Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(3/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(3/1/7)-(5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7)-(5/2)-(5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/2)-(3/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(3/2/5)-(3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(3/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/5/2)-(4/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/6/5)-(5/1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(5/1/3/4)-(4/2/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/4)-(4/2/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SA-9   WIN (4/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/20/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($38K) 35 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO MAN Sep29 Aug26 Jul30 Aug07   (callaghan sim)FRESU ANTONIO 120 1.60 20% 4.10    
2  NOBEL GARY Aug26 Jul29 May26 May13   (gomez ruben)FREY KYLE 120 15.00    
3  QUINTECENTS Sep29 Sep10 Aug26 Nov19 Oct01 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
4  SHADOW CREEK (IRE) Aug19 Mar26 Feb04 Dec30 Dec04 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PLAYER B Sep10 Aug19 Jul28     (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.00    
7  HARD TIMES Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 Nov13   (knapp steve)BAZE C 120 4.00    
SCR  GHOST COAST May17 Apr08 Mar03 Feb04   ( )TBA null      
 
SA-2   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELTONSINGSANOTHER Sep29 Aug13       (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 121 2.50 8% 10.80    
2  SMILING AMY Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 Apr29 Apr01 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 121 12.00    
3  COME JOIN THE BAND         (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  CHEVY GIRL Jul02 Jun04 May13 Apr23 Mar27 (wallace jer)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 10.00    
5  JUST IS Sep29 Sep22 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 4.00    
6  ROSIE ANN RULES Sep29 Sep08 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 (capestro pa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 3.00    
7  ONE SMOKIN MOON Jun26         (alvarado d)BAZE C 121 6.00 8% 10.80    
 
SA-3   10/20/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLET STORM Sep04 Feb12 Jan22 Dec18 Oct08 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 4.00    
2  BOSS LADY Jun18 Apr30 Mar19     (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) Oct14 Sep03 Aug11 Jun17 Apr29 (ortiz sr)FREY KYLE 124 8.00    
5  RED DIAMOND Apr29 May30 Apr02 Mar11   (mcanally ron)VERENZUELA L 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  AVENTAPP Aug25 Jun09 May14 Apr22 Mar18 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.00    
SCR  R GIRL'S WERTH IT Sep22 Aug19 Nov25 Oct28 Aug28 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-4   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOT ROD MAMA Aug17 Jul29 May27 Apr21 Mar26 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 1.80 17% 4.80    
3  ROSE GIRL Sep15 Sep09 Apr26 Jun26 Jun03 (mendez luis)LOPEZ D 121 4.50    
4  SUGAR SUGAR Sep23 Sep17 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 (morfin sergio)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 1.60    
5  BARBERA Sep09 Aug19 Jun30 Jun10 Jun02 (ordonez agg)HERRERA A 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  JUST A LITTLE LUCK Sep22 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 May21 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-5   10/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($62.5K) Purse ($38K) 35 M/F PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORT ELLEN (IRE) Aug27 Jun18       (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 3.00 ★    
2  VIEWERS DISCRETION Sep01 Jul29 Apr28 Mar30 Oct24 (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
3  PRINCESS MIDNIGHT Aug27 Mar25       (puype mike)FREY KYLE 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
4  CHRISTINA'S CANDY Aug17 Jul23 Nov18 Aug26   (d'amato philip)TORREALBA JG 111 4.00    
5  HAPPYASACLAM (IRE) Aug27 May13       (callaghan sim)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  VULIN Aug31 Aug03 Mar27 Jan22 Nov25 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 122 12.00    
7  NICELY CURVED Aug27 Jul29 Jun10 Dec02   (drysdale neil)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
8  MAHINA Aug18 Jul01 Mar18 Dec30 Dec03 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00    
 
SA-6   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORIE MILLER Sep17 Aug04 Jul21     (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
2  DREAMING OF HOPE Sep09         (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SATELLITE HEART Sep25 Aug25       (marquez alf)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
4  SUPER ENTICING Sep09 Aug19 Jul28     (miller pete)HERRERA A 122 3.00    
5  MISTY MUPPET Aug17 Jul08       (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  BEAU SOLEIL Sep09 Aug17 Jul21     (periban jorge)BAZE C 122 3.00    
 
SA-7   10/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Aug06 Jun09 May13 Apr09 Mar12 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
2  SUMTER Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 Mar05 Dec26 (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
3  SHARP AZA TACK Mar05 Nov04 Sep08 Jul30 Jun10 (o'neill doug)BAZE C 121 4.00    
4  TURN ON THE JETS (IRE) Sep02 Aug04 Jun16 Dec03 Nov06 (d'amato phili)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
5  UNCONQUERABLE KEEN (IRE) Sep30 Aug31 Jul29 Jun10 May06 (d'amato philip)BRAVO J 121 2.50 13% 6.60    
6  SEE THROUGH IT Sep22 Jun16 May13 Apr09 Mar12 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
 
SA-8   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO UNCLE Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Aug10 Jul08 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 3.00 15% 5.80    
2  PRIVATE GEM         (gaines carla)TORREALBA JG 113 4.00    
3  MR BIG BUCKS Sep16 Sep02       (mendez luis)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 2.50 10% 8.90    
4  FACT OR FICTION Oct07 Aug10 Jul29     (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  LAST CALL PAUL Sep29 Sep04 Aug13 Jul29   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
6  THIRSTY LOV Jun11         (dollas)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 12.00    
7  MISCHIEVOUS DYLAN Sep08         (alvarado rube)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 20.00    
8  GRAZEN BOY         (periban jorge)BAZE C 120 5.00    
 
SA-9   10/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 8:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAILEA SUNSET Sep30         (kruljac ian)BRAVO J 120 6.00 6% 14.70    
  (by MR. BIG out of BESIDE STILL WATER by LEMON DROP KID)
2  O K ROSE Aug25         (eurton pet)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of SHEEZA MILKY WAY by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
3  KITZKATY Sep30 Aug25 Jul22     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SHARAIJI BLOSSOM by SAINT BALLADO)
4  ASADA FRIES Sep30 Sep10 Aug11     (lewis )BERRIOS ISAAC 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SALTY FRIES by IN EXCESS (IRE))
5  COCKTAIL CUTIE Sep30 Aug25 Aug04 Jun16 Apr29 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 5.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of NORTHERN SONG by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
6  BEAUTIFUL JANET Sep10 Jul28       (truman eddie)FREY KYLE 120 12.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of GINGER RED by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
7  EBOK'S DREAM GIRL Sep10 Jul22       (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of LOST IN LEXINGTON by OLD TRIESTE)
8  LOOKATHERGLIDE Sep30 Sep09       (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GLIDING BY by ARTIE SCHILLER)
9  LADY LITHESOME Sep08         (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT (IRE) out of CANDY SWIRLS by TWIRLING CANDY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.