE C 122 12.00 12% 7.60    
DREAM PRINCESS Mar04 Aug07 May14 Apr08 Jan22 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
COUNCILWOMAN JILLY Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Dec10 Nov12 (hobson simon)FREY KYLE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ICE QUEEN Apr11 Mar01 Feb16 Dec31 Jun16 (nunez jesus)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
 
SA-8   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($57K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM HEART Mar14 Feb18 Jan29 Nov25 Oct09 (cerin vladim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 12.00 22% 3.50    
MAN O ROSE Apr20 Mar10 Jan26 Dec29 Nov17 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 124 0.80    
LOVESICK BLUES Apr20 Mar24 Feb15 Jan01 Nov23 (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  ESCAPE ROUTE Mar17 Feb18 Jan06 Dec10 Oct09 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
GOOD WITH PEOPLE Jan19 Jan05 Nov25 Oct09 Aug26 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
PRINCIPE CARLO Mar14 Feb18 Jan29 Jan13 Dec10 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00    
SCR  MISTER ICEMAN Apr21 Apr07 Jan27 Jan01 Nov26 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 10.00    
 
SA-9   05/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 35 ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEP IT COMING         (mccarthy sean)MALDONADO E 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROUSING SERMON out of MOVING DESERT by DESERT CODE)
FINNERS GOLDNSENSE Apr20         (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CAPSTONE LADY by PAYNTER)
STEPHORTLESS         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 126 12.00    
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of SCATKEY by SCATMANDU)
SPECIAL CLUB Apr19 Mar15 Feb25 Sep04 Aug10 (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of LOTTAWAMPUM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
CAPITAL OUTLAY Apr20 Apr07 Aug10     (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 118 5.00 7% 12.50    
  (by MARKING out of GATOR PROWL by ROAR OF THE TIGER)
WESTERN GRIT Apr20 Jan13 Oct22 Aug13   (hanson ryan)BAZE C 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by DADS CAPS out of SHERIKA by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
DON'T HIT ME BASH Jan13 Nov24 Oct22 Sep29   (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of OCTOGARIAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
ONLY ALLEGED         (pederson dean)FREY KYLE 118 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of ALLEGATION by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
CHISPA ROJA         (quinonez rola)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 20.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of LYLA DELLA by ECCLESIASTIC)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.