Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - June 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   06/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ MY RIGHT Jun14 Apr24       (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 ★    
2  MUSICAL FLIGHT Jun14 May31       (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS TEA BLONDE Jun07         (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00    
4  CASSIE'S RAINBOW Jun14 May31       (davies ronald)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 9% 10.00    
5  FLECK May12 Apr30       (simms jo)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50    
6  MISS SURPRISE Jun14 May16 Apr09 Mar24 Jan24 (sull)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 1.80 62% 0.60    
7  GIZMO'S PRINCESS Jun14 Jan04       (fairlie h)SINGH S 120 15.00 ★    
 
FE-2   06/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOMCAT BLACK         (tharrenos willi)MORENO OMAR 122 4.00    
2  OVERBEARING Jun13 May31 Mar05 Feb15 Jan24 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 47% 1.10    
3  BALA FALLS Jun13         (warner k)SINGH S 120 6.00 ★    
4  SOFIA'S SLUGGER Jun14         (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 ★    
5  MAGICAL TALE May31 Apr13 Mar19 Feb23 Jan29 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
6  BORN TO BE KING Apr12 Apr05 Mar14 Mar07 Jan19 (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 8% 11.90    
 
FE-3   06/28/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.226K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASN'T HIT ME YET May31 May08       (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00    
2  GRAND PRIZE Jun03 May21 May01 Apr23 Jan13 (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
3  NEW YORK COMMANDER Jun13 May06       (mustoe cindy)MORENO OMAR 120 15.00    
4  CLASSY MISTRESS Jun13         (meli salva)KING MARIE 120 12.00    
5  SAVVY'S SISTER Jun14 Apr16       (loescher pa)WENC C 120 10.00    
6  CAPOEIRA Jun02         (mcpherson alex)BAHEN R 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  SHOW SOME SKIN Jun07         (capi m)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 ★    
8  LOUEMMA Jun07 May13 Apr29 Mar26 Feb21 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 8% 12.20    
9  PINO IN A PURSE Jun16 May26 May08 Apr24 Mar23 (griffi)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
FE-4   06/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORE Jun14 Jun07 May19 May07 Apr24 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
2  INNUENDO (IRE) Jun03 May19 May01     (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 118 10.00    
3  INVISIBLE FRIEND May31 May20 May07 Apr16   (simms c)SINGH S 118 4.50 ★    
4  M C JACKHAMMER Jun07 May27 May13     (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 ★    
5  BEAUFORT         (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 ★    
6  STREET MAX         (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 113 15.00    
7  JAMAICAN JIMMY Jun14         (four)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 2.00 64% 0.60    
8  GUS'S GAMBLE         (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 12.00    
 
FE-5   06/28/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPOINTED May12 Apr24 Mar25 Jan22   (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 115 5.00 ★    
2  MY FINAL TRICK Jun10 May08 Apr24 Apr16   (hasmatali daryl)HOYTE JASON 118 15.00    
3  EVER SO D'WILD Jun10 May31 May07 Apr16   (jennings alison)SINGH S 120 10.00    
4  GIMBALA Jun07 Apr24 Apr17     (simms c)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 ★    
5  DREAMINOFPASSION May26 May12 Apr23     (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 118 3.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  BENADETTE'S LADY Jun14         (mandal)ALDERSON IAN 118 8.00    
7  HIGH SOCIETY GIRL Jun13 Jun07 May06 Apr23   (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  SWIRLING CANDY         (griffith ric)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
FE-6   06/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL STRIKE Jun14 May20       (powell a)HEIN NICOLE 115 10.00    
2  SAILIN STREET Jun13 May31       (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00    
3  HALF LIT Jun10 May14 May07     (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 ★    
4  BLIND TRUST Jun10 May07       (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 5% 18.80    
5  MONEY MATTERS         (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
6  LETTING LOOSE         (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
7  LIVERPOOL MAN May31         (fourni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
8  VOYANT Jun14 Apr08 Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00    
 
FE-7   06/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING VINNY Jun13 May31       (chudobiak gary)SINGH S 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
2  A I INITIATIVE Jun13 May31 May13 May01 Apr17 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 10% 8.70    
3  STORM RISK May31 May18 Apr27 Feb01 Jan12 (sulliv)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
4  FOUR KNIGHTS Jun13         (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 15.00    
5  CONQUER THE BREEZE May31 Apr24       (simms c)DAVID MICHAEL 113 20.00    
6  DEEP EXPLORER Jun13         (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 ★    
7  STRONG ENDING Jun13 Apr27 Mar30 Mar16 Feb25 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 1.60 ★    
 
FE-8   06/28/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC MISSION         (rabstein claudi)HEIN NICOLE 113 15.00    
2  MR. DYNAMIC Jun07         (raghunath rav)HERNANDEZ K 120 5.00    
3  MY BUYBACK Jun09 May20       (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 8.00    
4  HIGH RESERVE Jun14         (williams noel)JOHNSON DEVON 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CALMING INFLUENCE Jun07         (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00    
6  PIPER AT WAR Jun07 Apr03       (gilifo)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 14% 6.10    
7  HYPERACTIVE         (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  SILENT FIRE (ARG)         (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE GENT May31         (rabstein claudi)MORENO OMAR 118 3.50 38% 1.70    
10  SENSIBLE PORTIONS Jun11         (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.