Handicappers' Racing Form

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Monmouth Park
Friday - July 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MTH-1   07/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RYLAN JAYNE         (ward a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 114 2.00 32% 2.10    
EDITOR'S CHOICE Jun18         (cash j)PANAIJO JORGE 117 30.00    
MASTER SERGEANT         (ryan s)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 10.00 5% 18.60    
BERNARDO'S LEGACY Jul02         (hemingway michel)RENDON JAIRO 117 15.00    
SUPERR RON         (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
HENDRICKSON         (motion )DIAZ RAFAEL 117 3.00 5% 18.60    
BEAR'S CORRECT         (hemingway m)VARGAS L 117 6.00    
NETWORKING         (duarte jorg)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.00    
INSANITY IT SEEMS         (ward a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
MTH-2   07/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCCESSFUL LEGACY May26 Apr05 Feb15 Feb01 Jan19 (farro patricia)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 3.00 30% 2.40    
MELANCHOLY BLUES Jun25 Jun12 May22 Apr20 Mar26 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00    
PRINCESS BETTY May30 Apr28 Mar18     (sanchez l)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.80    
SEEDS OF TIME Jul08 Jun24       (barrera)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
ROAD TEST Jun25 May30 Apr08 Feb21   (hollendo)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 3.00    
MARICOPA Jun26 Jun05 May15 Mar02 Jan30 (delgado jos)RODRIGUEZ A 120 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
MTH-3   07/15/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC MOONSTAR Jul03 Jun04 May14     (ortega le)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
MUNDLE OF JOY         (crook-dema)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50 57% 0.80    
TIZ HER WAY Jun03         (quiles )DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00    
SHE BROKE MY HEART Jun26         (catalano)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROSE E HOLIDAY Jan16         (carvajal lu)MEZZATESTA ANDREA 119 20.00    
CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Jun12 May22 May09 Apr25 Mar04 (simmonds michae)PANAIJO JORGE 121 15.00    
SCR  IRISH DREAM GIRL Apr03 Mar09 Feb19 Feb04   (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
ABOVE THE LIMIT May14 Apr18 Mar01 Jan25   (lynch cathal)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
 
MTH-4   07/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE ASTRAY KISS Jul03 Jun26 Jun12 May29 May08 (foglia anthony )PANAIJO JORGE 120 20.00    
SHIELD OF FAITH Jul04 Jun04       (camejo j)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 10.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  KAZ SWEET HEIST Jul01 Jun11 May22 May08 Feb01 (synnefias dimitr)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00    
COUNTRY MILES Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 May08   (huston k)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  ON THE COME UP Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 May08   (farro p)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 5.00    
COUNTERFEITCURENCY Jun19 Jun04       (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
ONE TIME WILLARD Jun19 May29 May08     (stephens john)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 1.50    
 
MTH-5   07/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA ANTONIA Jul02 Apr10 Mar10 Feb09 Jan01 (pompay terri)RENDON JAIRO 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
OFFICE ETIQUETTE Jul01 May30 May19     (stephens john)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
SEA BREW Jul02         (pimental )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
JUDGEMENT TIME Jun10         (thompson r)TORRES JOMAR 123 5.00    
SCR  KAZACHAN Jul01 Jun10 Apr23 Apr10 Mar27 (carrasc)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50 14% 6.00    
SONOMA COUNTY Jun11 May16 Apr27     (servis c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 19% 4.40    
CAPTURE MY DREAMS Jun10 Apr16 Mar16     (o'connell kathle)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Jun23 Jun09 May13 Feb27 Jan02 (lucas bonnie)PANAIJO JORGE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCHNUER WILL         (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00    
SCR  FANCY LIKE Jun10         (stephens john)WALES GARY 118 10.00    
SCR  POWER AND GLORY Jul02         (thompson glenn )SANTOS ADEMAR 123 20.00    
 
MTH-6   07/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAHAMIAN MOON Jun12 Jun05 Apr30 Mar25 Feb26 (clark a)FERRER C 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
SHE DAZZLE Jun12 May22 May10 Apr10 Mar13 (o'connor robert )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
RATTRAPANTE May06 Mar06 Feb20     (hollendorfer jer)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
WEDONTBELIEVEHER Jul03 Jun12 May14 Apr03 Mar17 (avila ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.00    
SCR  SPANIKOPITA Jun26 May30 May15 Apr16 Apr08 (cole-davis tina)MOYA F 122 12.00    
FOOLISH HEART Jun05 May04 Apr03 Mar11 Feb18 (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.50    
AKEMI Jun11 May13 Apr03 Feb23 Jan21 (cole-davis tina)PARISH R 118 10.00    
 
MTH-7   07/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL FRONT Jun24 Jun03 Apr15 Mar17 Feb23 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00    
THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Jun25 Jun03 Apr24 Apr09 Mar20 (o'connell kathle)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
RAINOUT Jun25 May29 Apr27     (lerman s)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00    
BLUE NEITH Jun23 May28 May06 Apr15 Mar23 (carrasc)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 2.50 29% 2.40    
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Jul02 Jun24 Jun03 Apr24 Mar24 (crowell susan )HERNANDEZ ANDY 110 30.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTIFUL STAR Jun24 Jun04 May16 Apr19 Mar23 (hernandez a)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00    
MODEL BEHAVIOR Jun12         (marquez cesar)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 112 20.00    
EVIDENCE BASED Jun10 May22       (englehart jeff)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
SCR  REAL WILD SOLUTION Jun25 Jun03 Apr13 Feb04   (einhorn kim)VARGAS L 121 5.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  AIKEN TO BELONG Jul02 Jun04       (berrios m)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  LULI'S DANCER Jul03 Jun10 May28 May15 Apr15 (gomez pompeyo)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
12  EXCULPATE Jul03 Jun18 May28 Apr24 Mar12 (schultz lindsay)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  MYSTIC DREAMS Jul03 Jun25 Jun10 Apr15 Apr09 (mazza w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  LEMON TAFFY Jun17         (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 15.00    
 
MTH-8   07/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN ROCKY Jul03 Jun19 Mar27     (simmonds )BRICENO GREGOR 118 15.00    
PLUNK Jun12 May21 Apr27 Mar30   (rodriguez angel )TORRES JOMAR 118 4.00    
LAREDO Jun17 May30 May08     (einhorn kim)RIVERA JR 123 12.00    
DESTINY JOY Jun25 Jun17 Jun04     (ortega le)GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  BELL BOY Jun25 May22 Apr16 Mar13 Feb13 (reynold)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 8.00    
COMEDIC TIMING Feb06         (sacco gregory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
KHOPILOT Jun12 Apr07 Mar11 Feb25   (delgado )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.50 7% 13.60    
DUBROVNIK Jun25 Jun11 Apr09 Mar11 Jan21 (avila carlo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
SCR  BENNY'S FIDDLE Jun25 Jun03 May21 Apr20 Apr02 (nunn douglas)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.