Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Rosa
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SR-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(3/6)-(4/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SR-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(4/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(4/1/3)-(4/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SR-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(4/6/1)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SR-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(2/1/5)-(5/3/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SR-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/3/7/2)-(1/4/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SR-6   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2)-(1/4/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SR-7   WIN (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SR-1   08/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHMENT Jul02 Jun16       (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 5.00    
2  UPDRAFT Jul02 Jun09 May20 May05 Apr14 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 8.00    
3  WOLF'S LIFE Jul02 Jun16 May05 Apr16 Mar17 (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOTOWN CLASSIC Jul07 Jun18 May28 May14 Mar26 (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 122 0.80 57% 0.80    
5  ONE BIG SMILE Jun23 May28 May06 Apr16 Apr01 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
 
SR-2   08/03/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANDFORGRIT Jul08 Jun25 Jun02 May21 May04 (hans)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 3.00    
SCR  SELSAE May21         (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 125 4.00    
3  PRINCESS HEKAWI         (mccanna tim)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  ZIPPIDY DU DAD Jul07         (taylor faith)ALVARADO T 122 2.50    
5  MISS FLAGG Jul08 May19 May05     (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 6.00    
6  JULIET'S KITCHEN         (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
SR-3   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROOKYS TAPIT Jul01 Jun02 May07 Apr22 Apr01 (maravill)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  DI LAURIAN Jul23 Jun17 May26 Apr21 Mar26 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 10.00    
3  BEROLIJEAN (FR) Jul01 Jun10 May26 May04 Apr15 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.50 15% 5.60    
4  MASHHAD FLATS Jul04 Jun17 Jun02 May12 Apr30 (hobson simon)PENA BRYAN 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  SAFE COMBINATION Jul29 Jun17 May26 Apr21 Dec16 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00    
6  POUR ON THE COLE Jul21 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 May07 (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 5.00    
 
SR-4   08/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN BULLET Sep10         (sadler w)ALVARADO T 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ROYAL IRISH LASS by SAINT BALLADO)
2  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Jul07 Jun24 Jun03 May06   (mcdaniel l)HERRERA HUGO 122 20.00    
  (by WINNING CAUSE out of LEAPS 'N BOUNDS by VRONSKY)
3  BUY THE RUMOR Jul09 Jun11 May14 Apr08   (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 15.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ROZZIE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
4  RESERVE PROOF Jul09 May27       (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of ROSSI RESERVE by EDDINGTON)
5  OUR NORTH STAR Jun24         (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MISS STAR MAKER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  HERON BAY Jun10         (drys)ANTONGEORGI JR 117 1.60 19% 4.20    
  (by WAR FRONT out of CALIFORNIAGOLDRUSH by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
 
SR-5   08/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Jul28 Jun18 Mar31 Mar03 Feb12 (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  BOLD DAUGHTER Jul21 Jun24 May28 Apr29 Mar24 (hansen roge)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  NORTHERN ROSE May21 Apr23 Mar31 Mar03 Feb11 (bautista)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 8.00    
4  DRESS REHEARSAL Jul09 Jun16 Jun03 May19 Apr16 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 2.50    
5  LIGHT UP Jul02 May13 Apr23 Mar31 Mar09 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
SR-6   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANNAH IN A HURRY May29 May14 Apr28 Mar25 Mar11 (stortz ma)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 6.00    
2  LIAM'S SECRET Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May07 Apr14 (rich l)PENA BRYAN 125 8.00 5% 18.50    
3  TORREY'S GIRL Jul09 May28 Mar24 Mar03 May01 (thomas jam)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.50 12% 7.40    
4  HAYDEN'S ANGEL Jun25 Jun09 May14 Apr14 Jun04 (meier r)HERRERA HUGO 125 5.00    
5  LUCY TREASURE Jun23 May06 Apr17 Oct01 Sep17 (jaur)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  RAUCOUS TIZZY Jun30 Jun09 May12 Apr07 Mar04 (galvin bren)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 10.00    
7  DANEHILL SONG Jul02 Jun10 Apr29 Mar27 Feb19 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 3.50 7% 12.40    
 
SR-7   08/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTTONWOOD TREE Jul23 Jun30 May29 May06 Jul28 (bellasis t)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.50 53% 0.90    
2  MOOGIE SON Jul28 Jun17 May06 Apr10 Mar13 (moger jr)OROZCO IRVING 123 2.50    
3  AZURE STAR (IRE) Jul09 Jun02 May14 Apr16 Mar25 (mathis andy)DURAN F 122 5.00    
4  O B'S Mar04 Jan02 Dec03 Nov12 Oct22 (mclean bill)ALVARADO T 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
5  CHARBONNEAU Jul04 Jun02 Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RACKATAPTAP Jul01 Jun11 Apr29 Apr14 Mar18 (specht st)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  QUALITY CAT Jul07 May19       (sherman s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.