Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - May 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-1   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.933K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLORFUL NATIVE         (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 120 3.00    
FLASH IN THE PAN         (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00    
NATIVE HELLRAISER         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 4.50 7% 13.80    
BIZZY RUN         (mcshane d)DE CRUZ 120 3.50    
MIDNIGHT RULES         (clark r)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 5.00 7% 13.80    
WIN IN THE CITY Apr29 Apr09       (young e)CORBETT W 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
PRM-2   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTIMATE Apr23 Mar27 Feb25 Jan29   (martin e)BIRZER E 124 2.00 8% 10.80    
MARQUEE THUNDER Mar26 Mar06       (foley sea)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
OIL MONEY Feb11         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
GOOD SCOUT Apr02 Mar17 Feb18 Jan15   (caldw)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 3.00    
GREAT FACES May06 Apr07 Mar20 Feb19 Jan16 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 6.00    
PRINCIPE GUILHERME Apr23         (chleborad lyn)CANCHARI ALEX 119 5.00    
 
PRM-3   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORY ROLL Mar13 Jan29       (arnett jon )GARCIA A 121 2.50 13% 6.50    
MY KIKI Apr12 Mar22 Feb18 Jan21 Jan06 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
MAD TABBY Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 Mar03 Feb12 (villafranco )JORDAN R 114 8.00    
THAT'S ALL RIGHT Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar13 Feb27 (gonzalez v)CORBETT W 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
DIANNA'S JET Jan19         (guillory henr)CANCHARI ALEX 119 10.00    
JAVISTHA         (jacquot gene)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00    
SOJOURNER TRUTH Apr20 Apr07 Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 (ness john)TRIANA JR 119 12.00    
SCR  G KATE Apr15 Mar25 Mar18 Feb26   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.50 14% 6.00    
 
PRM-4   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20.704K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUTUMN ASPEN Apr02 Feb26 Jan16     (tracy tan)TRIANA JR 120 15.00    
CALL THE SHOTS         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VOODAYO         (mamakos christin)TOHILL S 126 8.00    
BYE LOVE GOTTA GO         (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 128 3.50 33% 2.00    
GAME TO PLAY         (clark r)CORBETT W 120 12.00    
GIRLS IN CHARGE         (hemba bra)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
GOLD MAKER         (gustafson austin)BIRZER E 124 5.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  DARK SILENCE         (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 4.00    
 
PRM-5   05/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BODOCK Apr02 Feb19 Jan15     (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.00    
TWO GUNS May03 Apr25 Mar09 Jan17 Jan06 (schnell don)TOHILL S 112 8.00    
FEEL THE FEAR Mar05 Feb10       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 117 3.50 22% 3.50    
KNOCKER DOWN         (murphy swan)NOLL S 112 12.00    
JERRY'S EIGHTY Apr10 Mar11 Feb11 Jan01   (smith p)BIRZER E 119 5.00    
SIMPLY WICKED Apr16 Feb26 Feb10 Jan15   (diodoro robe)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
DIAMOND RIM May03 Apr06 Mar09 Feb08   (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 117 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
PRM-6   05/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.918K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S ALL ABOUT JOE         (mcshane d)DE CRUZ 119 4.50    
TEQUILA         (martin e)TOHILL S 119 8.00    
STORM THE FIELD         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
TOUGH AINT ENOUGH Apr02         (tracy tanner)CANCHARI ALEX 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
GINGER RULES         (hemba brad)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  FLAT OUT FREED Jan20         (clark r)CORBETT W 119 20.00    
TOSKA'S RULER         (martin timot)JORDAN R 114 5.00 47% 1.10    
COOL CAT CHARLIE         (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00    
SING LOUD Apr20 Feb16 Jan22 Jan05   (arnett jon )GARCIA A 119 6.00 6% 15.40    
10  NASTY EXAGGERATOR         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.