Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LE TUB Jun26 Jun10 Apr20 Apr06 Feb08 (toye joe)RADKE K 123 3.50 ★    
2  WILLING TO BURN Jun18 Jun04 May15 Apr20 Apr07 (essex charles)GUTIERREZ M 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  QUEEN BREEZY Jun25 Jan19       (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 123 1.60 24% 3.20    
4  CLASSIC LEAH Jun26 Jun10 May29     (gibson vince)MAWING A 123 4.50 ★    
5  BLOWING BAYOU         (abrahamson m)OROZCO E 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
EMD-2   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIORS HERO Jun25 Jun05 Apr12 Mar21 Mar07 (pierce l)MATIAS J 121 5.00 ★    
2  NATIONHEART Jun25 Jun05 May15     (toye joe)RADKE K 121 1.20 47% 1.10    
3  MILEYS BLUECAT Jun10 May15 Apr17 Apr02 Mar12 (perez sergio)OROZCO E 118 8.00 ★    
4  NAVAL ESCORT Jun26 Jun04 May15     (martinez david )CRUZ M 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
5  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Jun26 Jun04 May15     (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 121 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
EMD-3   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANIEL THE DREAMER Jun25 Jun04       (person a)MAWING A 120 8.00 22% 3.60    
2  CLOCHARD STREET Jun25 Jun04 May20 May08 Mar12 (puentes jose)GUTIERREZ M 120 6.00    
3  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Jun25 Jun04       (raudales jose)MATIAS J 120 12.00 ★    
4  MEAN SHARON Jun18 Jun04 May21     (cryderman s)RADKE K 120 1.80 28% 2.50    
5  MISS KITNESS Jun17 Jun03 May22 Apr06 Mar27 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 1.60 ★    
6  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS Jun25 Jun04 Apr21 Apr08 Mar27 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
EMD-4   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALY'S NATION Jun26 Jun03 May21 Apr17 Mar26 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 118 2.00 ★    
2  STEEL NERVES Jul01 Jun12 May20 Apr16   (gilmour j)JENSEN P 121 10.00    
3  SHIRL'S HOUSE Jul01 Jun11 Jun04 May21 Apr11 (essex charles)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  FIRST TIME PLAYER Jun26 May20 May08 Apr17 Mar26 (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 121 3.00 6% 16.90    
5  SADIE'S SNOWSTORM         (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 4.50 38% 1.60    
6  LASSIE CAT Feb11 Jan22 Jan01     (markle dan)RADKE K 121 6.00 ★    
7  HELLS CROSSING Jun11 May21       (belvoir howard)ZUNINO L 121 15.00    
 
EMD-5   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN BLEND Jul02 Jun12 May29     (dronen sam)GUTIERREZ M 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  AFTER THE CANDY Jan06         (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  BENNYANDTHECHICKS Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03   (gibson vince)MAWING A 121 2.50 11% 7.80    
4  MAYHEM AND CHAOS Jul01 Jun12 May29 May15 Apr17 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 124 4.00 ★    
5  GABBY HAYES         (markle dan)RADKE K 121 5.00    
6  AMERICAN BUDDHA Jun18 May15 Apr25 Apr14 Mar24 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 121 1.80 63% 0.60    
 
EMD-6   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM YOURS Jul03 Apr28 Mar28 Mar04 Feb06 (dronen sam)OROZCO E 119 10.00    
2  LA POPIS Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr23 Apr02 (troiani niccolo)MATIAS J 121 6.00 ★    
3  MOSCOW LADY Jul02 Jun18 Jun05 May22   (bullock steve)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50 58% 0.70    
4  MO CONNELLY Jun19 May22 May01 Apr01 Mar18 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 121 3.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  MIST OONA B May29 Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 Feb14 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 2.50 10% 9.20    
6  AWESOME DAZE May29         (jenne bonnie)ZUNINO L 119 5.00 ★    
7  SARA'S FINALE Jun25         (bozell alan)ANAYA V 119 15.00    
 
EMD-7   07/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILVERY ORB Jul03         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 3.00 61% 0.60    
2  JACANA Jun26 Jun12 May22     (navarro jose)OROZCO E 120 6.00 ★    
3  SUDDENLY WINNING Jun10         (cooper kay)CRUZ M 123 2.50 9% 10.60    
4  UNSINKABLE MOLLY B Jun19 May28       (jenne bonnie)MAWING A 123 5.00    
5  OREO'S DREAM Jun26         (moore gregory)GUTIERREZ M 120 4.00 ★    
6  PEARL RIVER DELTA Jun10 May29 May15     (bozell alan)RADKE K 123 4.50 ★    
7  WEGOTTODRINKING Jun19 Jun11 May21     (nunnally )JENSEN P 117 12.00    
 
EMD-8   07/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWING FIRST         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 6.00    
2  SILVER KING BAIN Jun18 May28       (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
3  DANNY ZUKO Jun25 Jun10 May29     (navarro jose)GUTIERREZ M 121 8.00 ★    
4  VALIDATE Jun18 Jun05       (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 10.00    
SCR  MR. BUGS         (holford robert)ANAYA V 124 15.00    
6  HERMISTON Jun04 Apr24       (markle dan)RADKE K 121 4.00 10% 9.00    
7  LOVE THAT KID Jun25 May29 Apr23 Mar13 Feb21 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 121 5.00 14% 6.00    
8  BOBBY BUCKETS Jul02 Jun18 Jun05 May15 Apr26 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 118 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.