Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - February 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/3/4/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/3/4/2/1)-(6/3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/1/4)-(5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/5/3/1/4)-(2/5/3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(5/4)-(6/8/5/4/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SA-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/2/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/2/1/6)-(5/4/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/8/5/4/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/8/5/4/3)-(2/1/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/8/5/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/4/3)-(6/8/5/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/4/3)-(6/8/5/4/3)-(6/8/5/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/5/4/3)-(2/1/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/4/3)-(2/1/7)-(3/2/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SA-5   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/3/4)-(2/1/7/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(3/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(3/2/4)-(2/1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/5/8)-(3/2/4/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4/7)-(2/1/6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/6/4)-(3/9) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/9)-(3/9/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/9)-(3/9/1/4)-(3/9/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   02/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIO JO Jan21 Dec26 Oct29 Oct10 Sep03 (o'neill doug)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
POST FACTO Jan08 Nov12 Oct10 Aug21   (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
KOLOMIO Dec04 Oct23 Aug26 Jul30 Jul03 (cerin vladimir)BRAVO J 122 2.50    
ZOOKEEPER Dec02 Oct23 Aug26 Aug07 Jun10 (hanson ryan)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 7% 12.90    
LAMPY Dec17 Dec02 Nov12 Oct16 Sep18 (metz jeffr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 50.00    
PAULLIAC (IRE) Dec04 Nov12       (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 64% 0.60    
 
SA-2   02/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTO DE TIGRE Dec30 Dec16 Nov06 Oct14 Sep05 (ruiz lorenzo)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 7% 13.50    
IMPOSSIBLE TASK Dec31 Nov06 Oct08 Sep04 Jul02 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 1.20 52% 0.90    
ZIMBA WARRIOR Jan06 Nov05 Sep23 Aug21 Jul02 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 120 2.50    
CLUB ASPEN Nov05 Oct09       (lewis craig)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SETTECENTO Dec30 Dec17 Jun25 Jun03 May01 (knapp steve)HERRERA A 122 3.00    
 
SA-3   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHLEYS SANDCASTLE         (d'amato phili)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SANDI'S READY by MORE THAN READY)
NENE DIAMOND         (puype mike)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
  (by STANFORD out of JOYCE AND ME by DISCREET CAT)
MISS JO'S CANDY         (rosales richard)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of MISS JO'S COMMAND by FOREST COMMAND)
GENERAL WELFARE Dec04         (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by MERIT MAN out of GENERAL ANN by COLONEL JOHN)
BAJAN BASHERT Jan07 Dec02       (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.80 57% 0.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MAXIMUM EDGE by DIALED IN)
IDESSIA         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 5.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SILVER SWALLOW by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
SA-4   02/03/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUICKLIKEABUNNY Nov26 Oct21 Aug28     (powell leo)VAN DRAYDEN 124 12.00    
BLOSSOMING Sep05 Aug07 Jul04 May28 Mar27 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00    
LA AGUILILLA Jan13 Dec17 Oct22 Sep23 Sep05 (ram)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MENDHAM MILL Nov20 May01 Mar05 Jan16   (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 8% 10.80    
MAJESTIC STEPS (IRE) Jan13 Nov13 Feb11     (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
BIG BEAUTY Dec26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep09 May01 (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 29% 2.50    
SCR  SUPER RENEE Nov26 Oct23 Oct07 Aug25 Jul31 (hess b)SMITH E 124 6.00    
CRIMSON ROSE Jan13 Dec16 Nov13 Sep30 Sep02 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
SA-5   02/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN CAT Dec31 Nov26 Oct16 Aug28 Aug07 (pederson dean)FREY KYLE 124 1.80 21% 3.80    
KATONAH Jan13         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
BOOK SMART Aug19 Jul17 Jun25     (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00    
INDULGE Jul22 Jun10 Apr30 Mar27   (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
SUZIE QZZ BROTHER Aug13 Jun11 May15 Apr17 Mar07 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 6.00    
GRAZEN SUN Jan20 Dec11 Nov11 Oct10 Sep25 (m)ROJAS EDUARD 124 15.00    
STREET ART Dec31 Dec04 Oct22 Sep10 Aug11 (spawr william)SMITH E 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
 
SA-6   02/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREEDOM LASS Dec03 Oct15 Aug19 Jul22 Jun19 (spawr william)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
TIK TOK FAMOUS (GB) Sep25 Jul17 Apr16     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 10.00 24% 3.10    
BALLET DANCING Dec26 Nov12 Aug20 Jul24 May29 (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
GOLD FOR KITTEN Jan13 Nov12 Feb19 Jan09   (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
BUZZ OF NEW YORK (IRE) Dec03 Oct28 Sep04 Jul31 Jan17 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
DRAMATIZER Nov24 Oct02 Sep01 Aug14 Jun19 (desormeaux keit)SMITH E 122 12.00    
KUORA (PER) Nov12 Oct15 Aug28 Aug06 Jun19 (azcarate dan)CURATOLO RYAN 124 20.00    
MACADAMIA (BRZ) Dec03 Aug19 Jul22 Jun17   (d'amato phili)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.00    
 
SA-7   02/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE HARBOR Jan13 Feb18 Jan15     (hanson ryan)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
TECUMSEH CAROLINE Dec03 Oct28 Oct09 Aug11   (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
BUSKER ALLIE Dec17 Nov25 Sep24 Sep01 Jul31 (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 12.00    
DELTA WIND Nov12 Feb20 Jan16     (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 5.00 6% 14.80    
TIZZY TWISTER Jan06 Nov26 Oct23 Sep22 Aug11 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
STARSHIP DEFIANT Jan13 Dec18 Oct16 Aug11 Jun26 (hess b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00 12% 7.20    
LA DEUXIEME ETOILE Jan07 Dec26 Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 4.00    
 
SA-8   02/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR PROSPECT Jan08 Nov27 Nov06     (gaines carla)BRAVO J 122 4.00    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of Q T SHAE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
MICKEY GOLDMILL Jan08 Dec20 Nov25     (wong jonatha)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 20.00    
  (by PASSION FOR GOLD out of HOLLADAY VISIT by LONHRO (AUS))
BRONKO NAGURSKI Jan07 Dec16       (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by GRAZEN out of SUNDAY RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
YO TIME Jan06 Nov27       (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of HI HO YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
SHIP AND SCAM Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 Aug13 Jul24 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 10.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
J D'S RUDE BOY Jan08 Dec11       (bonde jeff)SMITH E 122 8.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of NORAH'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
LE VRON JAMES         (koriner bri)HERRERA A 122 12.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of AROUSING by CEE'S TIZZY)
HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY Jan08 Nov18 Aug11 Jul23   (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of ONLY YOU BABE by THORN SONG)
WORKDAY Jan08 Nov06 Jul01     (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 9% 10.10    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LADYBUG by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Jan08 Nov25 Oct22 Sep17 Aug11 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 8.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of LADY HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  CHROME TO RICHES Jan07         (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 46% 1.20    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of HEAT TRAP by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.