Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - July 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   07/31/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  S S CITY SCOUT Jul17 Jul03       (van d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 114 8.00    
STOLEN BIZ Jul08         (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 20.00    
EXECUTIVE PRIZE Jun29 Jun20       (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
SCR  LASHER Jun30 May07 Mar17     (scott l)CECIL Y 120 5.00    
SCR  RACE TRACK ROAD Jul22 Jul08 Jun29 Jun22 May30 (dixon geoffrey )VEGA L 120 30.00    
STAR RIDER Jun29 May30 May07 Apr25   (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 4.50 31% 2.30    
TIMBERRY TIDDLER Jun29 Jun13 May10     (baird mic)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
PRINCE LOUIS         (smith)MONSERRATE A 120 6.00    
OUR GOLDEN BOY Jul11         (knowles luc)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
10  MACHEN'S RIDGE Jul10 Jun13 May29 May10 Apr20 (cuttin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
 
MNR-2   07/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAKRITI Jun09 May06 Apr08 Mar23 Mar06 (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50    
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE Jun30 Jun11 May07 Apr17 Feb25 (baird mic)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 2.50    
OFF TO THE RACES Jun27 Jun14 May25 Apr26   (ewell dev)CORREA L 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
QUIDPROQUO JOEBLOW Jul03 Jun14 May15 Apr24 Apr02 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 116 3.50    
PAPA OSCAR WHISKEY Jun22 Feb16       (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 116 8.00    
PRETTY LOUD Jul25 Jul17 Jun27 Jun14 Jun05 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 6.00 17% 4.90    
ITS BIG Jul03 Jun07 May22 May06 Apr09 (si)DA FAUSTO 116 3.00 59% 0.70    
 
MNR-3   07/31/2022 7260ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBRACE THE GRIND Jul03 Jun13       (tucker jim)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
UNION SOLDIER Jul20 Jun23 Jun04     (shilling josep)JURADO EDDIE 120 5.00    
NEW YEAR SURPRISE Mar10 Feb19 Jan22     (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
FOOL FOR THE CITY Jul03 Jun13 May30 May07   (baird mic)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50    
ALTMEISTER Jul12 Jun14 Mar24 Jan15   (shilling jose)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
GEORGIAN MONARCH May29 Apr05       (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 12.00 10% 8.90    
MAKINDREAMSCOMETRU Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 Jun05   (zook w)YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
 
MNR-4   07/31/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BACK PAGES Jul19 Jul06 Jun05 May17 Apr18 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
FREE TO RUN Jul13 Jun29 Jun23 Jun09 May26 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.00    
NURSE KATIE Jul13 Jun29 May30 May17 May01 (gilbert a)YARANGA Y 123 4.50    
SCR  TALLY UP Jun28         (dodge alber)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00    
LOVE'S TAVITO Jul19 Jul12 Jun29     (salcedo r)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
DOMS LADY Jul19         (ewell devan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
MNR-5   07/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMERSET BAY Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 Jan27 Jan12 (joy j)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50    
BURKIE Jun20 Jun05 May16     (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 123 8.00    
ACED Jun26 Jun05 May23 Apr29   (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
BIG GAME BOB Jun28 May30       (horrigan john)DIAZ R 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
TRUE CROSSING Jul07 Jan27 Jan12     (pickett crystal )RIVERA R 123 4.50    
FOOLISH EQUATION Jul06 May16 Apr24 Jan12   (sande)MONSERRATE A 123 15.00    
BOLD CHROME Jul12 Jun21 May25 May02   (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
MNR-6   07/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED MESA Jul04 Jun16 May06 Apr14 Mar18 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 116 1.60 55% 0.80    
KOLSCH Jul20 Jul05 Jun26 Jun14 Jun07 (baird w)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 2.50 12% 7.50    
SEXY BUSINESS Jul17 Jun07 May24 May03 Apr24 (estey )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00 7% 13.10    
JACKZILLA Jul17 Jul06 Jun06 May24 May03 (ewell devan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 10.00    
AWESOME OX Jun20 Jun01 May16 May02 Apr15 (bird dann)CORREA L 120 3.00    
RUM ON THE ROCKS Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 May31 May02 (mcdonald willi)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
 
MNR-7   07/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY TUESDAY Jul18 Jul06 Jun21 Jun08 May24 (gray )MONSERRATE A 120 15.00    
ALPHA QUEUE Jul09 Jun25 May14 Apr20 Mar20 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 2.50    
BALTIC FLEET Jul18 Jul06 Jun19 Jun08 May23 (baird john )WILLIAMS AJHARI 119 2.00 13% 6.90    
VALEROSO Jun28 Jun13 Jun02 May24 Mar07 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 1.60 54% 0.90    
TRIBULATION Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 Jun08 May29 (bell brenda)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  ONE NATION (GB) Jul05 Jun11 Mar14 Feb03 Jan17 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO null      
 
MNR-8   07/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST NOD AND SMILE Jun20 May28 May11 Apr29 Apr14 (viands)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50    
GRITO DE PABLITO Jun20 Jun08 May17 Apr27 Apr15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  SUPER HOUDINI Jun03 May11 Apr22 Mar29 Mar15 (tsiamis arthur )VEGA L 120 12.00    
SCR  FEISTY AND SASSY Jul07 Jun04 May18 Apr27 Apr02 (joy j)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50    
FAIT ACCOMPLI Jul03 Jun13 May23 Apr07 Mar20 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 1.80 54% 0.80    
GATTO MARRONE Jul25 Jun20 Jun08 May24   (spiess shan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 15.00    
SCR  HOT SOUP Jul24 Jul05 Jun22 May30 May17 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
LUVTHEONEURWITH Jul06 Jun08 May29 Apr26 Mar27 (logston christ)DIAZ I 116 20.00    
SCR  TAPAWAY Jun29 Jun20 Jun08 May24 May17 (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.