Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - July 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE PALACE Jul06         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 121 3.50 ★    
2  STORM ALFEET Jul06 Jun28       (huertas )DAVIS A 119 5.00 ★    
3  A HUGE CHECKPOINT Jun27 Jun08 May18 May10   (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 121 1.50 19% 4.30    
4  VIBE SETTER Jul05 Jun08 May18 Apr10 Feb12 (dukes j)FRET STEVEN 117 2.50 54% 0.80    
5  HONOR THY SECRET Jul11 Jun28 Jun06 May18   (babcock )HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 117 5.00 ★    
 
FL-2   07/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERCEDES JOE Jun15 Jun01 May23 Jan16 Jan01 (lecesse )DAVIS A 124 8.00 ★    
2  NAPOLEON COMPLEX Jul11 Jun15 May25 Apr22 Mar19 (metivier richar)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00 ★    
3  TRIPLE BROWN Jun19 Apr22 Feb21     (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 120 5.00 ★    
4  MOONS THE LIMIT Jun27 Jun08 May18 Mar31 Mar13 (breed ro)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
5  FRONT PORCH Jun28 Jun14 May28 May01 Mar27 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 1.00 57% 0.80    
6  OUT THE WOODS Jun23 Jun02 Feb27     (henry n)ALVARADO R 124 10.00    
 
FL-3   07/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEEPY JOE Jul05 Jun08 May25     (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
2  MELLMAN Jun15 May30       (ubbink ste)DE EMANUEL 121 5.00    
3  CLASSY PAPA Jun15         (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 121 6.00 ★    
4  TAKE THE EDGE Jul05 Jun28 Jun08 May25   (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  BLIZZ Jul05 Jun08       (ubbink step)IGNACIO RODOLFO 121 12.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  PASCAL Jun28 Jun15 May18     (dix)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.60 ★    
 
FL-4   07/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWINGING STICKS         (smith julie)ROHENA JR 124 12.00 ★    
2  QUAD PARTY Jun22 Jun08 May18     (tebbutt )DAVIS A 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  GATEWAY GUARDIAN Jun28         (barrow paul)BAEZ JOSE 124 12.00    
4  K AND G Jun28 Jun14 May25 May09   (bond bre)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 6.00    
5  GREY INVASION Jun28 Jun07 May18     (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
6  DOMINANT FACTOR Jul11 Jun23 Jun09 May27 May12 (hillegass ale)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 ★    
7  DEVIOUS BANKER Jun13 May24 May16 May02 Apr01 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
FL-5   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THERESA'S BOY Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May23   (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 15.00 7% 12.50    
2  OLIVER WITHA TWIST Jun22 Jun07 May18     (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00    
3  GRATTO SWING Jun22 Jun08       (ash)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 10.00    
4  THE HEART FIXER Jul06 Jun27 Jun06     (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
5  STRONG DESIRE Jul06 Jun08 May24 May10   (miller-saul)CAMILO D 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  SYNCOPY Jun28 Jun07 May25     (acquilan)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
7  DANCIN IN DUBAI Jun12 May27       (lynch na)DAVIS A 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  J FICH Jun15 May24       (lecesse michael)PEREZ E 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
FL-6   07/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVER'S LEAP Jul06 Jun20 May30 May02   (babcock kathl)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 ★    
2  GOLDMINE KAZ Jun14 May23 May11     (maver eduard)BERRIOS C 122 20.00    
3  NINTH HOUR Jun21 May24 Apr25 Mar18 Jan28 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  SPECIAL STORY Jul06 Jun14 May31 May11   (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  MACHO MIAH Jul05 Jun21 May30     (saul dana)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
6  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Jul06 Jun20 May31     (clarke dylan)COA J 124 5.00 6% 15.10    
7  DREMAS BOY Jun27 Jun07 May09     (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00    
8  PREFERRED OUTCOME Jun20 May16 Apr01 Mar11 Feb16 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
FL-7   07/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIVIA Jul04 Jun13 May11     (breed de)DAVIS A 121 8.00    
2  CALESCENT Jul05 Jun01 May09 Apr26 Mar27 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
3  MAKEAJOYFULNOISE May11 Apr19 Mar28 Mar01 Jan25 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 8% 11.10    
4  IT CAN May24 Apr12 Mar21 Feb21   (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.50 6% 14.90    
5  SABREEN Jul05 Jun01 May23 Apr28 Apr02 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
6  LEFT LEANING LUCY Jun20 May11 Mar20 Feb24 Feb04 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 6.00    
7  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Jun20 Jun01 May09     (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
8  FAST FRAN Jul11 Jun13 May25     (anderson)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 121 6.00 ★    
 
FL-8   07/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALS ALLY Jun08 May10 Mar11 Feb26 Feb04 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.50 8% 12.00    
2  WORK IT OUT Jun29 Jun07 May18 Apr22 Apr03 (miller-s)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 4.00 ★    
3  HOT TAKE Jun20         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  K M ADVANTAGE Jun15         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
5  TINA BURNER Jun27 May30 May11 Apr26 Apr01 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 10.00    
6  AFTER ALPHA Jul05 Jun15 Jun07 May25 May10 (huertas )DAVIS A 118 8.00    
7  LADYSHANGHITREVOR Jun14 May16 Apr28 Mar19   (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 12.00 ★    
8  STONEY'S DUE Jun29         (dean iii)FRET STEVEN 120 15.00    
9  WOWSPELLEDBACKWARD Jul05 Jun08 May25 May11 Apr26 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 120 20.00    
10  CAROLS WAY Jun20 Jun08       (salvato john)COA J 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.