Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPHY DADDY Jun14 May24 May10 Apr30 Feb04 (antwine mich)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 ★    
2  ALWAYS IN VEGAS         (singh s)MURRAY M 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOATING PARTY Mar16 Feb23 Feb05     (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
4  AUTOCRATIC Jun09 May21 May06 Mar31 Feb26 (milligan allen)BOREL H 117 3.50 19% 4.10    
5  PAYNT YOUR WAGON Jun11 May28 May17 Apr20   (diodoro robert)BACA L 119 2.50    
6  TIZ MCNAMARA Jun14 Jun04 May08 Apr23 Mar31 (feilner f)TORRES HUGO 117 3.00 27% 2.80    
7  REAL BRAVE Jun21 Jun06 Mar02 Feb18 Jan20 (morris rowdy)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
 
LAD-2   07/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PI YO PRINCESS Jun07 May08 Mar18 Jan14   (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.40 33% 2.00    
2  MISS CHECKMARK Jun25 Jun07 May21     (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 115 10.00 ★    
SCR  STACEYS RACEY Jun12 May24 Mar09     (duhon o)BOREL H 120 6.00    
4  MADAM PIE Jun21 Jun05 May22 Feb25 Jan09 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
5  STORMY SUNRISE Jun25 Feb09 Jan26 Jan13   (nelson eric)FLORES S 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  DAD'S STAR CAT Jan19         (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 8% 12.10    
7  MARCIAMARCIAMARCIA Jun12 May24 May07     (adcock charles)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00    
 
LAD-3   07/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Jun14 May29 May17 Feb19 Jan26 (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 124 6.00 ★    
2  ROBBER Jun19 Mar03       (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 8.00    
3  TEXAS STORM Jun14         (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00 5% 18.80    
4  JUST BUSINESS         (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00    
5  SPEEDY G Jun04 May17 Apr20 Mar19 Mar05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 1.40 17% 4.90    
6  ROYAL D D Jun07 May17 Apr30     (williams c )FLORES S 119 30.00    
7  ORGERON Jun15 May21 Apr13 Mar06   (faucheux ro)MORALES ROBERTO 116 2.50 51% 0.90    
8  OUTLAW POSSE         (feilner ray )BOLANOS LEONEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   07/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDI BUG         (gomez )GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00 6% 14.40    
2  SUZY DOLL'S READY         (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 118 4.00 7% 12.60    
3  ASPIRATIONAL         (duhon o)BOREL H 118 4.50 7% 12.70    
4  THIS FRIDAY Jun20         (johnson hen)MORALES ROBERTO 118 10.00    
5  TAKING PICTURES         (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  OUR CUSTOM DARLING         (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.50 ★    
7  BROADWAY PEARL Jun20         (turner patt)FLORES S 118 3.00    
 
LAD-5   07/04/2022 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BILLIE K May09 Feb10       (nelson eric)FLORES S 122 8.00    
2  G'S DEADLINE Jun12 May30 May09 Mar27 Mar09 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
SCR  MILA'S GOLD Jun13 May30 May09 Mar27 Mar09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 ★    
4  AIR GUITAR STAR Jun11 May09 Mar20 Mar09 Feb14 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  HALFGLAMOROUS May21 Mar27 Mar13     (jeansonne just)CULP BRIANNE 117 10.00 15% 5.80    
6  SEE SASSY RUN May30 May09 Mar31 Feb25 Feb05 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  LIL ASHLEY B. May30 May09 Mar27 Mar09 Feb14 (foster jose)MORALES ROBERTO 122 4.50    
8  PLATINUM QUEEN Jun13 May17 Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
9  BELLAMY CAY Mar20 Mar01 Feb05     (gomez c)BACA L 122 2.50    
 
LAD-6   07/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. B CAUSE Jun20 Jun06 May22 May09 Feb18 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 10.00    
2  MO VODKA Jun19 May07 Apr30 Apr08 Mar26 (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 8% 11.50    
3  VIM AND VIGOR Jun19 May30 May08 Apr07 Mar16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
4  CANIHAVEITLIKETHAT May08 Mar25 Mar10 Feb04 Jan07 (broberg karl)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 14% 6.30    
5  BIG SUCCESS May07 Apr22 Apr03 Mar20 Mar05 (prather h)TORRES HUGO 117 4.50 ★    
6  HARDCORE FOLKLORE Jun19 May21 May07 Feb25 Feb10 (turner patt)FLORES S 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
7  GENERATOR Jun13 May30 Apr23 Mar26 Mar12 (williams bla)CULP BRIANNE 117 12.00    
 
LAD-7   07/04/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODE'S CONNECTION May30 Mar26 Mar09 Feb26 Jan30 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 3.50 25% 3.10    
2  WHO DAT GREY Jun12 May23 Feb23 Jan19   (beavin j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
3  PAT HAND GIRL Jun11 May21 Mar25 Mar09 Feb14 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 ★    
4  AVERI EVER AFTER Jun12 May23 Mar18 Feb11 Feb03 (duke steven)LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.50    
SCR  MY AVANI Jun17 May27 May05 Apr09 Mar11 (thomas lee)COTTO L 124 4.00 ★    
6  I DONT KNOW EITHER Jun21 Jun07 Feb21 Jan23   (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 115 10.00 ★    
7  EL CALIENTE LADY Mar02 Jan06       (nelson eric)FLORES S 117 20.00    
SCR  SIMPLE SUNDAY Jun12 May08 Feb18 Jan21   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
9  LUCKY GONE SWEET Jun12 May30 Mar27 Mar04 Feb06 (ingram steve)TORRES HUGO 117 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.