Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL BILLEE May31 May15       (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 105 12.00 ★    
2  CALMING INFLUENCE Jun28 Jun07       (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  MY BUYBACK Jun28 Jun09 May20     (davis m)MAILHOT P 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  GOGO GABRIEL Jun21 May26       (chudobiak gary)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00    
5  SPIRIT SOUL BODY Jul04 Jun07 May20     (williams noel)GOBAY WILBERT 116 12.00 14% 6.20    
6  SLIGO CALLING Jun21 Jun07       (simms )ALDERSON IAN 118 3.00 ★    
 
FE-2   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT A GAME Jun30 Jun17 May22     (raghunath )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 116 2.50 ★    
2  WAR DOCTOR Jun24 Jun07 May20 Apr04 Feb21 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 ★    
3  BEST AND FINAL Jun07 Jan14       (robillard jos)GOBAY WILBERT 118 5.00 17% 5.00    
4  CORE Jun28 Jun14 Jun07 May19 May07 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
5  NO MORE Jun14         (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00 10% 8.90    
6  HYPERACTIVE Jun28         (willia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00    
 
FE-3   07/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE CHARGE GENT May31         (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 7% 13.50    
2  STREET MAX Jun28         (powell a)MAILHOT P 118 20.00 7% 13.50    
3  SHAMBO Jun04         (newland ge)HUSBANDS J 108 15.00 7% 13.50    
4  SEAQUELLE Jun27 Jun13 May31     (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 115 6.00    
5  MR. DYNAMIC Jun28 Jun07       (raghunath rav)HERNANDEZ K 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  SUIGU STAR Jun18 May29       (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 6% 15.30    
7  INNUENDO (IRE) Jun28 Jun03 May19 May01   (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 12.00    
8  DYNAMIC MISSION Jun28         (rabstein claudi)HEIN NICOLE 113 4.00    
9  PIPER AT WAR Jun28 Jun07 Apr03     (gilifo)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00    
 
FE-4   07/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER RETREAT Jun27 Jun13 Jun07     (adamo an)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  FED FEVER Jun27 Jun13 May31 Mar18 Mar04 (capi m)JOHNSON KIRK 118 5.00 ★    
3  CALL ME WALLY Jun27         (newland george)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
4  MALIBU MAX Jun19 May22 Apr29 Apr01 Mar06 (krczmar ze)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  FAFA FOOEY Jun27 Jun13       (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 ★    
 
FE-5   07/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINDING PERFECTION Jun23 Jun09 May14 Apr16   (glen)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00    
2  SARARENDA Jul03 Jun04       (newland georg)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 8.00 ★    
3  SUBZERO PLUS Jul05 Jun27 Jun14     (simms )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 13% 6.50    
4  GIZMO FLASH Jun27         (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
5  ZOYSIA Jul04 Jun13 May31     (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
6  MISS TEA BLONDE Jun28 Jun07       (agostino roy )DAVID MICHAEL 117 5.00    
7  DREAMINOFPASSION Jun28 May26 May12 Apr23   (voyce jeff)HEIN NICOLE 113 1.80 25% 3.00    
 
FE-6   07/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AM PREPARED Jun19 May31       (cathcart stev)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00    
2  ROBUSTO Jun27 Jun19 May31 May13 May01 (oliverre sylves)HOYTE JASON 120 12.00 6% 15.50    
3  DOT'S VISION Jun07 May27 May06 Apr17   (fairlie h)SINGH S 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GASCONADE Jul04 May19 May07     (lafond e)SALLES LEO 118 20.00    
5  DOCTOR UPTOWN Jul01 Jun19       (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00    
SCR  DE ONLY SOLUTION Jun27 Jun13 May31 May13   (raghunath )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 10.00    
7  ARI GOLD SPEEDWAGN Jun26 Jun07 May27     (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
8  HIATUS Jun19 May07       (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
9  FADE AWAY Jun19 May31 Apr08 Mar11 Feb12 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
10  JACK BEANSTALK Jun21 May31 May19 May01   (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.