Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hastings Racecourse
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HST-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
HST-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
HST-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(6/3)-(3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HST-4   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
HST-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HST-6   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HST-7   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HST-1   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C SUNRISE Sep30 Sep17 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 117 2.00 16% 5.10    
ISLAND LIVING Sep30 Sep16 Aug11 Jul30 Jul08 (pede)REYES AMBROSIO 117 5.00    
SILVER ARROW Sep30 Sep23 Aug28 Aug11 Jul22 (henson stev)MORALES SILVINO 120 6.00    
VISENYA Aug28 Aug11 Jul28 Jul15 Aug22 (beneen g)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
STAR FINALITY Sep30 Sep17 Jul30 Jun24 Jun10 (leaney p)SEECHARAN C 117 1.60    
 
HST-2   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLAROO Oct01 Sep17 Aug11 Jul28 Jul08 (condilenios di)PEREZ AMADEO 122 1.20 49% 1.00    
ANAAMY Oct09 Sep17 Aug18 Aug11 Jul15 (rycroft nico)BALGOBIN RIDGE 116 8.00    
ZETAMARIE Oct01 Sep09 Aug11 Jul30 Jul15 (barroby e)POWELL KURI 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
ANIMA Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Jul28 (lemasurier )MORALES SILVINO 118 5.00    
RICHARDS COMMAND Oct01 Sep17 Aug04 Aug07 Jul03 (deyo)REYES AMBROSIO 120 2.00    
 
HST-3   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRILL BABY DRILL Sep30 Sep17 Aug11 Jul22 Jul08 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 118 2.50    
PERFECT PENNY Sep30 Sep17 Jul30 Jul22 Jul08 (henson stev)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 8.00    
NINE OCLOCK CEASER Sep16 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 (may)MAMDEEN ROY 113 1.80 54% 0.80    
TEXAS LEGACY Sep30 Sep17 Aug04 Jul22 Jun25 (snow joh)SEECHARAN C 120 5.00    
PENALTY TO RANGERS Sep30 Sep17 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 (gutierrez e)MORALES SILVINO 113 2.00 13% 6.70    
 
HST-4   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE OF TEXAS Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug11 Jul28 (sno)MAMDEEN ROY 120 6.00    
TEXAS HUMOR Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 (gutierrez eric)PEREZ AMADEO 120 8.00    
AMANDA Oct09 Sep23 Sep09 Aug11 Jul15 (bene)REYES AMBROSIO 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
HARLAN'S ANGEL Oct09 Sep23 Sep17 Aug18 Jul23 (krasner cindy)SANTO KIMAL 124 3.50    
SCR  LASTING LIGHT Oct07 Sep17 Aug11 Jul28 Jul08 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 124 2.00    
ARIKARA Aug11 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May20 (maybin rober)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
HST-5   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Glen Todd Fantasy Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYSABLAZING Sep16 Aug28       (unwin bruce)BALGOBIN RIDGE 122 12.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of TAYLUREVELOZ by STORM VICTORY)
BROOKE MAGIC Sep30         (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of CURLIN'S PRIZE by CURLIN)
VIVA LA DIVA Sep30 Sep16       (head)REYES AMBROSIO 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by SUNGOLD out of VINOTERRA by FINALITY)
LONIE MO         (may)MAMDEEN ROY 122 12.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of MY AUNT MO by UNCLE MO)
EDDIE'S GIRL Sep16         (mendoza edgar)SANTO KIMAL 122 4.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of AMARACHI by NORTHERN AFLEET)
LIZZIE'S RAYNE Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul02   (milburn david)PEREZ AMADEO 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by LENT out of QUEEN'S EMBLEM by MASS MARKET)
ACOUSTIC MELODY Sep30 Sep10 Aug28 Aug13   (heads barba)MORALES SILVINO 122 3.50    
  (by ARROGATE out of HAY DILLY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
HST-6   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Glen Todd Ascot Graduation Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIOCLES Sep16 Aug28 Aug07     (jarvis pat)KHELAWAN KERRON 122 8.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of MY SPECIAL ANGEL by FINALITY)
VECTOR Sep16 Aug28       (macp)REYES AMBROSIO 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by BAKKEN out of DATURA by ANABAA)
BECKETT'S BEST Sep23 Aug07 Jul15     (mendoza edgar)SANTO KIMAL 122 15.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of GABIGOTHERWAY by QUIET CASH)
AUGUST RAIN Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul02   (heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 122 3.50    
  (by SUNGOLD out of BITATUDE by SUPER SAVER)
NORTHERN FORCE Sep16 Aug28 Aug07     (vanoverschof rober)NO RIDER 122 6.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of NORTHERN STORM by ROSBERG)
WEALTHY TEXAN Sep16         (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by TEXAS WILDCATTER out of INFINITE WEALTH by STEPHANOTIS)
WHISKEY HARBOR Sep17 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25   (jarvis pat)MORALES SILVINO 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by RISE UP out of RUBY ROMANCE by GRINDSTONE)
 
HST-7   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO PEOPLE Sep23 Sep09 Aug11 Jun10 May28 (lemasurier p)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 12.00    
I'M ALL SHOOK UP Sep17 Aug11 Jul28 Jun02 May14 (snow joh)SEECHARAN C 116 15.00    
ADDENDUM Sep30 Sep17 Jul08 May20 Oct15 (neigel tara)KHELAWAN KERRON 117 5.00    
FREESTYLE Sep23 Jul23 Jun10 May22 May06 (heads barbara)NO RIDER 117 3.50    
DREAMB Sep23 Aug13 Jul28     (heads barba)MORALES SILVINO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
VIVA LA VINO Sep17 Jul28 Jul08 Jun18 May22 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 120 2.00 67% 0.50    
BELCARRA PARK Sep30 Sep17 Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 (cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 120 2.50 8% 12.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.