Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - May 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOID Apr16         (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 44% 1.20    
SLEW THE TURN Apr13         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00 6% 14.60    
TWILIGHT YEARS May07 Apr13 Apr02 Mar18 Feb10 (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
JACKLIGHTING Apr20 Mar18 Feb02     (johnson all)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.00    
JACKSON MAN Apr16 Mar25 Mar04 Feb05 Jan14 (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 120 4.00    
DOC ELM Mar25 Mar19 Mar02 Feb02   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
 
CT-2   05/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVILISH BEAUTY Apr27 Apr01 Mar11 Feb12   (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
SO RED THE ROSE Apr27 Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 Feb02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50    
SHERIFF'S KID Apr02 Mar16 Feb19 Jan28 Jan14 (price r)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00 8% 11.80    
REIGNING FIRE Apr27 Apr02 Feb26 Feb19 Jan19 (jones michael)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
DINNER AT FIVE Apr27 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 Feb05 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Apr28 Apr01 Mar16 Mar06 Feb05 (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.00    
 
CT-3   05/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIND YOUR BOAZ May04 Apr14 Mar24 Mar04 Feb15 (geris samuel)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
MY CANDY BIZ May04 Apr09 Mar24     (arias alfonso)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
DYNAMIC DAY Mar31 Feb11       (greaves vern)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.50    
GOLDEN ANSWER         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
COUNT THE SHELLS May04 Apr13 Mar25 Jan25   (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
QUAD EIGHTS May04 Mar30 Mar03 Feb17 Feb10 (jones michael)SIMPSON JASON 120 4.50    
CHARLIE POTATOES Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 Feb11   (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
CT-4   05/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REY O REYES Apr15 Apr06 Mar25 Mar19 Mar02 (gazzier kri)RAMGEET R 120 12.00    
SCR  LASHER May07 Mar17       (scott l)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 12.00    
PONTICELLO Apr20 Apr08 Feb25 Jan26   (greaves vern)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
AZURE FIRE Jan26         (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Apr27 Apr16 Mar25 Mar04 Jan26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
MIO GRACELAND Apr20 Apr08 Mar19 Feb17 Jan26 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
FELICIAS CASTLE Apr27 Mar26 Feb25 Feb03   (grams c)LIMA FELINO 111 3.50    
 
CT-5   05/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANNER MAN Apr23 Apr14 Mar24 Feb11   (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.50 13% 6.70    
J J WEDGIT MAN Apr23 Apr06 Feb19 Feb03 Jan13 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
RUM RUNNER RED Mar16         (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
LUFTY'S KISSES Apr23 Mar19 Feb19 Feb03 Jan26 (heath george)LIMA FELINO 117 10.00    
BONEYARDHOLLER May07 Apr02 Feb09 Jan27   (laguna homer)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
FEISTY AND SASSY Apr27 Apr02 Mar16 Feb24   (joy j)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
NAZCA MYSTERY Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 (gazzier kristy)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 12% 7.40    
ROCK FILE Apr29 Apr15 Apr02 Mar17 Feb25 (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 6.00    
 
CT-6   05/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY STORM Apr23 Apr07 Mar25 Feb17 Jan13 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00    
GOOD KARMA (GB) Apr28 Mar18 Feb24 Jan28   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN null   7% 13.20    
OUR DIAMOND GIRL         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
COLLEGE KID Apr28 Mar18 Feb17 Jan13   (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 8.00    
TIZ THE REASON May05 Apr22 Apr01 Feb26 Feb11 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
ALPINE MOON Apr28 Mar25 Feb04 Jan15   (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
CT-7   05/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($37.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODLUCKCHUCK Mar19 Mar06 Jan23     (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00    
MIDNIGHT ACT Apr29 Apr18 Apr07 Mar29 Mar15 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
DIXIE DRAWL Apr29 Apr21 Mar26 Mar04   (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
ISHIHARA Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 Feb17 Jan27 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00 15% 5.80    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR Apr29 Apr13 Mar10 Mar02 Feb17 (boggs j)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
BOASTER Apr23 Mar19 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
OUTLIER May06 Apr29 Apr21 Apr10 Mar17 (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 4.50    
 
CT-8   05/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL BUNNY Mar31 Mar16 Jan27     (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
JU JU'S HEAT         (tobin l)CECIL Y 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIL PERFECT Apr16 Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 Jan26 (collin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
MEDAL GENIUS Apr16 Apr06 Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 (rangel rica)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 6.00    
SWISS HORIZON Mar16 Feb17 Jan27     (joy j)BATISTA A 124 4.00 7% 14.00    
NIGHT FLIGHT         (stehr joseph)ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Apr16 Mar31 Feb26 Feb02   (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
TRUENO FUERTE Apr09 Mar16 Feb02     (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.