Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   07/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19.918K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEZA WILD RIDE Jul02 Jun13 May15     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 10.00 ★    
2  STAGE DOOR Jun26 Jun03 May23 Jan07   (arnett g)CANCHARI ALEX 125 4.00    
3  MAHOMES Jul18 Jul04 Jun13 May22   (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 1.60 23% 3.30    
4  POINT OF IMPACT Jul02 May23 May01 Apr09   (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 13% 6.90    
5  SHWEET PERSUASION Jul02 Jun03 Jan19     (arnett jon )GARCIA A 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  LUCKY LOUIE Jul01 Jun13 May20     (jordan to)TRIANA JR 125 8.00 ★    
 
PRM-5   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATCHLOCK Jul15 Jul03 Jun27 May22   (clark r)CORBETT W 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
2  JERRYS PRIDENJOY Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 May27 Apr30 (roe ro)FLETCHER D 125 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  TOUGH COMPANY Jul15 May23 May07     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 16% 5.10    
4  HUNTER QUICK Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 Jun13 May09 (williams f)TOHILL S 125 4.00 ★    
5  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Jul03 Jun13 May30 May15 Apr23 (lemburg mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.50 ★    
6  SILVER AND ACES Jul02 Apr09 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 (williams )TRIANA JR 125 8.00    
 
PRM-6   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MELODY Jul04 Jun19 May27 May07 Mar19 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 128 2.00 35% 1.90    
2  ORNERY ANGEL Jul02 Jun05 May27 Apr30 Apr01 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 6.00 ★    
3  CHASING SHADOWS Jul04 Jun12 May23 May06 Apr23 (broberg karl)CANCHARI ALEX 128 3.00 13% 6.90    
4  DARLENE STRONG Jul02 Jun20 Jun02     (murphy)FLETCHER D 128 3.50 ★    
5  PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Jul03 Jun05 May21 Apr11   (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
6  ITSNOTMYJOB Jul02 May27 Feb05 Jan14   (gonzalez v)CORBETT W 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
 
PRM-7   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL'S MELODY Jul17 Jul09 Jun17 May27 May13 (arnett jon )GARCIA A 117 1.80 12% 7.40    
2  GATA RUNZ Jul09         (murphy travi)JORDAN R 111 3.00 55% 0.80    
3  PRINCESS NAYYY NAY Jul15 Jun26 May16 Mar19   (gustafson austi)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.50 ★    
4  CALL THE SHOTS Jun24 Jun12 May21     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 117 6.00    
5  MISCHIEF MAMA Jul09 Jun12 May07 Apr21 Apr11 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 120 8.00 ★    
6  DIXIE PENNY Jul09 May20 Apr23 Apr03 Feb11 (smith p)BIRZER E 120 4.00 ★    
 
PRM-8   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I GUESS NOT         (smith kenny )JORDAN R 115 10.00    
2  WAIT A SEC         (schnell don)TOHILL S 120 4.00 ★    
3  TASHA Jan23 Jan07       (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  BLITZED Jul01 Jun04       (leaple)FLETCHER D 121 30.00    
5  OUTLAW QUEEN Jun22 May27 May06 Apr16   (gleason tyron)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00    
6  ROME'S BURNING Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 May14   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  OUR BET Jul09         (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
8  A J'S RIDE Jul09 Jun18       (gleason t)TRIANA JR 124 3.00 ★    
 
PRM-9   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-10:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TYLER'S TRIBE Jul09 Jun20       (martin timot)JORDAN R 122 1.20 40% 1.50    
SCR  SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR Jul17         (murphy tr)DE CRUZ 117 10.00    
3  C R INSTA GATOR Jul02         (von kelly)BIRZER E 119 6.00 ★    
4  SUCCESSION (GB) Jul11 Jun20       (fett brandi)MARTINEZ A 117 15.00 ★    
5  CAPTAIN DOZER         (escamilla-g)GARCIA A 117 20.00    
SCR  BABYS TIME TO SING Jul23 Jul02       (murphy)FLETCHER D 117 20.00    
7  AIN'T SO BAD Jul17         (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 119 3.00 12% 7.10    
8  BLACKTECA Jul03         (scherer gary)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  WITSEC         (young sco)TRIANA JR 114 20.00    
 
PRM-10   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUEZ Jul02 Jun06 May22 May01 Apr09 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 5.00 ★    
2  BILLY YANK Jul02 Jun06 May16 Apr22 Mar11 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  CLEARLY MAD Jun25 Jun10 May29     (martinez kell)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 4.00 ★    
4  HERZEN Jul11 Jul02 Jun19 Jun06 May29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  NEW STRIPE Jul18 Jul08 Jun17     (dieter dalto)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
6  FREER Jul11 Jun25 Jun12 May29 May01 (martin timoth)CANCHARI ALEX 125 6.00 12% 7.20    
7  APOLLO BAY Jun20 Jun11 May14     (broberg karl)ROMAN KEVIN 122 10.00    
8  FAKE SOLUTION May29 May16 Mar26     (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.