Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - September 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-3   09/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIP'S CREEK Sep02 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (rycroft tim)MARTIN ANDRE 125 4.00 35% 1.90    
2  GRACEFUL SPIRIT Sep10 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08   (pozzo jack)BALROOP SVEN 120 10.00    
3  QUEEN RHONDA Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 (smith ron)ZENTENO JR 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  WINE TASTER Aug13 Jul30       (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 8.00 7% 13.80    
5  VIVIEN'S CHARM Jul30 Jun24 May07     (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 6.00 ★    
6  ADDYDIDIT Sep02 Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
7  QUICK DIAL Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 (wendland w)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 2.00    
 
CTM-4   09/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT'SDOLLARNIGHT Sep09 Aug06 Jun29 Jun15   (brown r)NELSON DANE 126 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  PROOF IT Sep09 Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 Jun11 (rycroft tom)MARTIN ANDRE 126 5.00 15% 5.90    
3  ADMIRAL VANNGO Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 May21 (russell monica)BALROOP SVEN 121 10.00    
4  BOLSANO Sep09 Aug28 Jul16 Jul02   (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 126 15.00    
5  NO SUPAH FOR YOU Sep09 Aug21 Aug14 Jun25 Jun10 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 6.00 ★    
6  TANGERINE TAXI Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul23 Jun24 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 2.50 18% 4.40    
7  MAJESTIC CAFE Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 126 4.00 10% 8.90    
8  WHISKEY BOUND Aug27 Aug05       (kingston ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 126 8.00    
 
CTM-5   09/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMEIRAH COAST Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (smit)REYES AMBROSIO 126 4.00 9% 10.10    
2  BAR NO Q Sep10 Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 126 6.00 6% 16.70    
3  FIRST PRINCE Sep02 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (nicholson david)NELSON DANE 126 2.50 10% 8.90    
4  DEVILS COMMAND Sep09 Aug14 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 (ward anderson)BRYAN D 126 15.00    
5  YORKTOWN Sep03 Jul16 Jun10 May28 Apr30 (petrowski joa)MUIR SHAMAREE 126 8.00    
6  BARE BACK JACK Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jun24 (walper deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  FROBISHER BAY Sep10 Aug27 Aug19 Jul23 Jul09 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 10.00 ★    
8  NEVVARE Sep10 Aug26 Aug19 Jul23 Jul08 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 126 5.00    
 
CTM-6   09/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAVINA LANE Sep09 Aug27 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 6.00 13% 6.90    
2  VICTORY AT LAST Sep10 Aug26 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 126 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  GREAT VISION Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (grieves ron)BALROOP SVEN 118 5.00    
4  PULL THE PIN Sep02 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 116 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Sep09 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 126 8.00    
6  KENTUCKY LEGEND Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 123 2.50 ★    
7  RATTLESNAKE JACK Sep04 Aug13       (smith dar)GONZALEZ ADRIAN 121 15.00    
8  DOC COPE Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 May21 (grieves ron)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00 7% 14.10    
 
CTM-7   09/23/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST OF WAR Sep10 Aug12 Jul23 Jul15 Jun25 (heggie ro)ZENTENO JR 123 15.00    
2  FULL VELOCITY Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 (rycroft tim)MARTIN ANDRE 126 5.00    
3  ROLL THE STONE Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22   (robertson je)ZENTENO RAFAEL 124 8.00    
4  WYE CROSS Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 (smith k)BRYAN D 124 6.00 8% 11.30    
5  SPORTSCARR Sep09 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (diodoro robe)WALCOTT W 126 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  H K MELODY Sep10 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 (humbke cher)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 20.00 ★    
7  SANSOME Sep09 Aug26 Jul23     (palma milton)NELSON DANE 123 12.00    
8  SPOT ON DUDE Sep09 Aug13 Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 (frey c)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.00 ★    
9  MARIA'S SONG Sep10 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 126 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
CTM-8   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS VICKERS Aug27         (pay)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
2  FLASHING JOKER         (ferguson l)RIZO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
3  LILLY'S OF LONDON Sep10 Aug13       (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  FAMILY IS GOLD Sep10 Aug27       (heggie ro)ZENTENO JR 122 8.00    
5  MONOPOLIZE         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
6  GOLDEN FORTYNINE         (kettleson al)WALCOTT W 122 6.00 9% 9.70    
7  TAPULOUS         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 12.00    
8  GOLDIE SOCKS Sep10 Aug06       (kingston c)BRYAN D 122 5.00 ★    
9  SINGING BELL Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 Jul09   (humbke cher)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 18% 4.40    
10  STARMA         (smit)REYES AMBROSIO 122 10.00    
SCR  SUNDROP (JPN) Sep10 Aug27       (mckenzie robe)FRASER MEAGAN 112 15.00    
 
CTM-9   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FULLOUT FIRE         (calhoun ki)RIZO ALEXIS 123 12.00    
2  VANTASTICCANAVERAL         (russell monica)BALROOP SVEN 118 20.00    
3  H K RAPPER         (humbke)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00 ★    
4  MOHAMAD Sep10         (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 2.50 ★    
5  CLEVER CONNECTION         (nicholson )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 10.00    
6  BIG BAD INTAGLIO Sep10 Aug13 Aug06     (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 123 6.00    
7  OUR SUNSHINE Sep10 Aug13       (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00 56% 0.80    
8  CARAVAN PRINCE Sep10         (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
9  MAMA'S PROUD JOKE         (gourdeau brit)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 10.00 ★    
10  BIG JIM Sep10 Aug06       (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.