Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(1/4/5)-(5/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(5/6/4)-(8/2/7/9/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(8/2/7/9/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(8/2/7/9/5)-(4/2/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRM-7   WIN (8/2/7/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/9/5)-(8/2/7/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/9/5)-(8/2/7/9/5)-(8/2/7/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/7/9/5)-(4/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/9/5)-(4/2/5)-(3/5/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/5/7)-(2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-9   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PRM-10   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.263K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST JOHNNY Jul16 Jun16 May27 May19 Sep26 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 4.00    
2  OSCAR WINNER WALLY Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 Jun03 May12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
3  COBYMEISTER Jul17 Jun19 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 (jacquo)FLETCHER D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  COLORFUL NATIVE Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 Oct02 Sep19 (jacquot gene)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 3.00    
5  ALLEN'S ROCKET Jul16 Jun11 May21 Oct01 Aug29 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Jul16 Jun18 Jun02 Oct01 Sep04 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
PRM-5   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADE Jul10 Jun24 Feb12     (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  KIRBY KAYE Jul16 Jan21       (von do)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.50    
3  MINNESOTA NICE Jul01 Jun07 May07 Apr08 Feb20 (young sco)TRIANA JR 123 5.00    
4  MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Jul17 Jun02 Nov21 Oct28 Oct12 (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 1.80 21% 3.80    
5  WATERS OF MEROM May02 Mar17 Feb03 Jan25 Dec14 (richard chris)BIRZER E 123 2.50 12% 7.00    
 
PRM-6   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDBAYOU Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 Jun03 May22 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 119 3.00    
2  MEET GEORGE JETSON Jul17 Jul07 Jun19 May29 Oct22 (hemba )FLETCHER D 124 6.00    
3  RING BEARER Jul02 Jun19 May22 May06   (martin e)BIRZER E 119 4.00    
4  HEART HEADED ARKY Jun19 Apr29 Apr07 Mar12 Feb25 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WILD APPEAL Jul02 Jun19 Aug15 Jul18 Jul10 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  SKYFLYER Jul15 Jul03 May22     (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
PRM-7   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 2 F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCYS STROLL Jul21 Jun30       (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 20.00    
  (by STROLL out of BLUEGRASS LUCY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  OLIVIA'S HOPE Jul08         (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
  (by CONGRATS out of ESPERANZA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  SUPINE DUCHESS Jul21         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 20.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of LADY NOBLE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
4  KATHERINES KID         (von hemel)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of SUN VALLEY WILDCAT by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
5  SHARP ROSA         (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MAY FINE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  BEAUTIFLY TROUBL'D Jul21         (jordan todd )JORDAN R 119 10.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEAUTIFUL LU by GONE WEST)
7  JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS Jul21 Jun30       (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 119 4.00 15% 5.70    
  (by STROLL out of DE QUEEN by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
8  THAT'S OUR VISION Jul21 Jul08       (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by WILBURN out of VISION'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
9  QUIET I'M NOT Jul21 Jul08       (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50 12% 7.70    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ELEGANTLY QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
PRM-8   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.325K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR ELI Oct01 Sep18 Aug20 Jul25   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 5.00    
2  LATE FOR LUNCH Jul23 Jun23 Jun09 May26 May13 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  JOHN R Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 Aug29 Aug13 (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 122 3.00    
4  CYCLONE MESA Jul09 Aug28 Aug15 Jul15 Mar22 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
5  MR. SOLO Jul10 Jun23 Jun02 Apr13 Nov19 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
6  MILTON STREET Jul10 Jul03 Jun16 May27 Oct02 (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 8.00    
 
PRM-9   08/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOT SUMMER DREAM Jul28 Jul10 Jun24 May19 May04 (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 118 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SUMMERLY by SUMMER SQUALL)
SCR  FLAT OUT HOT Jul09 Jun16 Apr16 Mar11 Feb26 (rhodes lester)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 20.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BETAR B SHARP by CHEROKEE RUN)
3  RUNNINTHESTREETS Jul10 Jun24 Apr28 Mar18 Apr29 (anderson )DE CRUZ 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of SPAGEDDY EDDY by EDDINGTON)
4  SUPER CINDY Jul10 Jun24 May27 May04 Apr21 (murphy swan)NOLL S 118 3.50    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of RUTHERIENNE by PULPIT)
5  MARSHSIDE MAMA Jul10 Jun05 May13     (anderson l)TOHILL S 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by KARUN out of HY MARY LADY by MINESHAFT)
6  LOVE AMPLIFIED Jul16 Jun24 May28     (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
7  JILL'S LEMON DROP Jul16 Jun24 May13 Jul29   (dieter da)TRIANA JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAVA'S WAR out of LEMON DROP BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
PRM-10   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW STRIPE Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 Jun11 May28 (arnett g)BIRZER E 124 2.00    
2  HOLIDAY TICKET Jul15 Jul03 Jun18 May22 Apr30 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.50 9% 10.10    
3  BLUESKIESANDANGELS Jul03 Jun09 May17 Apr26 Apr12 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00    
4  NORTH SIDE Jul14 Jun04 May12 Apr29 Apr08 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 4.00    
SCR  DRINK Jul14 Jun16 Apr30 Apr08 Mar25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  HIGHER AUTHORITY Jul22 Jun10 May22 May05 Mar26 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 124 8.00    
7  TOUGH COMPANY Jul14 Jun28 Jun14 May20 Apr29 (drake )FLETCHER D 124 15.00 5% 18.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.