Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNA'S COURT Jul02 Jun13 Mar03 Feb10 Jan16 (singh s)SINGH R 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  UNWANTED INTRUDER Jun18 May22 Mar23 Feb26 Jan07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 ★    
3  MAJOR KONG Jun26 Apr29 Mar25 Mar06 Feb20 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 119 10.00 6% 16.30    
4  LUCKY STREAKER Jul05 Jun19 Jun06 May22 May09 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
5  FAST VERDICT Jun26 Jun14 May30 May10 Mar04 (nelson r)BOREL H 121 2.00 16% 5.10    
6  KNIGHTS KEY Jun26 Jun06 May22 Jan01   (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
LAD-2   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOVE WITH A CAUSE May10 Mar17 Mar04 Feb18   (ingram steve)TORRES HUGO 114 4.00 ★    
2  B B GUN BULLSEYE Jan09         (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 119 5.00    
3  LOYAL TO THE CHIEF         (broberg karl)VARGAS P 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  MEET ME         (lara jorge)GUZMAN JORGE 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
5  GOTTEMINABIND Jun28 Mar04 Feb05 Jan20 Jan07 (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50 ★    
6  DADDY HEY DADDY Jun28         (garcia)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00 ★    
 
LAD-3   07/16/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIFTED TALENT Jul03 Jun25 Jun05 May23 Feb09 (beavin judy)GUZMAN JORGE 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
1A  DREAMIT May07 Mar05 Feb19 Feb03 Jan08 (beavin judy)TORRES HUGO 112 6.00    
2  EMPTY NET Jun13 May27 Apr29 Apr02 Feb21 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  BLUE RIDGE HEAT Jun16 Jun03 May13 Feb13 Jan27 (thompson)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Jun13 Apr29 Mar27     (hornsby tammy)COTTO L 122 12.00    
5  RUNAWAY HENNY May07 Mar25 Feb11 Jan03   (duhon joseph )VARGAS P 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
6  THE MISSING PIECE Jun04 May17 Mar27 Mar13 Feb17 (hargrave kenneth )BOREL H 119 4.00    
7  SNEAK PEEK Jun12 May24 Mar16 Feb12 Jan21 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 ★    
 
LAD-4   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT ENOUGH BLING Jan07         (melancon do)FLORES S 122 8.00    
2  ALWAYS IN VEGAS Jul04         (singh s)SINGH R 122 8.00 ★    
3  SPECTACULAR IZZY Jun25 May31 Mar20 Mar04 Feb13 (ingram steve)TORRES HUGO 114 10.00 9% 10.30    
4  KELLYS THE BOSS Jul05 May23 May14 Apr15 Feb25 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  BEAUTIFULANDWILD Jun25         (zenon charle)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
6  FLAT OUT FLIRTY Jun27 May15 Feb25 Jan19 Jan01 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
7  FORTUNA ADIUVAT Jun27 Jun07 Apr03 Mar18 Mar06 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
 
LAD-5   07/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S GOT THIS Jun20 May22 May09 Mar11   (meyers errol)LOZADA CARLOS 117 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  BIG SUCCESS Jul04 May07 Apr22 Apr03 Mar20 (prather john)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
3  OUTERBANKS Jun11 May10 Feb10     (clark d)BOREL H 122 12.00 ★    
4  AMAVI Jun20 May31 May04     (adcock charles)CULP BRIANNE 114 15.00    
5  MILITARY BEARING Jun25         (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 2.00 16% 5.20    
6  MONARCH MAN Jun14 Mar23 Feb28 Jan27   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 8% 11.20    
7  WHITAKER Jun20 May15 Mar31 Mar17 Feb12 (pish danny)SINGH R 122 10.00    
 
LAD-6   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KINGOFBROKENHEARTS Jun27 Jun04       (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  FORTY THREE Jul05 Jun18 May08 Mar27 Mar13 (balderas alfo)VARGAS P 117 1.80 ★    
2  FIERY PLAYBOY Jun04         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  NINEJUANJUAN CALL Jul05 May31 Apr13 Mar24 Mar06 (gomez jorge)MORALES ROBERTO 117 10.00 ★    
4  COFFEE COUNTY Jun18 Mar23 Feb25 Jan29   (cuccia j)COTTO L 122 2.50 ★    
5  TRIPPER JOHN Jul02 Jun18 May31 May17 Apr27 (melancon do)FLORES S 122 4.50 ★    
 
LAD-7   07/16/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY PAL GREELEY Jun17 May07 Jan27 Jan03   (thomas lee)BACA L 121 1.80    
1A  SHARP CHARLIE Jun08 May21 Mar10 Feb25 Jan26 (thomas lee)BACA L 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
2  WHITEROSE JEWEL         (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 10.00 9% 9.80    
3  TRAFFIC CONTROL Jun21 May29 May07 Apr30 Apr15 (cangemi danie)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
4  OUTLAW POSSE Jul04         (feilner ray )BOLANOS LEONEL 121 15.00    
SCR  PRINCE PERFECTA         (johnson b)TORRES HUGO 116 5.00 9% 9.80    
6  JUDGMENTAL Jun19 Feb11       (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 121 4.00 ★    
7  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Jul04 Jun14 May29 May17 Feb19 (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.