Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   05/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTBREAKER         (d'amato phili)PYFER JESSICA 126 8.00    
CHERUBIC FACTOR May08 Apr03 Mar07 Jan28   (eurton pete)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
CONSTANT CONFLICT         (glatt mark)VAZQUEZ A 126 6.00    
COSMO Feb26 Feb18 Jan14     (puype mike)FREY KYLE 126 2.50 26% 2.90    
SANTOS TO WILSON Apr03 Feb25 Jan22     (kruljac eric)BAZE C 126 2.50    
BALADI Apr16 Mar12 Jan15     (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11% 8.30    
 
SA-2   05/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN CHEENA         (solis walther)FREY KYLE 118 6.00    
FUNKHOUSER         (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 118 2.50    
HALF NELSON         (brinkerh)ELLINGWOOD A 111 15.00 5% 17.70    
ABSOLUTELY ZERO         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 1.60 46% 1.20    
CLASSYMADEMOISELLE         (periban jorge)BAZE C 118 2.50    
PAPPY'S GIRL         (solis walth)HERRERA A 118 6.00 5% 17.70    
 
SA-3   05/21/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCH Feb27 Jan23       (mullins jeff)BAZE C 126 1.20 29% 2.40    
LIKE THE WIND Feb05         (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 126 1.80 41% 1.40    
LITTLE MISCHIEF Apr08 Mar18       (dunham daniel)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 15.00 5% 18.80    
MAJESTIC WIND Apr03 Jan28       (dunham daniel)PYFER JESSICA 118 4.00    
LIL LIGHT HEADED May06 Apr03 Feb26     (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00    
 
SA-4   05/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIONEERING PAPA May07 Mar26 Mar05     (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 118 0.80 44% 1.30    
TENTH STREET DON Apr16 Mar05       (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 118 3.50    
NO LIMITATION         (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
SCR  CARSON'S LEGACY May07         (papaprod)ELLINGWOOD A 111 20.00    
DON'T TALK         (glatt mark)VAZQUEZ A 113 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
SA-5   05/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY PODRES Apr30 Mar27 Feb26     (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 126 2.50    
STOTLAND May06 Mar18 Feb19     (hess b)MALDONADO E 118 2.00 18% 4.70    
WILLY THE COBBLER Apr03 Feb21 Jan02     (knapp steve)HERRERA A 126 10.00    
MR. T'S THIRSTY Apr09 Jan23       (spawr william)BAZE C 118 4.00    
EXPLOSIVE May08 Mar26 Feb21 Jan28   (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
SA-6   05/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST OF SHOW Apr17 Apr01       (dealba cesa)RAMIREZ RICARDO 121 5.00    
WARREN'S MEMORABLE Mar07 Jan02       (lewis cr)ELLINGWOOD A 119 12.00    
ZAHRA Apr15 Feb27 Jan21     (knapp steve)HERRERA A 126 0.80 28% 2.60    
ZABAVA Apr17 Feb18 Jan17 Jan08   (knapp steve)BAZE C 126 2.50 19% 4.10    
DISCRETE STEVIE B Apr17 Jan28       (polanco marc)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 116 12.00    
HEART RIVER Apr20 Apr06 Mar21 Feb09 Jan19 (metz jeffrey)PYFER JESSICA 126 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
SA-7   05/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUIET SECRETARY May01 Mar26 Feb11 Jan09   (kruljac ian)MALDONADO E 126 5.00    
ROCKING REDHEAD Feb19         (papaprodromou )CEDILLO ABEL 126 3.00 29% 2.50    
VELVET SLIPPERS Jan01         (mccarthy sean)VAZQUEZ A 126 2.50    
FREEDOM FLYER         (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.50    
NEW HEAT Apr17 Mar20 Feb19 Jan28   (saavedra k)BAZE C 126 6.00    
COUNTERPARTY RISK (IRE)         (d'amato ph)VAN DRAYDEN 126 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
SA-8   05/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARTHUR SPOONER Apr15 Apr09 Mar13 Feb20 Jan15 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  GRANADA FLAVOR Mar27 Mar07 Jan29 Jan08   (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 126 3.50 7% 13.90    
THRIVE May06 Mar13 Feb20     (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 126 2.00 50% 1.00    
PERFECTO AMOR Apr08 Mar07 Feb04 Jan16   (treece s)FREY KYLE 126 4.00    
DIVINE FEMININE May01 Mar13       (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 15.00    
PRINCE MAGICIAN Apr08         (palma o)BRAVO J 126 3.50    
 
SA-9   05/21/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLA NOIR May01 Mar20 Feb26 Jan23   (desormeaux)VAN DRAYDEN 120 6.00 11% 7.90    
HEAR MY PRAYER Apr16 Feb26 Jan09     (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
BELLA D May01 Apr03 Jan02     (puype mike)FREY KYLE 122 4.00    
LEGGS GALORE Mar05 Jan15       (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
ROYAL ADDRESS (IRE) Apr09 Mar13 Jan28     (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 124 4.00    
BYE BYE BERTIE Apr30 Mar20 Feb13 Jan17 Jan09 (powell leonard)ESPINOZA V 122 6.00    
 
SA-10   05/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORDER TOWN Apr03 Mar12 Jan22     (callaghan )VAN DRAYDEN 126 3.00 21% 3.80    
HURRICANE CLOUD (GB) Apr03 Feb05       (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 126 15.00    
GUILDSMAN (FR) Mar26 Feb20       (falcone rob)HERRERA A 126 8.00    
COMRADERY (IRE) Apr16 Mar11 Jan22     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 8% 10.80    
CITY RAGE May13 Mar05 Jan30     (glatt mark)CURATOLO RYAN 126 6.00    
ENCODER Apr09 Mar12 Feb21 Jan21   (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 5.00    
COAST OF ROAN Apr09         (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.50 47% 1.10    
OVERDUE Mar25         (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.