Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hastings Racecourse
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HST-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
HST-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
HST-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/5)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HST-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
HST-5   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(4/3/6/5)-(3/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HST-6   WIN (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/5)-(3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HST-7   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HST-1   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINDING WAYS Sep10 Aug18 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (rycroft nic)MORALES SILVINO 124 0.80 53% 0.90    
SCR  BARNEY GOOGLE Oct01 Sep16 Aug18 Aug07 Jul09 (henson robert)PEREZ AMADEO 120 12.00    
3  I'M CORFU Sep10 Aug18 Jul16 Jul02 Feb05 (milburn )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
4  RACING RIVER Sep10 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (henson rober)BALGOBIN RIDGE 116 3.00    
5  STAR ENTRY Sep24 Aug13 Jul08 Jun03 May20 (henson stev)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 4.50    
 
HST-2   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWMAN Sep24 Sep10 Jul30 Jul22 Jul09 (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 124 3.00    
2  STANFORD NORTH Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 124 1.20 51% 1.00    
3  FLY BOY JACK         (heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 117 4.50 18% 4.50    
4  DAPPER DON Sep24 Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul22 (lavallee)GOMEZ ROBERTO 124 3.50    
5  BORROWED EQUITY Jun04 May20       (snow mel)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 124 5.00    
 
HST-3   10/07/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ballerina Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAPHNE Sep17 Sep10 Aug22 Aug01 Jul16 (forster )GOMEZ ROBERTO 124 15.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of LANGERS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  WE B THREE Sep09 Aug07 Jul01 Jun03 May13 (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by TEIDE out of LOST HUMOR by LANGFUHR)
3  INFINITE PATIENCE Sep09 Aug26 Aug07 Jul16 Oct08 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 124 0.60 59% 0.70    
  (by SUNGOLD out of MONTERO by LOUIS QUATORZE)
4  PRETTY ARIA Sep17 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 May27 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 124 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of PRETTY JENNY by PIONEERING)
5  ABOVE AVERAGE Sep16 Aug07 Jul23 Jun10 May20 (cloutier ma)MORALES SILVINO 120 5.00    
  (by RALIS out of OLE'S MISS by OFFICER)
 
HST-4   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SET TO SHINE Sep23 Aug07 Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 (heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 120 1.60 53% 0.90    
2  SMART LAD Aug07 Jul16 Jun24 May28 Apr30 (cloutier ma)MORALES SILVINO 120 2.00    
3  PRINCE CAIRO Sep10 Jul30 Jul01 Jun04 May20 (snow john)AEBLY FRASER 115 10.00    
4  WANDALITA Sep09 Jul28 Jul15 Jun03 May14 (rycroft nicole)SANTO KIMAL 115 5.00    
5  FLORIDA GATOR Sep09 Aug07 Jul01 Jun18 May28 (condilenios )BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 2.50 13% 6.70    
 
HST-5   10/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALKINTHEWALK Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun11 (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 116 6.00    
2  TOBESUNNY Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug11 Jul22 (unwin bruce)PEREZ AMADEO 124 1.80    
3  BAKFIRE BABY Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jun11 (henson steve)AEBLY FRASER 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BAKZONE Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 (barroby harold )POWELL KURI 116 12.00    
5  OSTRACIZE Sep10 Jul15 Jun03 May22 Oct22 (maybin rober)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
6  MISS THE HYPE Sep23 Sep09 Aug13 Jul28 Jul01 (may)MAMDEEN ROY 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
HST-6   10/07/2023 7260ft DIRT RC12 FAST BC Premier's Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAY MY WAY Sep23 Sep09 Aug07 Jul01 Jun18 (miller charl)BALGOBIN RIDGE 113 15.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of INSIDE RETREAT by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
2  BIG UNION Sep09 Aug07 Jul01 Jun03 Apr30 (rycroft nic)MORALES SILVINO 121 4.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CUTTYHUNK by MUNNINGS)
3  SUNBIRD Sep16 Aug26 Aug07 Jul08 Oct22 (jordan terry)PEREZ AMADEO 117 3.00 7% 13.50    
  (by ORB out of MARKETWAY by AFTER MARKET)
4  AT ATTENTION Sep09 Aug26 Aug07 Jul22 Jun18 (head)REYES AMBROSIO 122 2.50 66% 0.50    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of UNATTENDED by QUALITY ROAD)
5  STAY FANTASTIC Sep24 Sep10 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 (mendoza edg)KHELAWAN KERRON 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of FANTASTIC CITY by CARSON CITY)
6  JUST JIMMY Sep23 Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 (macpherson cra)AEBLY FRASER 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of TIZ A SWEEP by TIZNOW)
7  ACCIDENTAL HERO Sep16 Aug26 Aug07 Jul02 Jun10 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 118 3.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of PARDONMECOMINGTHRU by CHATAIN)
8  ITSMYDAY Aug26 Aug18 Aug05 Jun23 Jun04 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 118 10.00    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of MAGIC VIXEN by TAPIT)
 
HST-7   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILLY FATALE Sep23 Aug28 Aug13 Jul09 Jun04 (freeman a)SANTO KIMAL 118 6.00    
2  CARLA'S HONOR Sep16 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May25 (krasner cin)MORALES SILVINO 124 5.00    
3  LASTING LIGHT Sep17 Aug11 Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 (milburn )SEECHARAN C 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
4  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Sep09 Aug11 Jul15 Jul02 Jan28 (leaney p)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 15.00    
5  ICE BREAKER Oct01 Sep09 Aug11 Jul23 Jul01 (grieve larr)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 6.00 8% 11.00    
6  ANIMA Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Jul28 Jul02 (lemasurier p)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 4.00 ★    
7  ROSE OF TEXAS Sep23 Sep09 Aug11 Jul28 Jul08 (snow mel)AEBLY FRASER 115 6.00    
8  TEXAS HUMOR Sep23 Sep09 Aug18 Jul30 Jul15 (gutierrez eric)PEREZ AMADEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.