Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - August 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Jun30 Jun23 May18 Apr28 Apr01 (keller chri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 ★    
2  DEVILISH BEAUTY Jul29 Jun17 May18 Apr27 Apr01 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00 9% 10.80    
3  JUST A BIT SASSY Jun17 May21 Apr30 Apr02 Mar16 (shanley timothy)HO WESLEY 120 20.00    
4  MAE SAI PRINCESS Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 May14 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 12% 7.00    
5  SUZYSELLSSEASHELLS Jul09 Jun23 May20 May07 Apr16 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.00    
6  TORCH CARRIER Jul29 Jun30 Jun10 May19 Apr30 (frock char)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
7  MARKETABILITY Aug04 May06 Apr28 Feb27 Feb11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50    
8  COURAGEOUS GRACE Jul29 Jun25 May21 Apr28 Apr01 (kopecki sara )THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 18% 4.40    
 
CT-2   08/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD OF CORK Jul02         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 15.00    
2  BUTTERSCOTCHSUNDAE Jul22 Jul02       (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 ★    
3  TWO ROOM SCHOOL Jul23         (viands grego)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
4  JUST A FLIRT Jul23         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00 22% 3.60    
5  TIME TO CHOOSE         (casey joh)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
6  PAYMENGOLD Jul02         (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
7  NEVERPOPTHECORK         (casey a)LARROSA G 122 8.00 8% 12.20    
8  PINNACLE REEF         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 42% 1.40    
 
CT-3   08/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTHA'S BANNER Jul28 Jul08 Jun25     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 1.80 65% 0.50    
2  HURRICANE DIRECTOR Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 May27 May15 (mcgill sylvester)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
3  CALIFORNIA SUZY Jun03 Mar05 Feb17     (brown kei)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 12.00    
4  HOLIDAY CONNECTION Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May11 Mar05 (o'neill tonya )RIOS-CONDE A 118 20.00    
5  GRAM'S GAL Jul28 Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 May19 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
6  LETTS GO TO DIXIES         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 5.00 ★    
7  QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Jul21 Jul04 Jun18 Apr09 Feb26 (cipriano robe)SIMPSON JASON 118 20.00    
8  MOJO MATTERS Jul28 Jun24 Jun03 May12 Apr22 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  LADY LICIOUS Jul28 Jul08 Jul01 Jun03 May11 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50 9% 10.10    
10  NOT FOR GOLD Jul28 Jun25 Jun10 May11 Apr01 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50 ★    
SCR  U S FUNDS Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 Jun03 May11 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
 
CT-4   08/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAND TOUR         (mckee d)MORALES KELVIN 122 15.00 ★    
2  XCELLENT START         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 28% 2.60    
3  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Jul23         (casey w)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
4  XIT NOW Jul23         (joy j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 ★    
5  AREYOUGONNAKISSME         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 ★    
6  TO THE TOP Jul23 Jul02       (king yolond)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
7  JUBA'S NOTION Jul23         (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.40 49% 1.10    
8  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Jul23         (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 30.00    
 
CT-5   08/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRA CRUNCHY Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Jan19 (mcmahon hug)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 8.00    
2  LUCKY US Jun25 Jun11 May26 Apr30 Apr22 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00 ★    
3  SPLENDID VIEW Jul02 Apr14       (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 116 4.50    
4  DEEMED ESSENTIAL Jul28 Jul02 Jun12 May27 May13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 39% 1.60    
SCR  FLYING SOFIA Aug05 Jun23 Mar11     (burton jenn)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  SALTY SAUL Jul29 Jul14 Jul01 Jun03 May14 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 118 8.00    
7  KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Aug05 Jun11 Apr24 Apr14 Mar05 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  TOUGH ONE Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 Jun05 May15 (laster rober)MARRERO CARLOS 120 8.00 12% 7.20    
 
CT-6   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESAHUMBLEHUSTLER Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Apr09 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 118 4.00 13% 6.40    
2  DON'T TELL GRANDMA Jul04 Jun21 May30 May07   (runco c)CULLUM W 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  FESSIN UP Jul23 Jul08 Jun02 Apr20 Mar24 (stahlin john)LARROSA G 120 10.00 ★    
4  CHOSEN MISS Jun11 May21       (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 30.00    
5  SUPERSNAKE Jul26 Jul16 Jun24 Jun02 Apr24 (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00 ★    
6  CRISPY GAL Aug03 Jul08 Jul02 May19 Apr06 (lane j)ADAMS L 110 30.00    
7  MANGORITA Jul23 Jun11 May14     (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 5.00    
8  PRACTICAL KITTY Jul22 Jul02 Jun23 Jun11 May29 (lane j)SIMPSON JASON 120 6.00    
9  BUNNY PRINCESS Jul22 Jul11 Jun20 Jun01 Apr24 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 6.00 10% 9.10    
 
CT-7   08/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT FLOFFY Jul21 Jul12 Jun27 Apr30   (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00    
2  ROCKET APPEAL Jun24 Jun11 May25     (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MATH MAN MARCO Jul02 Jun11 May14 Apr29 Apr06 (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  JEFFERSON NATIVE Jul14 Jun09 May14 Apr29 Apr06 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 120 3.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  BRION Jul20 Jun10 May05 Mar16 Feb17 (stidham michael)ACOSTA D 116 3.50 ★    
6  FIBER STRONG Jul02 Jun11 May19 Apr27 Apr13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00    
7  MARK DID IT Jul07         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 10.00    
8  DERBY DAY DREAMS Jul02 Jun11 Apr27 Mar26 Feb26 (barber donal)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 5.00 ★    
 
CT-8   08/13/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEEDNOEXPLANATION May14 Apr23 Apr02 Mar17 Feb02 (bowman elex)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 12.00    
2  EVANESCO Jul23 Jun30 Jun16     (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 10% 9.50    
3  TIMMY Jul08 Jun17 May11 Apr06   (gazzier kri)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  IN HIGH GEAR Jul23 Jun30 May04 Mar17   (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 124 2.50 11% 8.50    
5  BOO TOO May14 Apr27       (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 112 30.00    
6  JEFFERSON SECURITY         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 3.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  BERTRAM FLIGHT Jul23 Jun30 Jun04     (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 114 15.00    
SCR  ROUGH START         (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
9  MONKEY WRENCH Jul23 Jun30       (barahona isa)MARRERO CARLOS 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.