Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - May 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKLESS L J Feb16 Jan14       (haehn ter)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 4.50    
SCR  PLATE IT UP May07 Apr12       (murillo rodrig)LEZCANO ABEL 125 3.00 25% 3.10    
HYDRA'S HOPE         (jordan rick)MOJICA JR 118 5.00 10% 9.40    
MURRY SPUR Apr12         (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.50 37% 1.70    
RONNI'S STORM May12 Apr29       (ballard frank)MACHADO LUAN 125 1.60    
 
BTP-2   05/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($18K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERV'S WENCH May03 Apr11 Mar26     (smith lar)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 1.40 37% 1.70    
STAR RULES Apr28         (huffman g)MCKEE J 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
LEMON POPPER Jan29         (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 116 3.00    
BEACH PEACH May03 Mar01 Jan07     (reed r)LEON SONNY 121 2.50    
 
BTP-3   05/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUILDER May13 Apr28 Mar26 Mar11 Mar02 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 1.80 58% 0.70    
TENAKEE         (alessi jame)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 5.00    
UNWANTED INPUT May12 Mar26 Mar09 Feb24 Feb11 (manning joh)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 4.00    
TOP HAT INVASION May12 Apr28 Feb24 Feb12 Jan29 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00    
GO GET EM         (thompson )BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 3.50 14% 6.20    
 
BTP-4   05/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMMY'S TOY Apr29 Mar07 Jan25 Jan11   (cline robert)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 10.00    
SAMURAI WAY May04 Apr06       (barton aman)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 125 5.00    
ROLLIN SO PERFECT Apr29         (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.50    
BALI BEAR Apr28         (drury jr)MCKEE J 114 2.00 27% 2.80    
WEEKENDER Apr28 Apr06 Mar21     (hamm timothy)REYES R 119 3.50 31% 2.30    
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE         (bennett c)LEON SONNY 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
BTP-5   05/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACKLEFORDS STORM May11         (ginter raymond)REYES R 125 4.00 19% 4.30    
PRINCE JERSEY TOWN May11         (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 1.80 47% 1.10    
ELLE'SBIGSEACRET May11 Apr29 Apr19 Feb11 Jan09 (grubbs ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 3.00    
HERE'S CARLOS May11 May03 Mar31 Mar09   (spicer t)OUZTS W 125 8.00    
SCR  PLATINUM MAC May19 Apr28 Mar24 Feb28 Feb16 (helmbrecht willi)LEON SONNY 125 2.50    
 
BTP-6   05/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALLABOUTMEMEME         (reed r)LEON SONNY 121 2.50 26% 2.80    
HONEY BOURBON May13 Jan08       (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.50    
KERTARA Mar19 Mar09 Jan15     (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 5.00    
SILVER MAPLE Mar22 Feb23 Jan11     (reed r)MCKEE J 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
SAMOA May13 Apr29 Jan02     (edgell shar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 4.50    
SUPER STEAMY Apr01 Mar05 Feb12     (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
BTP-7   05/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE May13 Jan25 Jan01     (wilson david )CANUTO THIAGO 118 8.00    
LEJEUNE         (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 121 2.00    
SONGSTOPSHELF May13 Apr06 Mar05 Jan14   (lopez carlo)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 6.00    
CHLOES ANGEL May13 Mar25 Feb24     (shetron phy)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 5.00    
POWER BANKER Apr28 Apr11 Mar31 Mar22 Mar07 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 121 3.00 69% 0.40    
BLANCONIA May13 Feb19       (fernandez ke)HALDAR J 121 4.50    
 
BTP-8   05/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET DEVELOPMENT May10 Mar25       (edwards w)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 2.50 16% 5.20    
MONEY PIT May14 Mar17 Jan23     (hill f)BRACHO A 123 12.00    
RAULITO May12 Apr28 Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 (adams nancy)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SIROCCO May12 Mar31 Mar10 Feb16 Jan16 (mitchell sh)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00    
CALL PAPA Apr28 Mar31 Mar24 Feb28 Jan09 (feebeck thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 30.00    
JUST CHITU         (huffman kenneth )LEON SONNY 123 6.00    
COMIN' BACK         (kobiskie dane)MCKEE J 123 4.50 49% 1.00    
GRAN ROJO May12         (jordan rick)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 15.00    
ILLBOOTENGOTTY May12 Apr28 Jan01     (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.