Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - July 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   07/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MOSLER Jul03 Jun17 May29 Apr30 Apr15 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
GALS GAL Jun11         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
BLUE MOON BUNNY May29         (mcmahon thom)ROSADO JOHAN 126 12.00    
IN VAIN Jul03 Jun11       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 126 2.50 8% 11.60    
HEARD Jun26 Jun04       (meister s)DELGADO A 120 30.00    
QUEEN SHEBA Jul03         (demario )BUTTERFLY L 126 3.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  PRAY FOR THE U S A May29 May13       (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 20.00    
SARATOGA NOTION         (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 10.00    
SCR  TWENTYFORKARATROSE May13         (delgado a)BETANCOURT R 120 15.00    
10  LUNAR ICE Jun29 May22 Apr29     (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 33% 2.00    
11  PRINCESS PALMER Jun18 Jun11 May01 Apr15   (elamri hassan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00    
SCR  THAT'S SOME KISS         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 12.00    
13  EMERALD LACE Jun11         (bentley fen)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
LRL-2   07/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO GRACIOUS Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 Apr06 Mar23 (serey mario )BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00 17% 5.00    
TARGE Jul01 May13 Apr09 Mar18 Feb12 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00    
LIGHTFOOT MISS Jul06 Jun17 May13 May01 Apr09 (capuano dale)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  SAX Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 May28 May14 (serey ma)RODRIGUEZ A 110 20.00    
STARTWITHABANG Jul10 Jul03 Jun11 May19 May08 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.00 30% 2.30    
DIAL EMMA REILLY Jul01 Jun09 May07 Apr02 Feb03 (manci)LLAGAS ENRIQUE 126 12.00    
 
LRL-3   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENTALIST Jun29 Jun01 Jan04     (bentley fennek)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
SCR  FEDERAL OFFENSE Jul09 Jun05 Apr29 Mar25   (mcmullen ma)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 6% 16.10    
HONOR MY WORLD Jul01 Jun11 May12     (horner)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
ON THE ENGINE Jul01 Jun11 May13 Apr09   (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCHOOLYARD BULLY Jul15 Jun24 Jun04 May07 Apr01 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 116 20.00    
SCR  GOLDIE'S BOY Jul12 Jun11 May13 Apr03 Jan27 (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
MAKE WAY Jun25 Jun04 May04 Apr13 Feb26 (farrior anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 116 4.50 10% 8.90    
SCR  OCEAN DEEP Jun18 May20 Apr23 Apr02 Mar11 (pregman john )ALVELO C 126 6.00    
CAIRO BOOGIE Jun17 May27 Feb26 Jan23   (eubanks anne)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 30.00    
10  ERAWAN Jul15 Jul01 Jun25 Jun11   (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
 
LRL-4   07/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Jul04 Jun16 May28 Apr30 Apr09 (sanchez-s)CARRASCO R 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
NEVER SATISFIED Jun26 May20 Apr22 Mar27 Feb20 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 120 3.00    
STREET LAMP Jul07 Jun23 May21 May08 Apr01 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 16% 5.30    
ICY MINISTER Jul04 Jun11 May13 Apr15 Apr02 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
GOLDEN GULLEY May13         (capuano ga)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 15.00    
HOWARD'S ROCK Jun24 May13 May06 Apr23 Mar18 (gonzalez cla)BARBOSA JEIRON 111 8.00    
BROTHER CONWAY Jun24 Jun03 May06     (cox m)AVILES YAN 113 3.50 16% 5.30    
GRUNDER'S CALL Jun15 May05       (cibelli jan)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
 
LRL-5   07/22/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PRETTY GOOD YEAR Jul04 May20 Apr22 Mar25 Feb10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IRISH RIVIERA Jul09 Jun25 Jun08 May25 May15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 10.00    
UP AGAINST IT Jun05 May13 Mar13 Feb20 Jan30 (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00    
SCR  FORTUNE'S FOOL Jul02 Jun05 Apr27 Mar05 Feb12 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 2.50    
SASSY KING Feb26 Feb18 Feb01 Jan22   (davis)LLAGAS ENRIQUE 123 30.00    
RESIDENT LIBERAL Jun17 May29 Feb23 Jan26   (walters john )KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
BOAT'S A ROCKIN Jun17         (kulp l)ACOSTA D 126 3.00 51% 1.00    
BARDOLINO Jul02 Jun18 May29 May07 Apr29 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 8.00    
SCR  ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Jun17 May13 Apr02 Mar04 Feb03 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
UNCLE ANDREW Jun16 May30       (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MOKHEEF Jun08 Apr24       (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
11  MISSIN THE BIG DOG Jun29 Jun03       (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
12  GUNSLINGER (IRE) Jul01 Jun19 Jun02     (beecher mark)HIRALDO JOHN 126 6.00 11% 8.50    
13  SAMUI SUNSET Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 May12 Apr28 (sanchez-s)CARRASCO R 126 6.00    
 
LRL-6   07/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVED AGAIN Jun17 May29 Feb23     (hemingway mic)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
BIG TALL DAWG Jul02 Jun10 May15 May06 Apr07 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 27% 2.80    
IT'S SIZZLING TIME Jul06 Jun09 Jun03 May06 Apr09 (smith valrie)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
RAD PAISLEY Jun04 May27 May06 Apr23 Apr16 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
MAGIC MULE Jul01 Jun10 May21 Apr23 Mar27 (hohlbei)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 3.50    
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Jul03 Jun24 Jun04 May15 Apr21 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 8.00    
HE'S ORIENTATE Jul03 Jun10 May06 Apr16 Mar27 (heil nan)BUTTERFLY L 123 15.00 25% 2.90    
RAISE A SPEIGHTS Jun15 May26 May05 Apr07   (russell britta)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 5.00 7% 12.40    
ABUELO PAPS Jul01 Jun10 May21 Mar27 Mar11 (salazar marco)AVILES YAN 116 8.00 8% 11.70    
 
LRL-7   07/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAVALIER CUPID Jun04         (nagle sarah)KARAMANOS A 117 6.00 9% 10.50    
PUPPYMONKEYBABY Jun22         (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SWAYIN TO AND FRO Jul02 Jun18 Jun05 May26   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 2.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  MOODY WOMAN Jun26 May19 Apr10 Mar25 Feb19 (mcmullen marily)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 2.00 28% 2.60    
FOGGY DREAMS Jun17 May21 May14 Apr23 Apr15 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 8.00    
JUSTALITTLEVIOLENT May19 Apr15 Jan13     (figgins l)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  WORLD GONE WILD Jul07 Jun18 Jun02 Apr27 Apr09 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00    
CATCHING THE WIND Jun15         (crook-demasi )ALVELO C 126 6.00    
SCR  PAISLEY SINGING Jul07 Jun10 May14 Apr23 Feb20 (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 6.00    
10  EPIC IDEA Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 May20   (merrym)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.00    
 
LRL-8   07/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFUSION BABY BOY Jul07 Jun17 May30 May12 Apr02 (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 20.00    
ALBERTANO Jun24 May27 Apr15 Mar27 Mar06 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 4.00    
CAMP PENDLETON Jul03 Jun11 May15 Apr23 Apr16 (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00 14% 6.10    
THE GREAT DANSKY May30 Apr03 Mar04 Feb12 Jan02 (de ho)CARRASCO R 126 3.50 9% 10.00    
JAMMIN STILL Jul03 Jun09 May26 May14 Apr29 (kee will)BUTTERFLY L 123 15.00 8% 11.10    
ROCK AND FELLERS (ARG) Jun24 May28 May07 Apr10 Mar25 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 1.00 40% 1.50    
SHOULDA HAD IT Jul16 Jul08 Jun24 Jun18 Jun05 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.