Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN SALLY Sep02         (mckee d)MORALES KELVIN 122 6.00    
2  HOVEL Aug27         (davis russe)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 6.00 13% 6.70    
3  COWGIRL SHINE Aug27 Aug05       (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00 ★    
4  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY         (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 ★    
5  SHAKE IT GIRL Aug27 Aug05 Jul22     (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  MO CO GOLD Sep02         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 16% 5.10    
 
CT-2   09/15/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY OF GOLD Aug27 May26 May04 Mar11 Feb10 (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00 ★    
2  MESMERIZED Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun10 Jun02 (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  ON A WHIM Sep07 Aug28 Aug01 Jul22 Jun30 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
4  PISTOL P Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun02 May12 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 35% 1.80    
5  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Jun11 May13 Apr20 Mar24 Feb17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 31% 2.30    
6  BELMULLET Jul09 May05 Mar04 Feb11   (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
CT-3   09/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST IN MANHATTAN Aug25 Jul29 Jul08 Jun08 May06 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.40 34% 2.00    
2  THE IRON BANK Aug18 Jul29 Jul07 Jun25 Jun16 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 15.00    
3  BRUTUS Aug25 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May26 (scott llo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  AUTS REVOLUTION Aug25 Aug04 Jul09 Jun26 May26 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 ★    
5  J J WEDGIT MAN Aug22 Aug06 Jul07 Jun30 May18 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00    
SCR  CAYENNE CREEK Aug20 Aug06 May27 Apr30 Mar02 (davis russe)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00 28% 2.60    
7  BRIAN'S AVENUE Aug20 Jul15 Jun17 May06 Mar25 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 ★    
 
CT-4   09/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUBURN MILL Aug27 Jul14 Jun25 Jun09 May04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.20 26% 2.80    
2  SLEW THE TURN Aug19 Jul18 Jun25 May18 Apr13 (carlisle john )ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00 ★    
3  ELLIE'S LIL MAN Aug20 Jul17 Jun07 Apr27 Mar31 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
4  FREEDOM RIDER Aug25 Aug05 Jul23 Jun23   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 34% 2.00    
5  ROCKET'S CASTLE Aug27 Jul09 Jun16     (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00 ★    
6  SPECTACULO Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jun11 Jun02 (mangual man)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 12.00    
 
CT-5   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST VIRGINIA PAM Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 Jun10 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 122 4.50 ★    
2  EX RATED Aug18 Jul21 Jul01 May19 Apr30 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.00 ★    
3  LOVE TO ZOOM Aug25 Aug08 Jul21 Jun24 May28 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  KARPATHIAN DREAM Aug25 Aug06 Jul07 Jun18   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
5  SARAH'S WARRIOR Aug25 Aug06 Jul21 Jun24 Jun16 (viands sta)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00    
6  HANDSOME JOANIE Aug25 Aug06 Jun04 May12 Apr14 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00 ★    
7  SOOEY'S PRINCESS Jul22 Jul15 Jun18 May25 May14 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   09/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOK THE CHAIN Aug25 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun02 (boggs joanna)LIMA FELINO 111 12.00    
2  MOIRAINE Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 May13 Apr29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 12% 7.10    
3  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Aug25 Aug05 Jul15 Jul05 Jun02 (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  EMBERLY Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 Jun02 Feb10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
5  GLOBAL EMPRESS Aug19 Jul28 Jul15 Jun02 May12 (anderson patr)ADAMS L 114 15.00    
6  REAL APPEAL (GER) Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jun18 May25 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
7  MISS LAUREN May25 May13 Apr21     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 ★    
 
CT-7   09/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HESSICA Aug18 Jul23 Jun16 May25 May04 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 2.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  CEDAR'S WISH Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 Jun24 May28 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00    
3  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 31% 2.20    
4  BAYS CASTLE Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 Jun16 May25 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 118 10.00    
5  WHALE OF A TIME Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 May21 Apr15 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
6  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Aug26 Jul30 Jul07 Jun30 Jun09 (jackson an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 ★    
7  TIMETOGETUP Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 Jun16 (casey a)LARROSA G 118 15.00 ★    
 
CT-8   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED WISDOM Aug25 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17   (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.50 ★    
2  HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Jun23 May28 May07 Apr10 Mar26 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50 25% 2.90    
3  KINKY FROLIC Jun17 Apr16 Mar16 Jan28   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  HEIDI T Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 May05 Apr08 (mancilla ca)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00    
5  SUPERSTASIA Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 Jun17 May21 (rangel rica)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
6  GOSSIPING Sep01 Aug25 Jul30 Jun23 May28 (perez e)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 6.00    
7  MAGIC IN ME Aug26 Aug14 Jul01 Apr02 Mar05 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
8  DON'T TELL GRANDMA Aug13 Jul04 Jun21 May30 May07 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 10.00 9% 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.