Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - July 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT CAROL Jul08 Jun24 Apr17     (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Jul04 Jun18 Apr09 Feb26 Jan14 (cipriano robe)SIMPSON JASON 118 12.00    
HOLIDAY CONNECTION Jun23 Jun02 May11 Mar05 Feb19 (o'neill tonya )RIOS-CONDE A 118 15.00    
LUNAR NOTION Jul08 Jun18 May27 May06 Apr15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.00 6% 16.90    
DIAL ME MAYBE Jun24 May07 Mar29 Mar05 Feb06 (mcmahon hug)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 1.40 53% 0.90    
HANNAHS RED RUBY Jul08 Mar23       (sterling mic)BATISTA A 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
CT-2   07/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKS LODGE Jun30 Jun18 Jun10 May19 Mar11 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 5.00    
GOT FLOFFY Jul12 Jun27 Apr30     (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 2.00    
BODE LYNX Jun24 Jun03 Apr30 Apr02 Mar19 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00 18% 4.40    
FOREVER THE BOSS Jun30 Jun03 May29 Apr03   (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 2.50    
GREYSHOTT         (yovanovich don)MONTANO JOSE 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
MOTIVATED SPEAKER Jun24 May19 May04 Apr15 Mar18 (covello a)CECIL Y 118 10.00    
BUFF'S CAT Jul07 May19 May06     (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   07/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARTEMIS RISING Jun30 Jun09 May17 Apr21 Mar08 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00    
UNCANNY Jun30 Jun11 May21 Apr30 Apr08 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
LOOKINGFORANEWSPOT Jun30 Jun09 May07 Apr13 Mar04 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 43% 1.30    
MISS GRANDSTANDER Jul01 Jun03 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 8.00 5% 18.90    
DIMITRI'S ROMANCE Jul08 Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 15.00    
SCR  UNDENIABLE TOUCH May07 Apr07 Mar04 Jan12   (covello a)CECIL Y 122 10.00 7% 12.80    
ROCKIN ANNA ROLLIN Jul01 May20 Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 (patterson )ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50 19% 4.10    
SCR  U S FUNDS Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 Jun03 May11 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
 
CT-4   07/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRISTIANO BOY Jul01 May25 May04     (greaves vernon)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00    
CHASE LIL ME Jun13 Jun04 Mar18 Mar02 Feb10 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
PULL UP MY SOCKS May25 May04 Apr14 Mar18 Mar02 (barahona isa)MARRERO CARLOS 120 3.50    
COMEONTURNMELOOSE Jul01 Jun16       (atkins g)CECIL Y 124 15.00 18% 4.50    
DUKE OF CORK Jun24 Jun04 May26     (johnson jam)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 5.00 19% 4.40    
QUIET JUSTICE Jun24 Jun04 May12 Apr20 Apr02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jun30 Jun16       (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Jul09 Jul01 Jun04 May11 Apr06 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 118 15.00    
 
CT-5   07/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOESN'T MAKE CENTS Jul09 May26 May07 Apr14 Mar23 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
SCAREDY CAT Jul07 Jun10 May20 May12   (dillon l)LARROSA G 118 4.50 12% 7.30    
FORGOTTEN MISSION Jun29 May13 Apr15 Mar05 Feb03 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 5% 17.70    
COMMITTEEMAN May13 Apr21 Mar23 Feb10   (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
STRETCH THE TRUTH Jun30 May28 May06 Apr01 Mar10 (king yolonda)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
TANELEER Jul07 Mar03 Feb11 Jan26 Jan13 (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 120 12.00    
THEHEATOFTHENIGHT May06 Apr21 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00    
TAPPING Jun17 May07 Apr14     (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 4.00 8% 10.90    
TRUTH SERUM Jul07 Mar25 Mar09 Feb11 Jan27 (campbell larry)MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   07/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Jun24 Jun03 Apr23 Apr16 Mar18 (racanel)NUNEZ ANAHI 118 50.00    
ROCKET J. May11 Apr20 Feb12     (kopecki sa)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00    
READY FOR CLASS Jun16         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
TAXIT Jun17 Apr08 Mar25 Jan09   (farrior ant)RAMGEET R 124 0.60 59% 0.70    
GOLDEN METTLE Jun04 May12 Apr14 Feb25 Feb05 (hamlin ka)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50    
KID GENIUS         (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jun24         (atkins g)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
GHOST MINE Jun16 May12 Jan26     (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
 
CT-7   07/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER SONDE Jul02 May25 Apr28 Apr09 Mar05 (bourne lori)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
HERETODAYGONMANANA May28 Apr30 Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
KATALIMA Jun24 May28 May19 Apr30 Apr07 (joy j)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50    
EXCUSES EXCUSES Jul01 Jun23 May28 May19 May12 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 116 10.00    
EX RATED Jul01 May19 Apr30 Apr15 Mar18 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00    
SARAH'S WARRIOR Jun24 Jun16 May25 May04   (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00    
LOVE TO ZOOM Jun24 May28 Apr30 Apr20 Apr07 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
CT-8   07/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIENTE LA BRISA Jun30         (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 50.00    
SILVER RULES Jun30 Jun09 May19     (kopecki sa)ALMODOVAR GERALD 119 12.00    
NINETY PROOF Jul07 Apr29 Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 (groves jani)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 30.00    
CHURCH KEY Jun30 Jun02       (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00    
SCR  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Jun09         (hamlin kath)RAMGEET R 119 12.00    
SAYYESTOTHELADY Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr21   (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 114 2.00 34% 1.90    
ALL CAPS Jun02         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
PRETTY CASTLE         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
TUESDAY TOO Jun30 Apr29 Mar10 Jan27 Jan12 (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LEMONSONDESURPRISE Jun09 May19       (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.