Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Moosomin Downs
Saturday - September 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MMD-1   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO WITT GO Sep04 Jul26 Jul20     (tourangeau rus)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.50    
RED SPARROW Sep04 Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 (weeseekase llo)CHICKENESS S 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
MISS TIZZY FIT Sep03 Aug02 Jul19 Jul04 Jun20 (zawislak dale)MEIKLE ZAC 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
I'M ALL IN Aug22 Aug02       (hunter ju)CHADEE JR 124 3.50    
 
MMD-2   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOORE'S MIRACLE Aug31 Jul26       (hunter ju)CHADEE JR 124 5.00    
RY BRED Sep04 Aug23 Aug01     (rowe michael)MEIKLE ZAC 119 2.50 49% 1.10    
SOARIN DIVA Sep02 Jun11 May28 May13 Jan19 (brown r)CHICKENESS S 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
BOUND TO BE SMART Aug31 Aug03 Jul26 Jun06   (camero)LEWIS ANTHONY 122 5.00    
 
MMD-3   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIZZLE N SUSIE Sep03 Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jul04 (tourangeau jen)CHICKENESS S 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCARLETTE ROSE Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun04 May14 (pilon hubert)BELLE SHAVON 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
SPECIAL INCLUSION Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 Jun20 (gregoi)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 2.50    
AMBER RIDGE Sep03 Aug05 Jun17 May28 May20 (pilon hub)CHADEE JR 124 2.00    
 
MMD-4   09/10/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL ME RICHARD         (sanderson daniel)MEIKLE ZAC 126 8.00 16% 5.40    
LADY GOT AWAY Jul30 Jul16       (gregoi)LEWIS ANTHONY 123 2.50    
SCR  CATCH ME IF U CAN         (wuttunee )CHADEE JR 126 10.00    
SUPER WITT Sep04         (constant ches)TARASENCO P 123 7.00    
UNBRIDLED POSSE Aug31 Aug27 Aug02 Jul24 Jul17 (tourangeau jen)CHICKENESS S 126 3.50    
HE'S A LADY TAMER Aug10 Jul26       (zawislak da)BADALOO DOUGLAS 126 10.00 9% 10.00    
HOME EARLY SHIRLEY Sep03 Aug27 Jul26 Jul20 Jun29 (tourangeau mik)BELLE SHAVON 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.