Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   09/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($64.3K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S TRUE Aug28         (douglas matt)HOYTE JASON 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
ONE BAY HEMINGWAY Aug12         (attard c)STEIN JUSTIN 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
STUBBORN STREAK         (biamonte j)SALLES LEO 118 10.00    
SMART COVERAGE Aug21         (griffith ricky)CRAWFORD J 121 5.00 5% 17.60    
PATCHES O'HOULIHAN         (tiller rober)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 6.00    
ONE MORE BREW Aug28 Jul31       (mat)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
GUNGI Aug28         (banach d)GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
 
WO-2   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN HAPPY Aug18 Jul17 Jun26     (parente pat)JONES SLADE 120 1.60    
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 May01 (attard kevin)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
INCENDIO Aug13 Jul31 Jul10 Jul01 May15 (jones a)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 20.00    
FOUR BOUNCE Aug13 Jul31 Jul17     (ma)BOULANGER CHANCE 125 10.00 11% 7.70    
SIR GRAYVENSCROFT Sep01 Aug13 Jul10 Jun23 May27 (colbourne gor)JOHNSON DEVON 123 15.00    
MY BOY CHRISTIAN Jul22 Jun30 Jun11     (desouza bancr)HERNANDEZ K 125 12.00 7% 13.70    
BULLET SPEED Aug27 Jul31 Jul07 Jun16 May29 (edwards keith)HOYTE JASON 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
SUPREMEACTION Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 May21 (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 125 6.00    
 
WO-3   09/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($112.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY LADY Jul02 Jun05       (casse mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00    
ROSEBUD'S HOPE Aug20 Jul03 Jun11 Apr30   (attard kevin)JONES SLADE 117 3.00    
PEACE SEEKER Aug20 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11   (nosowenko nich)FLORES ESWAN 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
MS VANCOUGAR Aug13 Jul21 Jun25 May28   (nosowenk)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
SCR  I GET IT Apr30         (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00    
NOVEMBER FOG Aug13 Jun26 Jun05 Apr30   (ritchie sara)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
 
WO-4   09/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($101.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RON'S GIZMO Aug14 Jul24 Jun26     (parente pat)SALLES LEO 123 4.00    
CONCEALED CARRY Aug12 Jul22       (minshall barbar)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00    
SCR  DREAM MAKER Aug14 May06       (casse mark)STEIN JUSTIN 123 8.00    
SANDY BAY Aug28 Jul22 Jun12     (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 125 3.50 39% 1.50    
EPILOGUE Aug14 Jul22 Jul07 Jun19 May27 (tiller robert)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 12.00    
SOUPER LEGACY Jul31 Jun26 Feb04 Jan07   (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 6.00    
DOWNY BOY Aug14 Jul17 Jun12 May15   (drexler martin)FLORES ESWAN 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
TAKE A CHANCE Jul22 Jun26 May20 May01 Mar27 (ritchie s)WILSON JAYNE 123 10.00    
LESLIE CHOW Aug20 Jul17 May07 Apr02 Mar05 (minshall)GALLARDO A 120 15.00    
10  MAAKWA Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 May12 Apr24 (lopez shana)BOULANGER G 123 8.00    
 
WO-5   09/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($53.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYPERFOCUS Jul22 Jun26 Jun03 May22 Feb20 (biamonte j)HUSBANDS P 123 4.00    
BURNING MAN Aug21 Aug04 Jul24 Jun19 May22 (attard k)GALLARDO A 125 2.50 21% 3.80    
FINALIST Aug21 Jul22 Jul03 Jun05 May15 (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 121 12.00    
ARGENTIUM Aug14 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May20 (pottins r)BAHEN R 121 20.00    
SO SUAVE (IRE) Sep01 Jun19 May15 Feb13   (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 10.00    
SOUPER COHIBA Aug05 Jul07 Jun03 May14   (villeneuve f)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 4.50 21% 3.70    
MAXIMUS MOMENTUS Aug14 Jul22 Jun12 May15 Apr23 (mcpherson )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 121 6.00    
RELIABILITY Aug14 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03   (macrae donal)CARROLL DECLAN 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
WO-6   09/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($126.8K) 2 F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVELLO BEAUTY         (minshall barbar)JONES SLADE 116 12.00    
SPLURGE Jul31 Jun24       (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 121 6.00    
WAR'S END KISS         (chircop stev)CARROLL DECLAN 121 15.00    
ATTABE Aug13         (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
MISSION OF JOY         (motion h )WILSON JAYNE 118 10.00    
TIME FOR AN ANGEL Aug16         (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 12.00    
DOLCE SOPRESA Aug20 Jul16       (carroll josie)STEIN JUSTIN 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
WITCH HAZEL Aug13 Jul23 Jun25     (vas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 5.00    
GODDESS PELE         (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 121 10.00    
10  PANIC SWITCH Aug13         (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 20.00    
11  CRUMLIN BEAST         (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 121 10.00    
 
WO-7   09/11/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MNEMBA ISLAND Aug04 Jun26       (carey julia)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
MEYER Jul24 Jun24 Jun03 Feb17 Jan13 (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
CANADIAN PHAROAH Aug21 Jul15 Jun24 May20   (nosowenko nich)FLORES ESWAN 122 8.00    
PRIDEOFDISTINCTION Aug14 Jul24 Jun19 May28 May08 (sadler ro)WILSON JAYNE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
REDOUTE'S LIGHT Sep01 Aug04 Jul15 Jun19   (tiller rober)CARROLL DECLAN 122 8.00    
LIL BIT GANGSTA Aug21 Jul08 Jun18 May13   (cole-simpson kri)SALLES LEO 122 6.00    
OCTOBER FROST Sep02 Aug12 Jul17 Jul01 Jun19 (pleterski bo)NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 20.00    
LION KINGDOM Aug21 Jul24 Jun10     (morden richard)STEIN JUSTIN 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
JUAN PABLO Aug21 Jul22 Jul03 May28 May08 (coryat joh)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 15.00    
 
WO-8   09/11/2022 6600ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWOOP TO FINISH Jul24 Jun16 Apr30     (cox gail)WILSON JAYNE 121 6.00    
STREGA Aug14 Jun24 May27     (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 4.00    
SISTER SEAGULL Aug14 Jul24 Jun05 May15   (day-phil)GALLARDO A 121 1.80 51% 1.00    
DEVIL'S BIT Aug06 Jul15       (attfield roger)MORAN DAVID 121 8.00    
WHIMSICAL DANCE Aug21         (cox gail)CARROLL DECLAN 121 1.60 20% 4.00    
KEEP IT NEAT Jul23 Jul01 May27     (minshall bar)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 15.00    
 
WO-9   09/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($108.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVENTYSEVEN STONE Aug14 Jul23 Jul03 Jun12 May29 (lepiane paul)JADOO STEVE 123 20.00    
CONGLOMERATE Aug14 Jul03 May22 Apr01 Feb24 (drexler martin)FLORES ESWAN 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
SIR SAHIB Aug14 Jul30 Jun19 May22   (mcclachrie denys)SALLES LEO 123 8.00 6% 14.40    
DOLDER GRAND Aug14         (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 123 2.00 18% 4.50    
GUESTIMATION Aug14         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 123 10.00    
FULL EXTREME Aug14 May28 May08     (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
SPECIAL FORCES Aug14 Jul01 May29     (attard kevin)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 2.50    
 
WO-10   09/11/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($64.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED FLARE         (mattine john)STEIN JUSTIN 120 12.00    
SILENT FAREWELL Aug25 Jun26       (keough michael)MORAN DAVID 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
RAISE A PROFIT Aug25 Jul31 Jun26 Jun11 May20 (edwards keit)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.50    
BORN HAPPY Aug13 Jul14 Jun17 May28 May13 (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
CHUNKY MONKEY Jul22 Jul02 May07     (colbourne gordo)JONES SLADE 119 10.00 6% 16.50    
BEAU GUEST Aug12 Jul10 Jun23     (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Jul22 Jul03 Jun12 May29 Apr29 (attard tino)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00    
SILENT RISK Jul10 Jun11       (desruisseaux dal)SALLES LEO 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.