Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Sunday - May 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   05/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NABOKOV Apr14         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
2  DIGITIZE Apr16         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  ZUZUDINI Apr21 Mar18       (barker edward)CARDENAS LUIS 125 20.00 ★    
4  PREDICTED Apr21 Apr09       (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 9% 10.20    
5  CLOUD FOREST         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
6  BRAILLE Apr02         (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 ★    
 
BEL-2   05/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SENSATION Apr01 Feb26       (albertrani tho)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
2  LADY OF THOROTON Apr16 Feb25 Jan08     (englehart chris)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
3  LOVE'S MISERY Apr24 Mar04 Feb04 Jan08   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 126 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  ACT LIKE ARTIE Mar25 Mar03       (breen j)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  SYNONYMOUS Apr14         (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 126 15.00    
6  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Mar12 Feb12 Jan15     (rubley kelly)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 ★    
7  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Apr28 Mar11 Feb18 Jan23   (klesaris rober)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50 ★    
8  LINNY KATE Apr01 Mar06 Feb12 Jan16   (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
BEL-3   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIR TO MIDDLIN         (brocklebank)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 ★    
2  GOT THE GOLD Apr16 Feb27 Jan06     (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  OUT THE WOODS Feb27         (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 124 30.00    
SCR  COUPLES THERAPY         (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 8% 11.10    
5  MAKART Feb25         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
6  DENIS         (jones eduardo )RICHARDS G 124 15.00 ★    
7  HEREBY Apr08         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
8  KINGSTOWN Apr02         (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50    
 
BEL-4   05/15/2022 4620ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT SELBY Mar13         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00    
2  STRAW INTO GOLD Apr16         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 16% 5.10    
3  KLICKITAT         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 37% 1.70    
4  CHOWDA Apr20 Mar27 Feb05 Jan08   (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
5  NOT PHAR NOW         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 11% 8.50    
6  CHULAINN         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
7  QUIET OUT EAST         (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 ★    
8  PANSTER Apr21         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
BEL-5   05/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOKY PLAYER         (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 12% 7.70    
2  STRIKE PRICE Apr15         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 ★    
3  LEFTY'S WAR Mar19         (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 125 20.00    
4  BAIL OUT Apr15         (englehart jeffrey)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.40 51% 1.00    
5  FAZARO Apr21 Apr07 Mar19 Feb05 Jan16 (williams andrew)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
6  KENTUCKY KNIGHT Apr21 Mar19 Jan20     (chichakly ami)CARDENAS LUIS 125 30.00 ★    
SCR  QUESTION MY SANITY Apr14 Mar19 Feb05     (romero jesus)HARKIE K 118 50.00    
8  I AM THE LAW Apr23 Mar27       (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.20 15% 5.60    
9  IRIE SPICE Apr14 Apr07 Mar19 Feb20 Feb05 (persaud randi)MENA E 118 50.00    
 
BEL-6   05/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIVIL WAR Apr08         (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00    
2  THREE JOKERS Mar04 Feb05       (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00    
3  DR ARDITO Apr01 Feb24       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  PERCEIVED Apr10 Feb26 Feb04     (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00 ★    
SCR  OLYMPIC ROMP Apr15 Mar29 Feb23 Jan19   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00 ★    
6  SOUTH STREET Apr16 Feb24 Jan21     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
7  JERRY THE NIPPER Apr22 Mar27       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
8  AMERICAN RULE Apr21 Apr09 Mar25 Mar06 Feb11 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 126 4.00 ★    
 
BEL-7   05/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($94K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVVIE JETS         (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 30.00    
2  LOVE AND THUNDER (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  HALO CITY May06 Mar31       (lynch natalia)RIDER TBA 121 3.00    
SCR  ELOQUENT SPEAKER Mar04 Jan02       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 30% 2.30    
5  KING'S HARLEQUIN (IRE)         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50    
6  CHAMPAGNE LADY Mar25 Jan29       (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 14% 5.90    
7  STAR SEEKING (IRE) Feb26 Jan29       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
8  MISS DRACARYS         (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
9  FLIGHTY LADY (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 ★    
10  NEW YORK GIRL (IRE) Mar20         (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
11  FIONNBHARR Apr23         (cooney susa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 30.00    
 
BEL-8   05/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE CODE Mar08 Feb06       (vazquez c)ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
2  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Mar29 Mar05 Jan27     (toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 ★    
3  PROVOCATEUR Mar19 Jan15       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 14% 6.40    
4  FLUID SITUATION Mar27 Feb26       (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 25% 3.10    
5  DON'T WAIT UP Apr16         (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 ★    
6  SENBEI         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
BEL-9   05/15/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMA CARPE Apr15 Mar27 Mar04     (johns)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 50.00    
2  LAUGH AND PLAY Mar12 Jan15       (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
3  RICELLE         (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 124 30.00    
4  MISPELLED MOOON Apr15         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 14% 5.90    
5  SILENCEOFTHE HABS         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
6  RADIANT GEM Mar16 Feb17       (klesaris rober)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
7  ROUNDABOUT         (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
8  DIAMANT DAMHSA (IRE) Mar23 Mar01       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
SCR  LOADED AND READY         (ryerson jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 7% 13.00    
10  DIAMOND STATUS         (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
11  GREEN SCREEN QUEEN         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 7% 13.00    
12  LEGEND'S SONG         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  THISLADYIS THE LAW Apr15         (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.