Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - June 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   06/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S NOT CURLY Jun05 May27 May06 Apr15 Apr08 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.60 31% 2.20    
DARK AGES May26 Apr30 Mar15 Feb23   (lauro c)HO WESLEY 122 12.00 14% 6.20    
THE IRON BANK May26 May05 Apr16 Mar30 Mar04 (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
SCR  CRAZY IDEA May04 Apr14 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
SOUTHERN SAVIOUR May25 May04 Apr13     (schottroffe e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
GEMS MINESHAFT RVF Jun04 May26 May05 Apr14 Apr01 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50    
SCR  ENVISION SUCCESS May26 Mar24 Mar04     (hummer richa)BATISTA A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   06/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICE BUT NAUGHTY May25 May14 Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 (jackson angelo )LIMA FELINO 115 10.00    
SCARE DEM May11 Apr23 Apr06 Mar17   (pyke joseph)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
B. J. MOOSE May25 Apr27 Apr06     (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
EVANESCO         (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
MANHATTAN WEAVE Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb12 Jan15 (mcclure l)LARROSA G 122 4.50    
NOW HOOK'EM May25         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40 58% 0.70    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK         (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.80    
 
CT-3   06/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY FOR CLASS         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
GANGHIS KHAN Jun02 May11 Apr14     (johnson j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00 8% 11.30    
COMEONTURNMELOOSE         (atkins g)CECIL Y 122 15.00 8% 11.30    
GHOST MINE May12 Jan26       (pyke joseph)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
IRISH FIRE May26 Apr23       (boggs j)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 12.00    
ROCKET'S CASTLE         (reggetts st)RAMGEET R 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
COOL DUDE         (ceciliano mi)MARRERO CARLOS 116 10.00    
BIGAIRTOTHETHROWN May26 May14       (cramer jeff)HO WESLEY 124 2.50    
FIGAROS FORTUNE May26 Apr27 Apr06 Mar26 Feb10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.40 26% 2.80    
 
CT-4   06/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMELESS RISK May21 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 Mar11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
RUN TO DAYLIGHT May21 Apr27 Jan26     (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 26% 2.80    
C R'S MANDATE May27 May07 Apr16 Mar04 Feb17 (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
SPANGLISH May21 Apr16 Mar24 Mar04   (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
MINISTRY OF MAGIC May21 May12 Mar31 Mar05 Feb05 (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
SPUNMAN Jun02 May12 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 9% 10.70    
NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE May19         (straughn wil)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 30.00    
 
CT-5   06/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOW IS SHE May25 May04 Apr07 Mar18 Feb24 (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 20.00    
BAYS CASTLE May25 May04 Apr08 Mar03 Feb10 (casey joh)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 15.00    
CHEROKEE CASTLE May25 Apr23 Apr01 Mar17 Feb02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
TIMETOGETUP May27 May13 Apr16 Apr08 Mar03 (casey a)LARROSA G 120 12.00    
CHANGE THE WORLD May21 Apr23       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 27% 2.80    
WHALE OF A TIME May21 Apr15 Mar17 Feb03   (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 22% 3.50    
OFFICER CALLY Jun04 May21 Apr29 Apr16 Mar17 (atkins g)CECIL Y 118 15.00    
SARAH'S WARRIOR May25 May04       (casey jame)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 15.00    
HESSICA May25 May04 Apr23     (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 8.00 14% 5.90    
 
CT-6   06/16/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'D LIKE TO KNOW May25 May04 Apr13 Mar30 Mar09 (butts mik)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
MY CANDY BIZ May25 May18 May04 Apr09 Mar24 (arias alfonso)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO May13 Apr01 Feb18 Jan27   (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  CONFUSION BABY BOY May30 May12 Apr02 Feb21 Feb03 (frock c)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 8.00    
KUKULKAN (MEX) May25 May04 Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
FLUENT IN SARCASM May20 Apr22 Mar31 Mar03 Feb18 (shanley mark)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
INSIDE RISK Feb12         (caison jody)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 30.00 8% 11.60    
LITTLE BOLD BANDIT May30 May13 Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 5.00    
ZAINO BOYZ May13 Apr22 Feb18 Feb02 Jan12 (davis billy)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.80 27% 2.80    
 
CT-7   06/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNNIN'TOLUVYA Apr30         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
OUT OF CENTS May06 Mar25 Mar02 Jan27   (runco j)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 10.00    
HERO'S MAN Apr23         (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00    
NO CHANGE May13 Apr23 Feb26 Jan27 Jan12 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.00 45% 1.20    
ISHIHARA May18 Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
FANCY CONCHO May14 Apr23 Mar25     (grams c)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50    
BUBBA GRUMP Mar19 Feb17       (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   06/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HAMBONE May20 Apr30 Apr01 Mar11 Feb20 (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 15.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR May26 Apr30 Apr21 Apr01 Mar24 (shanley timothy)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
CHARLIE POTATOES May18 Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 Feb11 (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  JAMMIN STILL Jun09 May26 May14 Apr29 Mar25 (caison jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
HAPPY CHAMP May28 May06       (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
SCOTTSDALE Jun02 Apr20 Mar25 Feb26 Feb11 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
JACK THE RIPPER (FR) May28 May21 Apr15 Mar10 Feb28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
AWESOME BUZZ May21 May12 Mar31 Mar11 Jan14 (scott lloyd )ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 12.00    
MOSS BOSS May25 Apr20 Mar30 Mar02 Feb05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
SCR  FAST LOADED May22 Apr30 Apr20 Apr09 Mar25 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.