Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SR-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/2/6)-(2/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SR-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(2/1/5)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SR-3   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(6/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(6/3/5)-(3/5/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SR-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(3/5/7/2)-(5/2/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SR-5   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/7/2)-(5/2/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/2)-(5/2/4/7)-(9/2/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SR-6   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(9/2/8/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/7)-(9/2/8/3)-(7/8/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SR-7   WIN (9/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/3)-(9/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/3)-(9/2/8/3)-(9/2/8/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/8/3)-(7/8/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SR-8   WIN (7/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING FELON Jul23         (hansen roger)ALVARADO T 122 3.00 6% 14.80    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SONOMA BRED by ALL THE GEARS)
2  WESTERN CAPE Jul23 Dec10 Nov18 Sep17 Sep02 (lenzini mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.50 72% 0.40    
  (by CURLIN out of OUT POST by SILVER DEPUTY)
3  VINNIEBOB Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 Dec11 (davis bob)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 15.00    
  (by COIL out of ACLEVERSHADEOFJADE by CLEVER TRICK)
SCR  TOWN PERFORMER Jul23 Jul04 Jun11 May27   (tamayo isidro)DURAN F 122 1.40    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of SING AND TELL by ALYMAGIC)
5  BID ON THE PRIZE Jul23 Jun05 Jan22     (eaton ter)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 5.00    
  (by SMART BID out of MY LOOLOO by PURE PRIZE)
 
SR-2   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMANERA (IRE) Jul23 Jun10 Apr23 Mar12 Jan13 (steiner jack)ROMAN A 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
2  MR. CLUTCH Jul30 Jul23 Jun30 May28 Apr01 (thomas ruby)ALVARADO T 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
3  UNION GIG Jul29 Jun17 May12 Apr22 Apr01 (trujillo victor )PENA BRYAN 125 5.00    
4  DAD BOD Aug04 Jul23 Jun24 May21 Apr29 (greiner g)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 4.50    
5  WOUND UP Jul21 May29 Apr30 Mar27 Jan27 (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 3.50    
6  NUESTRO ENGREIDO Jul21 Jun17 Dec26 Nov27 Oct28 (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SR-3   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KRISTIN LEE Jul09 Jun24       (taylor faith)ALVARADO T 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  TIGER IN MY TANK Jul09 Jun11       (steiner ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
3  DADS DREAM Jul21 May28 May14     (lenzini micha)OROZCO IRVING 122 10.00    
4  DRUM BUNNY Jul08 Jun11 May14     (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00    
5  AUTISM INCLUSION Jul23 Jul08       (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  UNION COACH Aug05         (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 119 4.00    
7  CLEAR THE COAST Jul08 Jun11 May14     (calvario)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 15.00    
 
SR-4   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUST MAKER Jul04 Jun02 May04 Mar24 Mar03 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 120 8.00    
2  GETAWAY CHARM Jun25 May12 Feb25 Jan28 Jan13 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 12.00    
3  TOM'S STYLE Apr07 Mar04       (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
4  PRINCESA DEL TIGRE Jun30 Jun04 Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 (mccanna ti)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
5  A ROUSING BABE Jul01 Jun10 May19 Apr29 Apr07 (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
6  MY YAMMY LADY Jun04 May20 Apr29 Mar24 Mar03 (sherman steve )ROMAN A 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
SR-5   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S SO FANCY Jul07 May19 Mar17 Feb19 Feb03 (badilla man)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 10.00    
2  SMOKEMS TAPHOUSE Jul01 Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Sep17 (taylor faith)OROZCO IRVING 122 8.00 9% 10.80    
3  HOW ABOUT A FRESCA Jun09 May19 Apr21 Mar26 Feb19 (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  MATCHLESS Jul04 Jun10 Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 (rond)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00    
5  BLACK ZABAT Jun10 Apr21 Apr07 Mar03 Feb11 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
6  PANDEMIC GIRL May20 May04 Apr15 Feb19 Aug12 (rondan f)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00    
7  MADAME GAZELLE Jul04 Jun09 May14 Dec02 Nov13 (miranda efrain)ALVARADO T 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
8  JAZZY LOVE Jun30 Jun09 Apr15 Mar24 Mar03 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
 
SR-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY TAYLORS RUMBLE Jul22 Jul02       (preciado gu)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 20.00    
  (by BOX SCORE out of PAULA TAL AND JAN by TEN MOST WANTED)
2  SURFLINE Jul22 Jun04 Mar31 May15 Apr23 (drys)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by IRISH SURF out of SINGITA by HOLY BULL)
3  MAGIC WANDERER         (miyadi steven)RIVERA SANTOS 122 4.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of WANDA'S TOUCH by SQUARE EDDIE)
4  ADAPTED MEMORY Jul07 May26 May05     (wright blaine)HERRERA HUGO 122 5.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of ADAPTABILITY by EDDINGTON)
5  OH ANGEL Jul02 Jun04 Feb18 Feb03 Jan13 (wright blaine)OROZCO IRVING 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of MARNAYS ANGEL by OH TANNER)
6  LITTLE CHEYENNE Jul22         (delima clifford)DURAN F 125 10.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of CINTRON by CYCLOTRON)
7  ALFONSIA Jun04 May13 Apr22     (galvin brendan)ROMAN A 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of VINCENZA by GOTHAM CITY)
 
SR-7   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Robert Dupret Derby Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRINIDAD Jul22 Jun23 May26 Apr30 Mar04 (hansen roger)ALVARADO T 120 8.00    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of APOLLONESIAN by APOLLO)
2  COUSIN RICHIE Jul30 Jul09 May28 Apr30 Apr02 (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 6.00 7% 13.60    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of CROWN ON TAP by TAPIZAR)
3  DRUIDIC Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 Apr08 Feb18 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SHARED IMAGE by ROCKY BAR)
SCR  BOB'S BLUE MOON Jun30 Jun11 Apr30 Apr15 Mar04 (sherman s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 8.00    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of NICOLETTE CHARMANT by GOOD JOURNEY)
5  RODRIGOKNOWS Jul22 Jun17 May26 Apr30 Apr07 (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 120 6.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of FAMILYOFROSES by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
6  PHOSPHORESCENCE (FR) Jul23 Jun11 May28 Apr29 Mar12 (mccarthy micha)ROMAN A 120 4.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CREATE A DREAM by OASIS DREAM)
7  SEA DOG Jul22 Jun17 May26 Apr29 Mar04 (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GIANT'S ACCENT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  HAPPY DOES Jun17 May26 Apr30 Mar31 Mar04 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOUTHERN IMAGE out of HANDFULL by COMIC STRIP)
9  CLOVISCONNECTION Jul16 Jun18 Apr30 Apr08 Mar17 (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 3.50 69% 0.40    
  (by VRONSKY out of LA DARLING by PERFECT MANDATE)
 
SR-8   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING DERBY Jul29 Jul04 Jun17 May07 Apr22 (preciado gu)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 15.00    
SCR  MUCHO MACHISMO Aug04 Sep30 Sep11 Jan22 Jan01 (franko dani)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 20.00    
3  AUSPICIOUS STYLE Jul09 Jun11 May13 Apr22 Mar26 (steiner jack)ROMAN A 125 4.50 11% 7.70    
4  IL CAPITANO (GB) Jul21 Jun24 Jun09 May26 May05 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 125 8.00    
5  ECOLOGIST Jul09 Jun11 May27 May07 Apr23 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 123 4.00 8% 10.80    
6  HEY MATE Jul09 Jun18 May27 May13 Apr23 (mclean bill)OROZCO IRVING 125 10.00    
7  NOLDE Jul01 May20 Apr09 Mar11 Feb11 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
8  RESPECT THE HUSTLE Oct21 Oct01 Sep05 Aug12 Jul29 (mcle)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 8.00 14% 5.90    
9  LIL MIRACLE MAN Jul21 Jun24 May26 Apr22 Mar25 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.